Rachael Blackmore
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 280 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 16% off breaks of two months or more (430 runs). Rides mostly for Henry De Bromhead — 76% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Tipperary (26.1%, n=46) and Gowran Park (23.7%, n=38) — all clear of the rider's 13.3% baseline. It is weakest at Fairyhouse (5.7% over 122 rides) — the widest gap in the record. First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 8.3% (n=411, Fair A/E 0.65). The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 11.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −135.82 to a £1 stake over 221 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Henry De Bromhead supplies 76% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.8% vs 13.3%, A/E 0.95). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 1.6% over 62 rides, 11.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.16 across 61 rides (1.6% strike, −56.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 110 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Randox Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2021, £375,000). The standout partner of the record: Honeysuckle (GB) — 17 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 4,562 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 4,562 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 January 2010 to 10 May 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Rachael Blackmore's strike rate?
- Rachael Blackmore has won 184 of 1,384 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Rachael Blackmore do best at?
- Tipperary by strike rate: 12 wins from 46 rides (26.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Rachael Blackmore ride most for?
- Henry De Bromhead, with 1,048 rides since 2022 — 76% of the total. That pairing has won 166 (15.8%).
- What is Rachael Blackmore's Fair A/E?
- 0.86, from 1,384 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.