Lucia Changretta (GB)
Lucia Changretta raced eight times without a win or place between Apr 2021 and Mar 2022. The filly, by Cable Bay out of a Pivotal mare, reached an official rating of 60 at her highest and contested six different courses, five of them on the all-weather. All seven runs at 6f to 7f and all five starts on standard going brought no success. She finished 11 of 11 at Wolverhampton in Mar 2022 when last raced off OR 55.
- 0–8Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −8.00£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=8 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 60Highest OR
- 42dBetween runs (median)longest 108 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 91
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 85A | 55 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 91A | 61 | — |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 3,727 runs since Apr 2019 (243 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 645. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | +3.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 629 | 77 | 12.2% | +2.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 815 | 84 | 10.3% | +0.4 | — |
| Good to Soft | 332 | 26 | 7.8% | −2.1 | — |
| Soft | 359 | 37 | 10.3% | +0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 102 | 9 | 8.8% | −1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,475 | 133 | 9% | −0.9 | 0 from 5 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 645 | 89 | 13.8% | +3.9 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,897 | 174 | 9.2% | −0.7 | 0 from 7 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 784 | 80 | 10.2% | +0.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 290 | 16 | 5.5% | −4.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 79 | 7 | 8.9% | −1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 30 | 2 | 6.7% | −3.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2019 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Roof Garden (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Roof Garden (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roof Garden (GB) | 16 | 2 | 1m | Class 6 |
| Optionality (GB) | 6 | 1 | 5f | — |
| Sole Bay Star (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Celestial (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gina Mangan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jason Watson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Kirrane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Charlie Bennett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Shepherd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2021 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Mar 22+11d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Read Ross O'Sullivan On Betway Insider Handicap (Div 2) | 11/11 | 12 | 9-2 | 55 | 51C | 20C | Gina Mangan | 125/1 |
| 28 Feb 22+108d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Newbridge Handicap | 11/11 | 5 | 9-2 | 55 | 55C | 29C | Gina Mangan | 80/1 |
| 2021 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Nov 21+9d | Kempton (AW) | Try Our New Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap | 8/9 | nk | 9-6 | 59 | 85A | 52A | Jason Watson | 100/1 |
| 03 Nov 21+61d | Nottingham | MansionBet Proud To Support British Racing Handicap | 14/17 | hd | 9-2 | 59 | 106C | 58A | Silvestre De Sousa | 28/1 |
| 03 Sep 21+58d | Newcastle (AW) | However You Play, Play Bet UK Handicap (Div 2) | 11/11 | 20 | 8-12 | 60 | 22C | 34C | Sean Kirrane | 22/1 |
| 07 Jul 21+42d | Lingfield | Kevin Escott 50th Birthday Maiden Fillies' Stakes | 6/11 | ¾ | 9-0 | — | 91A | 59A | Charlie Bennett | 150/1 |
| 26 May 21+31d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Ebc Group Maiden Fillies' Stakes | 10/10 | 5 | 9-0 | — | 69C | 33C | Callum Shepherd | 28/1 |
| 25 Apr 21 | Salisbury | Whitsbury Manor Stud Novice Stakes (Div 1) | 9/10 | 8 | 8-11 | — | 61C | 35C | Kieran Shoemark | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lucia Changretta won?
- Lucia Changretta (GB) has yet to win, from 8 archived starts between 2021 and 2022.
- Who trained Lucia Changretta?
- Lucia Changretta (GB) was trained by John O'Shea on the most recent run on record, at Wolverhampton (AW) on 11 March 2022.
- Who is Lucia Changretta's sire?
- Lucia Changretta (GB) is by Cable Bay (IRE) out of Celebrity (GB), whose sire is Pivotal.
- What is Lucia Changretta's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 55, from the run on 11 March 2022. The highest on record is 60.
- What is Lucia Changretta's sire's record?
- Cable Bay (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 3,727 runs since Apr 2019 (243 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 645. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
- Who are Lucia Changretta's siblings?
- Out of Celebrity (GB), Lucia Changretta (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Roof Garden (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Roof Garden (GB)). The wins came over 5f–1m. As at Nov 2026.