What is Jamie Osborne's strike rate?

Jamie Osborne has won 156 of 1,523 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jamie Osborne do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 6 wins from 40 runners (15%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jamie Osborne?

Saffie Osborne, with 747 runners since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 90 (12%).

Is Jamie Osborne in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jamie Osborne's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 1,513 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jamie Osborne

1,523 runners in the last 5 seasons · 190 individual horses

As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.3% of 320 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 25 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

156–1,523

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=1,523

420 (28%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=1,513 · 0.91 incl. margin

−189.39

£1 level stake

n=1,523 at SP · −12.4%

£2.13m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 300 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 13% (68 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,523 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 25 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 29.7% when favourite Saffie Osborne: 12% from 747 Claiming riders: 10.3% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (25%, n=32), clear of the yard's 10.2% baseline. It is weakest at Newbury (3% over 33 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 13.2% (n=68, Fair A/E 1.56), but debutants struggle at 1.9% (n=105, Fair A/E 0.44). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 9.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.32 and +13.37 to a £1 stake over 193 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Saffie Osborne rides 49% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (16.3%, n=98). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 3.2% over 95 runners, 7pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Bet With Ascot Challenge Cup at Ascot (Oct 2018, £112,050). The stable star of the record: Drawnfromthepast (IRE) — 12 wins from 53 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.8%−0.4

n=193 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +13.37

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.1%−5.1

n=59 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −6.00

Debutants · first career start

1.9%−8.3

n=105 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −92.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.2%+3.0

n=68 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +6.37

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.8%−0.4

n=41 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −24.40

When favourite

29.7%

n=111 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −14.76

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.3%+0.1

n=223 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −27.72

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.2

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chepstow 25% vs 10.2% · n=32

With debutants 1.9% vs 10.2% · n=105

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 10.2% · n=148

Off a break of 180+ days 3.2% vs 10.2% · n=95

Off a 61-180-day break 16.3% vs 10.2% · n=98

At Newbury 3% vs 10.2% · n=33

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,518 156 10.3% −184.39

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 870 97 11.1% −4.59

Good to Firm 247 25 10.1% −17.25

Good 191 16 8.4% −91.67

Good to Soft 101 10 9.9% −23.88

Soft 76 4 5.3% −46.00

Heavy 33 4 12.1% −1.00

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 222 23 10.4% −49.52

Wolverhampton (AW) 212 21 9.9% −25.12

Lingfield (AW) 146 16 11% −40.23

Southwell (AW) 133 16 12% −11.43

Chelmsford City (AW) 128 13 10.2% +55.58

Ascot 63 9 14.3% +25.00

Windsor 58 4 6.9% −8.50

Goodwood 48 3 6.3% −22.00

Bath 43 4 9.3% −31.18

Brighton 40 6 15% +2.25

Salisbury 35 2 5.7% −16.00

Sandown 35 2 5.7% −24.00

Leicester 35 5 14.3% +3.88

Newbury 33 1 3% −23.00

Lingfield 32 1 3.1% −26.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 502 52 10.4% −68.47

Class 6 371 52 14% −26.82

Class 4 338 33 9.8% −14.10

Class 2 159 10 6.3% −37.50

Class 3 136 9 6.6% −25.50

Class 1 17 0 0% −17.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 127 34 26.8% 0.91 −25.76

2nd–3rd fav 323 49 15.2% 0.93 −88.63

4th–6th fav 494 52 10.5% 1.29 −2.00

7th+ in betting 579 21 3.6% 1.20 −73.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hierarchy (IRE)from Hugo Palmer 52 5 19 14 Sep 26

Miss Sligo (IRE) 41 6 21 10 Sep 24

Em Four (GB) 37 7 13 22 Oct 26

Many A Star (IRE)from Paul & Oliver Cole 35 7 14 20 May 26

Antiquity (GB) 29 5 9 30 Jun 26

Epictetus (IRE)from John & Thady Gosden 28 1 7 23 Oct 26

Valkyrian (IRE)from G M Lyons 25 5 11 5 Oct 24

Hashtagmetoo (USA) 25 2 9 31 Mar 24

Aikhal (IRE)from A P O'Brien 23 1 2 6 Jun 25

Hickory (IRE)from James Fanshawe 19 4 8 17 Oct 26

Crystal Mariner (IRE)from Sir Michael Stoute · then John Joseph Hanlon 19 3 6 5 Jul 26

Thunder Blue (GB)from Dominic Ffrench Davis · then Michael Wigham 18 2 6 24 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 190 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 27 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sir Michael Stoute (3) and Andrew Balding (2); 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian Wintle (2) and John Joseph Hanlon (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 12

Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

159111467111017887

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSaffie Osborne

49% of all rides
12% SR · A/E 1.08

RiderRWSR£1

Saffie Osborne 747 90 12% −6.06

William Carver 314 28 8.9% −4.87

Nicola Currie 111 7 6.3% −39.17

Callum Shepherd 52 3 5.8% −1.50

Shane Kelly 45 4 8.9% −15.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

790

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.41m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 61 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Raising Sand (GB) — Bet With Ascot Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Oct 2018 · Class 2

£112,050

Field Of Dream (GB) — Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2014 · Class 2

£108,938

Never Can Tell (IRE) — Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Oct 2011 · Class 2

£99,600

Notable horses

Drawnfromthepast (IRE) Oratorio's Joy (IRE) Raising Sand (GB) Amadeus Wolfe Tone (IRE) Brains (IRE) Miss Sligo (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mehmas (IRE) 8.8% · 8–91

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,139 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Dandy Man (IRE) 9.7% · 6–62

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,935 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Showcasing (GB) 11.5% · 7–61

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,602 runs since 2008 (997 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Ardad (IRE) 17.9% · 10–56

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,519 runs since 2008 (351 horses).

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 25.5% · 13–51

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,161 runs since 2008 (660 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,191.

Kodiac (GB) 18% · 9–50

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,552 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,963 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,963 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 24 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Big Hitter (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald William Hill Remembering Sue Wright Prospect Stakes (registered As The Doncaster Stakes) (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 28/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Epictetus (IRE)J: William Carver Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 28/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Em Four (GB)J: William Carver Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 20/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Decalogue (USA)J: William Carver AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 7/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Golden Performance (USA)J: George Wood bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 80/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Hello You Ten (IRE)J: William Carver Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 14/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Knock Three Times (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Mj Church Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 7/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Hickory (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 7th 11/2

17 Oct 26 Ascot Room Service (IRE)J: William Carver Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 6th 125/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Jungle Drums (IRE)J: William Carver Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 10/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Storm Force Ten (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Each Way Extra At bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/2

13 Oct 26 Leicester One Smack Mac (IRE)J: William Carver Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 15th 66/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Jungle Drums (IRE)J: William Carver Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 25/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Hello You Ten (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 100/30

08 Oct 26 Bath Grapple (GB)J: William Carver Seat Unique EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 7th 14/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Coroneta (USA)J: William Carver Unibet Interactive Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 8th 100/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Miss Trickster (USA)J: Sean Levey Unibet Interactive Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 2nd 80/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Em Four (GB)J: William Carver Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 5th 16/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot The Fingal Raven (IRE)J: William Carver Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 15th 28/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Hickory (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 10th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jamie Osborne's strike rate?: Jamie Osborne has won 156 of 1,523 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jamie Osborne do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 6 wins from 40 runners (15%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jamie Osborne?: Saffie Osborne, with 747 runners since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 90 (12%).
Is Jamie Osborne in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jamie Osborne's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 1,513 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.