Nastya (IRE)
Nastya is a mare who has won three of 12 starts on turf all at handicap or beginners level. Two of those wins came over 2m5f – 3m, one on good ground at Limerick in May 2026 and one on soft ground at Killarney the previous October, while the third was in a mares maiden hurdle over 2m1f – 2m4f on good at Down Royal in April 2025. She has raced at nine different courses and usually races held up. Her last run, at Roscommon in Sep 2026, was off an official rating of 116.
- 3–12Wins / Runs
- 25%Strike rate
- 6 (50%)Placed
- −3.88£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 1.17Fair A/E n=12 · 0.99 incl. margin
- 118Highest OR
- 61dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 140
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 102A | 93 | 1 · — |
| Soft | 2 | 140A | 99 | 1 · — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 140A | 75.5 | 2 · 58 / 54.5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 106B | 104 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 12 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · did not complete (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 12 runs · as at 6 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs
- Held up 4 (57%) · 2 wins
- Prominent 2 (29%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (14%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 772 runs since Jan 2008 (82 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 5.7% from 123.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
| Good | 207 | 22 | 10.6% | +1.4 | 2 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 156 | 13 | 8.3% | −0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 273 | 29 | 10.6% | +1.4 | 1 from 2 |
| Heavy | 123 | 7 | 5.7% | −3.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | +17.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 274 | 27 | 9.9% | +0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 287 | 19 | 6.6% | −2.6 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 173 | 19 | 11% | +1.8 | 2 from 8 |
| Over 3m | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | −3.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Silver King (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m4½f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silver King (IRE) | 22 | 1 | 2m4½f | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 2 | 33% | −1.13 |
| Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.25 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Down Royal | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.38 |
| Limerick | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.25 |
| Roscommon (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tramore (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wexford (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tramore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 2 | 25% | −1.50 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.38 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.75 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.38 |
| Mike O'Connor | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Richard Condon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 7 | 2 | 29% | −2.13 |
| Tongue tie | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.75 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.75 |
| 2025 | 6 | 2 | 33% | −1.13 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 8 | 2 | 25% | −1.50 |
| Hurdle | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.38 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 26+43d | Roscommon (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Steeplechase Sat just behind the front group early - up to 2nd by halfway - blundered at the 8th - 3rd but scratchy again soon after - slipped to 6th approaching four out - driven out and unbalanced three out then faded late | 7/10 | 7 | 11-12 | 116 | 58C | 112C | Darragh O'Keeffe | 12/1 |
| 16 Aug 26+25d | Tramore (IRE) | McCarthy's Irish Bar Lexington Handicap Steeplechase Handy early - hit front for a spell then lost it after 2nd - back in command before 4th then overtaken at 5th - error at 7th - second at halfway - driven and faded fast beyond 3 out - pulled up before the last | PU/10 | — | 11-9 | 117 | — | — | Darragh O'Keeffe | 9/1 |
| 22 Jul 26+62d | Wexford (IRE) | WTW Willis Handicap Steeplechase held up at the back and stayed there after 1st - holding 5th after 5th - clumsy 7th - up in 4th after 12th - slipped to 5th after 4 out - a mistake at 3 out - soon adrift - faded and pulled up before 2 out | PU/5 | — | 11-12 | 118 | — | — | Darragh O'Keeffe | 11/4 |
| 21 May 26+201d | Limerick | Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Handicap Chase Sat just off the pace early - 4th at halfway - moved into contention entering the straight to lead 2nd approaching 2 out - couldn't get closer to the pacesetter but inherited command 100 yards out and stayed on to prevail | 1/8 | 11-11 | 114 | 51A | 130B | Darragh O'Keeffe | 9/4F | |
| 01 Nov 25+27d | Down Royal | Racing TV Handicap Chase Held a forward position early - urged to keep place before third-last - driven into second when came down two out | F/13 | — | 11-6 | 114 | — | — | Darragh O'Keeffe | 10/3F |
| 05 Oct 25+41d | Killarney | Devil's Punchbowl Beginners Chase Went straight to front - lost that spot at the 3rd and settled in behind - jumped awkwardly 6th - urged forward 3 out - back in command when left in front 2 out - shaken up and opened up before the last - edge cut back on final fence but kept battling to the line | 1/6 | 11-5 | 114 | 140A | 125B | Mike O'Connor | 9/4 | |
| 25 Aug 25+101d | Ballinrobe | Corrib Oil Beginners Chase Towards the back of the pack - erred at the 7th - moved into 5th at halfway - jumped poorly 3 out - pushed after 2 out and plugged on at one tempo up the run-in to finish second | 2/9 | 2¾ | 11-5 | — | 93A | 127B | Darragh O'Keeffe | 9/2 |
| 16 May 25+33d | Kilbeggan | Cooke's Bar And Restaurant Caragh Beginners Chase Handy early - improved into third - dropped back approaching finish - held no more in fifth at the end | 5/13 | 2½ | 11-5 | — | — | 115A | Darragh O'Keeffe | 6/4F |
| 13 Apr 25+75d | Down Royal | Giddyup And Switch To Fibrus Mares Maiden Hurdle Settled behind pace early - hit front for a spell 3rd - second at halfway - moving smoothly to take command 3 out - opened a big advantage before the following fence - hint of untidiness at the last - stayed on strongly to win in a canter | 1/6 | 10-13 | 108 | 102A | 121B | Rachael Blackmore | 8/13F | |
| 28 Jan 25+33d | Limerick | Limerick Racecourse Mares Maiden Hurdle Just in front early in a slow tempo - soon overtaken and settled midfield by the 4th - improved into contention before the 6th - slipped back to third approaching two out - unable to threaten the winner in the closing stages - held on for second without finding extra on the run-in | 2/11 | 21 | 11-7 | — | 79A | 105A | Rachael Blackmore | 7/2 |
| 26 Dec 24+30d | Down Royal | I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle Settled midpack early - still seventh at halfway - moved into third approaching three out then briefly second - faded slightly to drop back before the last - stayed on same speed to finish third | 3/15 | 5½ | 10-6 | — | 106B | 115A | Richard Condon | 12/1 |
| 26 Nov 24 | Tramore | New Years Day Discount Tickets Online Mares Maiden Hurdle Tracked the main group early - 7th at halfway - moved into 4th after the last - pressed on but couldn't close and stayed on same gear to the line | 4/13 | 13 | 10-13 | — | — | 97A | Darragh O'Keeffe | 3/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Nastya (IRE) won?
- Nastya (IRE) won 3 of 12 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 6 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trains Nastya (IRE)?
- Nastya (IRE) is trained by Henry de Bromhead, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 28 September 2026.
- Who is Nastya (IRE)'s sire?
- Nastya (IRE) is by Vendangeur (IRE) out of Lisnasella (IRE), whose sire is Great Palm.
- What going does Nastya (IRE) prefer?
- Nastya (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Nastya (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 116, from the run on 28 September 2026. The highest on record is 118.
- What is Nastya (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Vendangeur (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 772 runs since Jan 2008 (82 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 5.7% from 123.
- Who are Nastya (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Lisnasella (IRE), Nastya (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Silver King (IRE) (1). The wins came over 2m4½f. As at Oct 2026.