Must Be Ten (IRE)
Must Be Ten is a colt by Ten Sovereigns out of an Itmusthavebeenlove mare. He has one win from eight starts, the success coming in a Class 6 handicap at Wolverhampton over 6f-7f on standard going in Dec 2025 off an official rating of 62. All his runs have been over 6f-7f. He finished third of five at Southwell in a Class 4 handicap in Feb 2026.
- 1–8Wins / Runs
- 12.5%Strike rate
- 2 (25%)Placed
- −2.50£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 1.42Fair A/E n=8 · 1.24 incl. margin
- 70Highest OR
- 36dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 86
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 86A | 73 | 3 runs · 86 / 77 |
| Good | 2 | 87A | 57 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 8 | 87A | 73 | 3 runs · 86 / 77 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs since May 2025
- Held up 5 (71%) · 1 win
- Prominent 1 (14%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (14%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.9% of 1,600 runs since Apr 2023 (243 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17% from 159. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 149.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +39.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 209 | 20 | 9.6% | −1.3 | — |
| Good | 404 | 42 | 10.4% | −0.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 158 | 15 | 9.5% | −1.4 | — |
| Soft | 221 | 24 | 10.9% | 0 | — |
| Heavy | 41 | 4 | 9.8% | −1.1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 565 | 68 | 12% | +1.1 | 1 from 6 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 159 | 27 | 17% | +6.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 844 | 100 | 11.8% | +0.9 | 1 from 8 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 401 | 36 | 9% | −1.9 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 149 | 11 | 7.4% | −3.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 28 | 0 | 0% | −10.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 17 | 0 | 0% | −10.9 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −10.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2023 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Vincent Rocks (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (God Given Talent (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Rocks (IRE) | 11 | 2 | 1m–1m½f | Class 5 |
| God Given Talent (IRE) | 5 | 1 | 6f | Class 4 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 1 | 17% | −0.50 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lingfield (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saffie Osborne | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| William Carver | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sean D Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Shepherd | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blinkers | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.50 |
| None | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −1.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 05 Feb 26+37d | Southwell (AW) | Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Held up at the rear - pushed along around 2f out then eased left and made progress - up to third inside the final furlong - kept on for third without threatening the front | 3/5 | nk | 8-4 | 66 | 62C | 67B | Sean D Bowen | 13/2 |
| 2025 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Dec 25+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Held up towards the back - urged forward after 2f out - swung wide entering the straight and stayed on hard into the final furlong - eased over to the left inside the last - hit the front close home - kept going to win | 1/10 | 9-7 | 62 | 86A | 70A | Callum Shepherd | 9/2 | |
| 15 Dec 25+48d | Lingfield (AW) | Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Keen early on - drifted right and clipped another runner just after the break - settled towards the back of the pack - driven approaching the final two furlongs - kept going without gaining much ground and finished fifth | 5/10 | 1¾ | 9-8 | 64 | 77A | 61A | Saffie Osborne | 11/2 |
| 28 Oct 25+14d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Slow to break - held towards back - crept into contention inside final furlong but no threat to leaders | 5/9 | ¾ | 9-0 | 66 | 79A | 66A | William Carver | 50/1 |
| 14 Oct 25+41d | Lingfield (AW) | Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Is Back Nursery Held up at the back - no impression made and dropped away inside final furlong - finished 11th | 11/14 | ½ | 9-9 | 70 | 67B | 63A | William Carver | 50/1 |
| 03 Sep 25+12d | Lingfield (AW) | Brown & Brown Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Handy early - shaken up approaching final 2f - dropped away inside final furlong to finish eighth | 8/9 | 2¾ | 9-7 | — | 69A | 56A | Saffie Osborne | 22/1 |
| 22 Aug 25+84d | Ffos Las | Ascona Ladies In Lace EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Settled off the pace - pushed along with 2f left - unable to close on the front markers - finished third | 3/4 | 8½ | 9-4 | — | 27C | 58B | Saffie Osborne | 5/1 |
| 30 May 25 | Brighton | Star Sports We Believe In Bookmaking Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Squeezed for space early - settled towards back - drifted left then shifted right approaching final furlong - kept on inside final stages to snatch second late - unable to threaten winner | 2/9 | 4½ | 9-7 | — | 87A | 79A | Saffie Osborne | 10/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Must Be Ten won?
- Must Be Ten (IRE) won 1 of 8 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 2 times in total (25% of starts).
- Who trains Must Be Ten?
- Must Be Ten (IRE) is trained by Jamie Osborne, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 February 2026.
- Who is Must Be Ten's sire?
- Must Be Ten (IRE) is by Ten Sovereigns (IRE) out of Itmusthavebeenlove (IRE), whose sire is Galileo.
- What going does Must Be Ten prefer?
- Must Be Ten (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Must Be Ten's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 66, from the run on 5 February 2026. The highest on record is 70.
- What is Must Be Ten's sire's record?
- Ten Sovereigns (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.9% of 1,600 runs since Apr 2023 (243 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17% from 159. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 149.
- Who are Must Be Ten's siblings?
- Out of Itmusthavebeenlove (IRE), Must Be Ten (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Vincent Rocks (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (God Given Talent (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m½f. As at Nov 2026.