What is William Carver's strike rate?

William Carver has won 66 of 844 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does William Carver do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 30 rides (26.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does William Carver ride most for?

Jamie Osborne, with 318 rides since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (8.8%).

Is William Carver in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is William Carver's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 834 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

William Carver

844 rides in the last 5 seasons · 356 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

66–844

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=844

175 (21%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=834 · 0.82 incl. margin

−236.03

£1 level stake

n=844 at SP · −28.0%

£734k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 170 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (72 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 844 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 24.5% when favourite Jamie Osborne: 8.8% from 318 LTO winners: 15.3% Claiming: 7.9% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (26.7%, n=30), clear of the rider's 7.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.3% (n=72, Fair A/E 0.79), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=74, Fair A/E 0.35). Jamie Osborne supplies 38% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.8%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good to Soft going (13.3%, n=45). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 0% over 54 rides, 7.8pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Gorgeous General (GB) — 5 wins from 11 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.7%−0.1

n=338 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −118.15

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.3%+7.5

n=72 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −15.09

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.3%−1.5

n=126 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −59.88

When favourite

24.5%

n=49 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −13.54

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.9%+0.1

n=455 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −168.94

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.4%−6.4

n=74 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −55.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.8

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newcastle (AW) 26.7% vs 7.8% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 15.3% vs 7.8% · n=72

In Class 2 0% vs 7.8% · n=54

With debutants 1.4% vs 7.8% · n=69

Off a break of 180+ days 2.2% vs 7.8% · n=46

On Good to Soft going 13.3% vs 7.8% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 502 38 7.6% −98.74

Good to Firm 118 6 5.1% −83.07

Good 110 11 10% −30.84

Soft 50 2 4% −28.00

Good to Soft 45 6 13.3% −2.88

Heavy 12 3 25% +14.50

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 118 8 6.8% −64.25

Kempton (AW) 116 6 5.2% −75.82

Wolverhampton (AW) 100 6 6% −15.00

Southwell (AW) 77 6 7.8% −34.50

Chelmsford (AW) 61 4 6.6% +78.00

Windsor 42 1 2.4% −37.00

Bath 36 4 11.1% −19.38

Salisbury 31 2 6.5% −11.50

Newcastle (AW) 30 8 26.7% +12.83

Ascot 23 3 13% −11.67

Goodwood 22 2 9.1% −10.75

Lingfield 19 0 0% −19.00

Leicester 18 2 11.1% −0.50

Brighton 17 1 5.9% −4.00

Doncaster 17 1 5.9% −9.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 282 27 9.6% −100.87

Class 6 249 16 6.4% −114.82

Class 4 173 20 11.6% +104.33

Class 3 79 3 3.8% −63.67

Class 2 54 0 0% −54.00

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 51 12 23.5% 0.66 −15.54

2nd–3rd fav 135 25 18.5% 1.12 +2.51

4th–6th fav 270 21 7.8% 1.06 −55.00

7th+ in betting 388 8 2.1% 0.69 −168.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Twilight Madness (GB) 19 1 5 18 Aug 26

Hierarchy (IRE) 18 1 6 31 Aug 26

Em Four (GB) 12 0 2 22 Oct 26

Many A Star (IRE) 12 3 3 10 Aug 25

Liege (IRE) 10 0 0 8 Jul 25

Savoy Brown (GB) 10 1 2 4 Jun 24

Star Adorned (IRE) 10 0 0 4 Feb 24

Epictetus (IRE) 9 0 0 23 Oct 26

Jungle Drums (IRE) 9 2 2 16 Oct 26

Antiquity (GB) 9 0 0 22 May 26

Imperial Fighter (IRE) 9 1 1 29 Jan 25

Tyger Bay (GB) 9 2 3 7 Sep 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 356 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

77364898135914

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJamie Osborne

38% of all rides
8.8% SR · A/E 1.18

TrainerRWSR£1

Jamie Osborne 318 28 8.8% −8.87

Simon Hodgson 179 8 4.5% −120.17

Andrew Balding 135 13 9.6% −45.35

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

122

Archived wins

£1.19m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 23 wins

Bell Rock (GB) — 'My Oddsboost' On Betfair Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) Newmarket · May 2021 · Class 2

£18,039

Andaleep (IRE) — Sky Bet Sunday Series Apprentice Handicap Sandown · Aug 2022 · Class 4

£18,039

Amazing Journey (IRE) — Savills Handicap Stakes Ascot · Jul 2026 · Class 3

£16,200

Notable horses

Gorgeous General (GB) Seaborn (IRE) Sly Madam (GB) Sonnet Rose (IRE) Tralee Hills (GB) Many A Star (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mehmas (IRE) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,224 runs since 2020 (753 horses).

Kingman (GB) 0% · 0–26

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,529 runs since 2018 (778 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 122.

Twilight Son (GB) 3.8% · 1–26

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,666 runs since 2020 (284 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.9% from 621.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 20% · 5–25

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,222 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,199.

Dandy Man (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,983 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Showcasing (GB) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,654 runs since 2014 (999 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,344 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,344 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 November 2017 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Ghost Fire (GB)T: Andrew Balding British EBF Future Stayers Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 9th 80/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Knock Three Times (IRE)T: Jamie Osborne AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket White Birch (GB)T: Jamie Osborne German Group One Racecourses James Seymour Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 11/4F

29 Oct 26 Bath Zulu Chieftain (GB)T: Jamie Osborne David Cole Memorial EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 50/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Room Service (IRE)T: Jamie Osborne Robin Hood Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly Known As The Ben Marshall Stakes)Class 1 · 8.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 14/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Lady Kameko (GB)T: Simon Pearce Fireworks Festival Here Saturday 7th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 22/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Epictetus (IRE)T: Jamie Osborne Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 28/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Em Four (GB)T: Jamie Osborne Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 20/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Decalogue (USA)T: Jamie Osborne AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 7/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Hello You Ten (IRE)T: Jamie Osborne Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 14/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Room Service (IRE)T: Jamie Osborne Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 6th 125/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Jungle Drums (IRE)T: Jamie Osborne Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 10/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester One Smack Mac (IRE)T: Jamie Osborne Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 15th 66/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Jungle Drums (IRE)T: Jamie Osborne Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 25/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Grapple (GB)T: Jamie Osborne Seat Unique EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 7th 14/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Littlecote (GB)T: Andrew Balding British Stallion Studs EBF Beckford Stakes (Listed Race) (GBBPlus Race)Class 1 · 14f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 80/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Coroneta (USA)T: Jamie Osborne Unibet Interactive Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 8th 100/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Hellcat (GB)T: Ross Burdon bettingsites.co.uk Racing Offers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 14/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Insuspense (GB)T: Ross Burdon bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 11/4

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Dodging The Bullet (IRE)T: Richard Bandey Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 7th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is William Carver's strike rate?: William Carver has won 66 of 844 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does William Carver do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 30 rides (26.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does William Carver ride most for?: Jamie Osborne, with 318 rides since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (8.8%).
Is William Carver in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is William Carver's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 834 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.