What is Saffie Osborne's strike rate?

Saffie Osborne has won 340 of 2,693 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Saffie Osborne do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 22 wins from 109 rides (20.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Saffie Osborne ride most for?

Jamie Osborne, with 747 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 90 (12%).

What is Saffie Osborne's Fair A/E?

1.12, from 2,678 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Saffie Osborne

2,693 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,430 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 22 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

340–2,693

Wins / Runs

12.6%

Strike rate

n=2,693

843 (31%)

Placed

1.12

Fair A/E

n=2,678 · 0.96 incl. margin

−225.14

£1 level stake

n=2,693 at SP · −8.4%

£7.61m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 540 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.12). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (310 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,693 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Fresh horses: 13.7% 33.7% when favourite Jamie Osborne: 12% from 747 LTO winners: 17.4% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (24.2%, n=66), Newcastle (AW) (22.7%, n=66) and Brighton (20.2%, n=109) — all clear of the rider's 12.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.4% (n=310, Fair A/E 1.16), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 6.8% (n=118, Fair A/E 0.90). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 8.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.57 and +64.93 to a £1 stake over 381 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jamie Osborne supplies 28% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfred St Leger Stakes at Doncaster (Sep 2026, £396,970). The standout partner of the record: Miss Sligo (IRE) — 6 wins from 35 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.2%−1.4

n=1,399 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −243.36

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.4%+4.8

n=310 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −40.39

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

13.7%+1.1

n=379 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +63.83

When favourite

33.7%

n=282 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −13.62

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.9%−0.7

n=352 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −32.68

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.9%−3.7

n=381 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +64.93

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.8%−5.8

n=118 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −6.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chepstow 24.2% vs 12.6% · n=66

At Newcastle (AW) 22.7% vs 12.6% · n=66

With Rod Millman 22.5% vs 12.6% · n=40

At Brighton 20.2% vs 12.6% · n=109

With Richard Spencer 19.7% vs 12.6% · n=127

With debutants 6.5% vs 12.6% · n=200

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 947 116 12.2% −61.85

Good to Firm 638 76 11.9% −77.53

Good 551 77 14% +34.30

Good to Soft 267 38 14.2% −3.38

Soft 221 24 10.9% −94.41

Heavy 65 9 13.8% −18.27

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 267 26 9.7% −103.77

Wolverhampton (AW) 183 23 12.6% −21.87

Windsor 178 18 10.1% −30.48

Lingfield (AW) 166 21 12.7% +5.37

Southwell (AW) 154 20 13% +1.74

Ascot 151 23 15.2% +53.08

Goodwood 126 14 11.1% −39.95

Newmarket 114 14 12.3% +87.71

Chelmsford City (AW) 111 11 9.9% −52.12

Brighton 109 22 20.2% +11.16

Newbury 93 8 8.6% −2.00

Yarmouth 88 15 17% −15.37

Newmarket 83 12 14.5% −1.79

Sandown 79 7 8.9% −30.75

Doncaster 76 9 11.8% −21.13

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 693 100 14.4% −26.20

Class 4 604 85 14.1% −28.23

Class 6 561 75 13.4% −78.31

Class 2 428 35 8.2% −130.39

Class 3 286 37 12.9% +47.16

Class 1 118 8 6.8% −6.17

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 317 101 31.9% 1.04 −26.12

2nd–3rd fav 641 110 17.2% 1.06 −79.02

4th–6th fav 921 98 10.6% 1.29 +14.50

7th+ in betting 814 31 3.8% 1.13 −134.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hierarchy (IRE) 28 4 12 14 Sep 26

Miss Sligo (IRE) 24 5 15 23 Jul 24

Hashtagmetoo (USA) 20 2 8 31 Mar 24

Hickory (IRE) 18 4 10 17 Oct 26

Many A Star (IRE) 17 2 6 20 May 26

Em Four (GB) 16 5 7 23 Sep 26

Ouzo (GB) 15 1 5 27 Nov 25

Billy Mill (GB) 14 4 9 23 Jul 26

Antiquity (GB) 14 3 5 30 Jun 26

Executive Decision (IRE) 14 2 4 25 Oct 24

Valkyrian (IRE) 14 5 6 7 Sep 24

Fantasy Believer (IRE) 13 5 7 8 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,430 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

10611161310131514111011

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJamie Osborne

28% of all rides
12% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

Jamie Osborne 747 90 12% −6.06

Ed Walker 310 49 15.8% −32.03

Richard Spencer 127 25 19.7% +8.13

George Boughey 56 5 8.9% −18.44

Gay Kelleway 56 9 16.1% +5.95

Clive Cox 55 11 20% +23.34

Michael Bell 52 6 11.5% −20.12

Ed Dunlop 52 5 9.6% −17.50

David Evans 51 4 7.8% −13.00

Ian Williams 49 7 14.3% +8.50

Charles Hills 49 5 10.2% −29.91

James Ferguson 42 3 7.1% −25.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

389

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.07m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 87 wins

Highwayman (FR) — Betfred St Leger Stakes (Group 1) Doncaster · Sep 2026 · Group 1

£396,970

Calendar Girl (GB) — Weatherbys Scientific 300,000 2-Y-O Stakes (GBB Race) Doncaster · Sep 2025 · Class 2

£216,245

Zigazig Ah (GB) — Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · Jul 2026 · Class 2

£143,009

Notable horses

Miss Sligo (IRE) Em Four (GB) Valkyrian (IRE) Fantasy Believer (IRE) Wild Thoughts (IRE) Tregony (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mehmas (IRE) 8% · 7–87

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,243 runs since 2020 (755 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 8.5% · 6–71

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Showcasing (GB) 15.2% · 10–66

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,667 runs since 2014 (1,000 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Kodiac (GB) 16.9% · 10–59

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,606 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Dandy Man (IRE) 10.9% · 6–55

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 13.5% · 7–52

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,249 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,114 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,114 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 July 2020 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Doncaster You Sexy Thing (IRE)T: Richard Spencer William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 18 ran 5th 11/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Intense Vision (GB)T: Oli Rix William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 2/1F

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Redemption Road (GB)T: Michael Keady William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 66/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Lil Brother (GB)T: Michael Keady CopyBet BOG Now For Cheltenham Tomorrow Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 28/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Kimbara (GB)T: Richard Spencer CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 11/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Ice Cube (IRE)T: Richard Spencer CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 3/1J

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Mythical Guest (IRE)T: George Margarson CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 13/2

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Asteverdi (GB)T: James Owen CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 6/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Susurrus (IRE)T: Ralph Beckett CopyBet For Europa League Profit Boosts EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 9/2

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Whiskey Bent (FR)T: Dylan Cunha Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 10/1

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Luna Celeste (IRE)T: Tom Clover Copybet Follow Us On X Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 2/1J

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Highland Girl (GB)T: Charlie Johnston British Stallion Studs Ebf Future Stayers Nursery Handicap Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 10f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 22/1

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Present Dream (IRE)T: David Menuisier Copybet Back Again At Newmarket Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 11/2

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Mayflower Rock (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 13/2

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Just King High (IRE)T: Ross Burdon Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Court Drive (IRE)T: Gay Kelleway Infobond Turnkey & Personnel Services Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 15/2

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth India Gold (IRE)T: Gay Kelleway Seadell Shops & Holiday Chalets Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 12/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Freedom Bay (GB)T: Zoe Hawkins Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 5/2F

19 Oct 26 Bath Knights Gold (IRE)T: Tom Ward Djsn Ltd Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 13/2

19 Oct 26 Bath Scrappetalene (GB)T: Charlie Johnston Wiltshire And Bath Air Ambulance Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 12 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 2) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Saffie Osborne's strike rate?: Saffie Osborne has won 340 of 2,693 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Saffie Osborne do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 22 wins from 109 rides (20.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Saffie Osborne ride most for?: Jamie Osborne, with 747 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 90 (12%).
What is Saffie Osborne's Fair A/E?: 1.12, from 2,678 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.