What is Callum Shepherd's strike rate?

Callum Shepherd has won 319 of 2,861 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Callum Shepherd do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 11 wins from 70 rides (15.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Callum Shepherd ride most for?

George Scott, with 307 rides since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (15.3%).

Is Callum Shepherd in form?

In the last 14 days: 36 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 8.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.1% since 2022.

What is Callum Shepherd's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 2,849 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Callum Shepherd

2,861 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,642 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2022

319–2,861

Wins / Runs

11.1%

Strike rate

n=2,861

880 (31%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=2,849 · 0.85 incl. margin

−724.24

£1 level stake

n=2,861 at SP · −25.3%

£5.18m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 570 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (317 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,861 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 36.2% when favourite George Scott: 15.3% from 307 LTO winners: 18.3% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (20.9%, n=43) and Epsom Downs (20%, n=30) — all clear of the rider's 11.1% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.3% (n=317, Fair A/E 1.00), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.1% (n=246, Fair A/E 0.94). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 11.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.34 and +33.10 to a £1 stake over 126 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. George Scott supplies 11% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.3% vs 11.1%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 18 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Hardwicke Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2024, £141,775). The standout partner of the record: Aramis Grey (IRE) — 7 wins from 36 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10%−1.1

n=1,537 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −467.87

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.3%+7.2

n=317 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −42.35

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.2%−0.9

n=490 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −75.32

When favourite

36.2%

n=287 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −2.60

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.1%−5.0

n=246 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −109.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.1%+0.0

n=126 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +33.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Rae Guest 23.7% vs 11.1% · n=114

On last-time-out winners 18.3% vs 11.1% · n=317

At Lingfield 20.9% vs 11.1% · n=43

With headgear back on 2.9% vs 11.1% · n=70

With Stuart Williams 2.3% vs 11.1% · n=43

At Epsom Downs 20% vs 11.1% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,503 177 11.8% −292.90

Good 516 62 12% −96.72

Good to Firm 461 43 9.3% −148.65

Good to Soft 164 14 8.5% −95.89

Soft 153 15 9.8% −65.15

Heavy 46 5 10.9% −15.00

Firm 18 3 16.7% −9.93

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 359 47 13.1% −73.03

Kempton (AW) 341 24 7% −141.13

Southwell (AW) 255 32 12.5% −56.58

Lingfield (AW) 234 30 12.8% −49.33

Chelmsford City (AW) 227 35 15.4% +36.22

Yarmouth 149 20 13.4% −38.00

Windsor 131 15 11.5% −39.79

Newcastle (AW) 86 9 10.5% −8.05

Ascot 82 7 8.5% −31.25

Newmarket 79 6 7.6% +5.75

Newmarket 77 5 6.5% −30.38

Doncaster 76 6 7.9% −27.80

Bath 70 11 15.7% −15.50

Goodwood 68 5 7.4% −42.25

Sandown 62 6 9.7% −36.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 849 94 11.1% −303.20

Class 6 726 98 13.5% −68.15

Class 4 661 73 11% −158.20

Class 2 253 16 6.3% −122.87

Class 3 243 24 9.9% −101.92

Class 1 126 14 11.1% +33.10

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 329 114 34.7% 1.14 −1.39

2nd–3rd fav 689 111 16.1% 0.92 −157.18

4th–6th fav 930 73 7.8% 0.99 −130.67

7th+ in betting 913 21 2.3% 0.73 −435.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Aramis Grey (IRE) 27 4 18 26 Jun 25

Tiger Crusade (FR) 19 3 3 9 Apr 26

Checkandchallenge (GB) 15 1 5 26 Sep 26

Masterclass (GB) 15 2 8 9 Apr 24

Holy Fire (GB) 14 2 5 25 Feb 26

Moulin Booj (IRE) 13 2 7 20 Mar 26

Lhebayeb (GER) 13 3 7 12 Jan 26

Charlatan (IRE) 13 5 8 6 Jan 26

Essme (GB) 12 0 6 14 Jan 24

Caballo De Mar (IRE) 11 5 9 6 Sep 25

City Of York (GB) 10 2 2 13 Dec 25

The Feminine Urge (IRE) 10 2 3 13 Aug 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,642 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

3 from 36 8.3% · −2.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days8.3%

5-season base11.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

131711989141111131213

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGeorge Scott

11% of all rides
15.3% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

George Scott 307 47 15.3% −54.75

David Simcock 264 40 15.2% −31.50

Charlie Johnston 175 22 12.6% −20.75

Charlie Fellowes 168 14 8.3% −81.06

Michael Bell 146 17 11.6% −61.42

William Knight 134 16 11.9% −36.09

Rae Guest 114 27 23.7% +31.15

George Boughey 83 7 8.4% −41.38

Stella Barclay 65 8 12.3% −3.02

Jamie Osborne 52 3 5.8% −1.50

James Fanshawe 52 4 7.7% −28.92

Simon & Ed Crisford 51 7 13.7% −28.33

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

677

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.23m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 87 wins

Isle Of Jura (GB) — Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) Ascot · Jun 2024 · Group 2

£141,775

Bay City Roller (IRE) — Betfred Champagne Stakes (Group 2) Doncaster · Sep 2024 · Group 2

£88,800

Quddwah (GB) — Anne Cowley Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) (Rnd) Ascot · Jul 2024 · Group 2

£79,394

Notable horses

Aramis Grey (IRE) Tiger Crusade (FR) Treacherous (GB) Jewel In My Crown (GB) Swiss Cross (GB) Charlatan (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 5.7% · 4–70

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 11.3% · 7–62

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,150 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

Dandy Man (IRE) 7% · 4–57

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

No Nay Never (USA) 13.5% · 7–52

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,307 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9% from 612. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.

Showcasing (GB) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,577 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.

Bated Breath (GB) 11.8% · 6–51

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,128 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 843.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,309 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,309 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 February 2014 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ballybunion (IRE)T: Michael Bell bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 3/1F

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Louis The Fifth (IRE)T: Michael Bell bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 12/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Go Lockers Go (GB)T: Michael Bell bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 17/2

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) National Pride (IRE)T: William Haggas bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 9/2

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Caledonian (GB)T: David Simcock Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 7/2

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Belle Amie (SWE)T: David Simcock Andrew And Tony Roy Memorial Race Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sayidah Dubawi (IRE)T: James Tate Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 9/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Folkene (FR)T: Roger Fell racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 17th 14/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Mr Cool (IRE)T: Charlie Johnston Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 12th 5/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Sax Symbol (GB)T: Charlie Johnston Watch Live On Racing TV EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 7th 150/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Noble Guest (GB)T: George Margarson Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 8th 4/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Fizzy Bear (IRE)T: George Baker Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Vitality (IRE)T: Charlie Johnston Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 9th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Call My Bluff (IRE)T: Dominic Ffrench Davis Colwick Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 80/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Let's Dream (GB)T: Michael Bell Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 125/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Lone Warrior (IRE)T: George Scott EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 13/8F

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Troublesome Guest (IRE)T: George Margarson 31st Oct Halloween Spooktacular Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 11/4

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Potters Prince (GB)T: Matt Crawley Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 5/2F

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Raffles Angel (GB)T: Jack Jones First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 13/2

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Koffee And Kale (GB)T: Michael Bell Quinnbet Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 5/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Callum Shepherd's strike rate?: Callum Shepherd has won 319 of 2,861 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Callum Shepherd do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 11 wins from 70 rides (15.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Callum Shepherd ride most for?: George Scott, with 307 rides since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (15.3%).
Is Callum Shepherd in form?: In the last 14 days: 36 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 8.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.1% since 2022.
What is Callum Shepherd's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 2,849 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.