Lucky Manifest (IRE)
Lucky Manifest is 2 from 11, both wins at Class 4 level over 2m5f – 3m on good going at Kelso. The gelding won a novices hurdle in May 2025 and a conditional jockeys handicap hurdle in Oct 2025 off an official rating of 109. He last ran at Sandown in Apr 2026, finishing 7 of 10 in a Class 2 handicap hurdle off 122 while wearing first-time headgear.
- 2–11Wins / Runs
- 18.2%Strike rate
- 3 (27.3%)Placed
- −3.50£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 1.34Fair A/E n=11 · 1.14 incl. margin
- 123Highest OR
- 45dBetween runs (median)longest 203 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 115
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 151B | 103 | 2 runs · 151 / 131.5 |
| Good | 2 | 115A | 102 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 119A | 107.5 | 2 runs · 119 / 107.5 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 115A | 112 | 2 runs · 115 / 113.5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 151B | 119 | 2 runs · 151 / 135 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 96B | 91 | 1 run · — |
Of 11 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 8 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Mid-division 6 (75%) · 2 wins
- Prominent 1 (13%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (13%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 6.3% of 430 runs since Jun 2020 (61 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 151.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +13.7 | — |
| Good | 154 | 11 | 7.1% | +0.8 | 2 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 97 | 7 | 7.2% | +0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 128 | 7 | 5.5% | −0.8 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 46 | 1 | 2.2% | −4.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −6.3 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −6.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −6.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 151 | 5 | 3.3% | −3 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 156 | 8 | 5.1% | −1.2 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 98 | 12 | 12.2% | +5.9 | 2 from 4 |
| Over 3m | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | +5.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Dr Robin (IRE) (9 wins).
The wins came over 1m7½f–3m1½f; the highest grade won is Class 1 (Heron Heights (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dr Robin (IRE) | 48 | 9 | 2m5f–3m1½f | Class 2 |
| Witness In Court (IRE) | 47 | 8 | 1m7½f–2m5½f | Class 2 |
| Heron Heights (IRE) | 22 | 6 | 2m3½f–3m½f | Class 1 |
| Stellar Magic (IRE) | 16 | 3 | 2m3f–3m1f | Class 3 |
| Knuckle Duster (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Mighty Zeus (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 2 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.50 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelso | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.50 |
| Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 2 | 50% | +3.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stan Sheppard | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Toby McCain-Mitchell | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.50 |
| Ryan Mania | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Paddy Cody | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Paddy Hanlon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 10 | 2 | 20% | −2.50 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2025 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +2.50 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 9 | 2 | 22% | −1.50 |
| Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 25 Apr 26+56d | Sandown | bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled in the pack early - improved into contention approaching 3 out then pushed along before 2 out - lost ground before the last and finished 7th | 7/10 | 1 | 10-7 | 122 | 115A | 128A | Stan Sheppard | 17/2 |
| 28 Feb 26+33d | Kelso | bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap) (GBB Race) Sat no closer than mid-pack throughout - pushed along after the second-last - dropped away beyond the final fence to finish well beaten | 10/17 | 1¾ | 11-0 | 123 | 96B | 116A | Stan Sheppard | 18/1 |
| 26 Jan 26+45d | Plumpton | Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle Up with the pace - roused approaching 2 out and threw down a bid at the last - could not peg back the top two on the run-in and finished third | 3/7 | 2½ | 11-10 | 123 | 112A | 129A | Stan Sheppard | 7/2 |
| 2025 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Dec 25+28d | Cheltenham | Citipost Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled in the pack - urged into fourth approaching last - lost momentum soon after and dropped away | 8/10 | 2¾ | 11-0 | 123 | 119A | 119A | Stan Sheppard | 2/1F |
| 14 Nov 25+20d | Cheltenham | Lycetts Insurance Brokers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Fought for control early - settled towards back - made progress before 3 out - shared front spot 2 out - pushed along and overtaken near last - briefly dropped to third - stayed on well - snatched back second on the line | 2/18 | 1 | 11-7 | 118 | 151B | 142A | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 10/1 |
| 25 Oct 25+171d | Kelso | RacingTV/Freetrial Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Settled in the pack - moved into third approaching the last stages - driven up to hit the front on the run-in - clear and coasting home at the finish | 1/8 | 12-0 | 109 | — | 132A | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 7/2 | |
| 07 May 25+47d | Kelso | Strawmax Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled off the pace towards the back - made ground from three out - hit the front two out - drifted left with race won before the last - won going away | 1/6 | 11-1 | — | 89B | 117B | Ryan Mania | 2/1 | |
| 21 Mar 25+203d | Musselburgh | Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Fought for control early - tracked front pair after the first before fading into the pack by three out - stopped before two out | PU/6 | — | 11-6 | — | — | — | Ryan Mania | 9/4 |
| 2024 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Aug 24+43d | Wexford | Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle Settled around midpack early - pushed along in 6th turning for home - unable to close the gap - well held at the line | 7/13 | 1¾ | 10-9 | — | 94C | 105A | Paddy Hanlon | 40/1 |
| 18 Jul 24+63d | Killarney | Dr Ivo O'Sullivan Memorial Flat Race | 6/11 | ½ | 11-3 | — | — | 65C | Paddy Cody | 33/1 |
| 16 May 24 | Clonmel | John Walsh (Mainstown) Memorial Flat Race | 8/14 | 9 | 11-1 | — | 86B | 89A | Paddy Cody | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lucky Manifest won?
- Lucky Manifest (IRE) won 2 of 11 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 18.2%. Placed 3 times in total (27.3% of starts).
- Who trains Lucky Manifest?
- Lucky Manifest (IRE) is trained by Tom Lacey, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 April 2026.
- Who is Lucky Manifest's sire?
- Lucky Manifest (IRE) is by Lucky Speed (IRE) out of Inter Alia (IRE), whose sire is Dr Massini.
- What going does Lucky Manifest prefer?
- Lucky Manifest (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Lucky Manifest's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 122, from the run on 25 April 2026. The highest on record is 123.
- What is Lucky Manifest's sire's record?
- Lucky Speed (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 6.3% of 430 runs since Jun 2020 (61 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 151.
- Who are Lucky Manifest's siblings?
- Out of Inter Alia (IRE), Lucky Manifest (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Dr Robin (IRE) (9). Highest grade won: Class 1 (Heron Heights (IRE)). The wins came over 1m7½f–3m1½f. As at Nov 2026.