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Horse profile

Nochebuena (GB)

3yo filly · Trainer Ralph Beckett · Owner Miss K Rausing
by Study Of Man (IRE) out of Cascanueces (USA) (Smart Strike)
6 runs · 5 courses · from Dec 2025
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Doncaster Last run 6 Oct 2026 · 2nd of 6 Last raced off OR 87
KTB Profile

Nochebuena (GB) is 1 from 6, the win coming at Class 3 level. Last raced off a career-high mark of 87.

Based on 6 archived runs · run-style from 5 commented runs since Dec 2025 · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Win at Class 3

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 114 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Southwell (AW), 6 Oct 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 6 figures · best 114A · median 79.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)2114A952 runs · 114 / 95
Good1——1 run · —
Good to Firm1——1 run · —
Good to Soft1——1 run · —
Soft1——1 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f5114A825 runs · 114 / 82
6f – 7f1——1 run · —

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 14 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 87B the best of the last 3 rated runs · Southwell (AW), 6 Oct 2026 Official rating 87 at the last run, 6 Oct 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 6 figures · best 87B · median 75
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)287B802 runs · 87 / 80
Good1——1 run · —
Good to Firm1——1 run · —
Good to Soft1——1 run · —
Soft1——1 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f587B765 runs · 87 / 76
6f – 7f1——1 run · —

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 14 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

The forward record. KTB’s figures on this horse since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 6 Oct 2026. Each pick was the figure’s choice before the off, settled against the result the next morning; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races since 5 Oct 2026.

Run style from 5 analysed runs since Dec 2025

  • Prominent 2 (40%) · 0 wins
  • Mid-division 1 (20%) · 0 wins
  • Led 1 (20%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 1 (20%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 14.7% of 1,174 runs since Apr 2023 (147 horses).

Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 128. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.6% from 250.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm3266.7%+52—
Good to Firm1822815.4%+0.70 from 1
Good2774315.5%+0.80 from 1
Good to Soft1462315.8%+1.11 from 1
Soft1392316.5%+1.80 from 1
Heavy4748.5%−6.2—
Standard (AW)3804912.9%−1.80 from 2
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f18316.7%+2—
6f – 7f250249.6%−5.10 from 1
1m – 1m1f3355315.8%+1.1—
1m2f – 1m4f4055914.6%−0.11 from 5
1m5f – 2m1282519.5%+4.8—
2m1f – 2m4f32825%+10.3—
2m5f – 3m600%−14.7—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2023 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Cascanueces (USA) (Smart Strike)

2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Royal Favour (GB)10——
Ortanique (GB)30——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Soft 1 1 100% +0.83
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 3 3 1 33% −1.17
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Doncaster 2 1 50% −0.17
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Ascot 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f 5 1 20% −3.17
6f – 7f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Hector Crouch 2 0 0% −2.00
Jason Hart 1 0 0% −1.00
Harry Vigors 1 0 0% −1.00
Edward Greatrex 1 1 100% +0.83
Rossa Ryan 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 5 1 20% −3.17
2025 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 5 runs
06 Oct 26+25d Southwell (AW) bettingsites.co.uk Your Betting Guide Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Class 4 · 1m4f · Standard · 6 ran Prominent early - urged 2f out then took second 1f out - unable to reel in winner and finished 2nd 2/6 2 9-12 87114A87B Hector Crouch 4/1
11 Sep 26+63d Doncaster British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Class 2 · 1m4f · Good · 10 ran Up with the pace early - pushed along and dropped away 3f out - soon well held 9/10 12 9-0 8777C65C Jason Hart 9/2
10 Jul 26+26d Ascot Newmark EBF Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Class 3 · 1m4f · Good To Firm · 7 ran Raced in the pack - made ground on the front-runners 2f out - went to the front inside the final furlong - was under maximum pressure when bumped and overtaken in the final strides 2/7 shd 7-11 8282B77A Harry Vigors 15/8
14 Jun 26+23d Doncaster Hilton Garden Inn Doncaster 'Confined' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Class 3 · 1m4f · Good To Soft · 5 ran Settled with plenty of enthusiasm early - up with the pace and asked for effort 3f out - went in front inside final 2f - challenged again a furlong out then edged right while fighting for the advantage - battled on to assert close home 1/5 8-10 —56C76B Edward Greatrex 5/6F
22 May 26+163d Haydock Newsells Park Stud Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Class 3 · 1m2f · Soft · 6 ran Set the pace early - driven when overtaken approaching final 2f - couldn't quicken again close home for second 2/6 nk 9-2 —101A74B Hector Crouch 6/1
2025 · 1 run
10 Dec 25 Kempton (AW) North Farm Stud Home Of Heros Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran Slow to break - nudged forward to gain ground 2f out - stayed on into 4th but the front three always held the upper hand 4/8 2¼ 9-2 —76A73A Rossa Ryan 13/2

Quick answers

How many races has Nochebuena won?
Nochebuena (GB) won 1 of 6 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 16.7%. Placed 4 times in total (66.7% of starts).
Who trains Nochebuena?
Nochebuena (GB) is trained by Ralph Beckett, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 6 October 2026.
Who is Nochebuena's sire?
Nochebuena (GB) is by Study Of Man (IRE) out of Cascanueces (USA), whose sire is Smart Strike.
What is Nochebuena's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 87, from the run on 6 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
What is Nochebuena's sire's record?
Study Of Man (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.7% of 1,174 runs since Apr 2023 (147 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 128. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.6% from 250.
Who are Nochebuena's siblings?
Out of Cascanueces (USA), Nochebuena (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from December 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.