Richard Condon
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.76).
The record is strongest at Clonmel (9.8%, n=41) and Wexford (9.7%, n=31) — all clear of the rider's 4.5% baseline. The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 2.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.55 and −158.30 to a £1 stake over 298 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. P A Fahy supplies 15% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (2.9%, A/E 0.70). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Paddy Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown (Feb 2021, £59,000).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 733 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 733 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 November 2013 to 18 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Richard Condon's strike rate?
- Richard Condon has won 21 of 468 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Richard Condon do best at?
- Clonmel by strike rate: 4 wins from 41 rides (9.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Richard Condon ride most for?
- P A Fahy, with 70 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.9%).
- Is Richard Condon in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Richard Condon's Fair A/E?
- 0.76, from 468 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.