Slim Chance (IRE)
Slim Chance (IRE) is 4 from 62. Hasn't won since Sep 2014. All 4 wins have come on turf — 0 from 14 on the all-weather, and every win has come on good or faster ground (0 from 15 on softer). Last raced off 53, 31lb below the career-high mark.
Progeny in our archive
As a dam, Slim Chance (IRE) has 2 produce in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Chance (GB) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Fighting Chance (GB) | 28 | 0 | — | — |
- 4–62Wins / Runs
- 6.5%Strike rate
- 20 (32.3%)Placed
- +26.00£1 level staken=62 at SP
- 0.77Fair A/E n=62 · 0.65 incl. margin
- 84Highest OR
- 33dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 99
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 99B | 90 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 103A | 77.5 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4 | 94B | 88.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 103A | 86.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since Jan 2008 (415 horses).
Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | +6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,073 | 99 | 9.2% | −0.5 | 1 from 13 |
| Good | 1,455 | 140 | 9.6% | −0.1 | 3 from 20 |
| Good to Soft | 703 | 80 | 11.4% | +1.7 | 0 from 7 |
| Soft | 878 | 71 | 8.1% | −1.6 | 0 from 7 |
| Heavy | 262 | 27 | 10.3% | +0.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 2,091 | 210 | 10% | +0.3 | 0 from 14 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 899 | 87 | 9.7% | 0 | 2 from 19 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,896 | 287 | 9.9% | +0.2 | 2 from 32 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,468 | 151 | 10.3% | +0.6 | 0 from 11 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 719 | 58 | 8.1% | −1.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 330 | 27 | 8.2% | −1.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 155 | 21 | 13.5% | +3.8 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 44 | 4 | 9.1% | −0.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Ningxai (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Daneglow (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningxai (IRE) | 7 | 2 | 1m–1m2f | — |
| Daneglow (IRE) | 18 | 1 | 5f | Class 6 |
| Heart In Motion (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Sploosh (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Elsiesisle (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Prince Valluga (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 20 | 3 | 15% | +1.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
| Good to Firm | 13 | 1 | 8% | +54.00 |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Soft | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 20 | 2 | 10% | −10.00 |
| Class 5 | 17 | 1 | 6% | +50.00 |
| Class 4 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton | 13 | 2 | 15% | −3.00 |
| Carlisle | 10 | 1 | 10% | +57.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Beverley | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Curragh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Redcar | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ayr | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Down Royal | 2 | 1 | 50% | +9.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 32 | 2 | 6% | −17.00 |
| Under 6f | 19 | 2 | 11% | +54.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Elliott | 18 | 2 | 11% | +55.00 |
| Paula Muir | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Chris Hayes | 6 | 1 | 17% | +5.00 |
| Jason Hart | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Ross Coakley | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Rowan Scott | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Rosie Jessop | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Louis Steward | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| W J Lee | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Poppy Bridgwater | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Alistair Rawlinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| P J McDonald | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dougie Costello | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr W Hogg | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Phil Dennis | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Miss Catherine Walton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cathy Gannon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| L P Dempsey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 39 | 4 | 10% | +49.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Visor | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| E/S | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2016 | 17 | 0 | 0% | −17.00 |
| 2015 | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| 2014 | 14 | 3 | 21% | +63.00 |
| 2013 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2012 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +9.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Slim Chance won?
- Slim Chance (IRE) won 4 of 62 archived starts between 2011 and 2017, a strike rate of 6.5%. Placed 20 times in total (32.3% of starts).
- Who trained Slim Chance?
- Slim Chance (IRE) was trained by Simon West on the most recent run on record, at Southwell (AW) on 10 January 2017.
- Who is Slim Chance's sire?
- Slim Chance (IRE) is by Clodovil (IRE) out of Valluga (IRE), whose sire is Ashkalani.
- What going does Slim Chance prefer?
- Slim Chance (IRE) has the best record on good going: 3 wins from 20 starts (15%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Slim Chance's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 53, from the run on 10 January 2017. The highest on record is 84.
- What is Slim Chance's sire's record?
- Clodovil (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since Jan 2008 (415 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
- Who are Slim Chance's siblings?
- Out of Valluga (IRE), Slim Chance (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Ningxai (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Daneglow (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.
- Has Slim Chance produced winners?
- As a dam, Slim Chance (IRE) has 2 produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.