Harry Vigors
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 32% (54 rides).
It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (2.7% over 37 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 31.5% (n=54, Fair A/E 1.38), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 7.9% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.93). The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (18.6%, n=43). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 6.5% over 62 rides, 6.5pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2025→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 315 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 315 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 December 2025 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Harry Vigors's strike rate?
- Harry Vigors has won 41 of 315 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Harry Vigors do best at?
- Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 rides (10%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is Harry Vigors in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Harry Vigors's Fair A/E?
- 1.02, from 315 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.