Sean Kirrane
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 360 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (163 rides). Rides mostly for Tim Easterby — 53% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Pontefract (17.2%, n=64), clear of the rider's 9.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.4% (n=163, Fair A/E 1.25), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=194, Fair A/E 0.87). Tim Easterby supplies 53% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.2%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (18.2%, n=44). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes at York (Aug 2023, £302,690). The standout partner of the record: Rain Cap (GB) — 5 wins from 28 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2017→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,189 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,189 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 January 2017 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 0) · to 27 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Sean Kirrane's strike rate?
- Sean Kirrane has won 177 of 1,805 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Sean Kirrane do best at?
- Pontefract by strike rate: 11 wins from 64 rides (17.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Sean Kirrane ride most for?
- Tim Easterby, with 950 rides since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 97 (10.2%).
- Is Sean Kirrane in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Sean Kirrane's Fair A/E?
- 1.06, from 1,798 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.