Northern Bay (GER)
Northern Bay (GER) is yet to win from 16 starts, though has placed 3 times. Best effort: 2nd of 6 at Newton Abbot (Sep 2014). Last raced off 52, 58lb below the career-high mark.
- 0–16Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 3 (18.8%)Placed
- −15.00£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=10 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 110Highest OR
- 31dBetween runs (median)longest 497 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed —
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 1 run · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since Jan 2008 (178 horses).
Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 34 | 6 | 17.6% | +8.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 486 | 46 | 9.5% | +0.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 692 | 57 | 8.2% | −0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 328 | 31 | 9.5% | +0.4 | — |
| Soft | 386 | 39 | 10.1% | +1 | 0 from 7 |
| Heavy | 168 | 13 | 7.7% | −1.4 | 0 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 640 | 56 | 8.8% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 108 | 10 | 9.3% | +0.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 456 | 40 | 8.8% | −0.3 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 425 | 24 | 5.6% | −3.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 574 | 59 | 10.3% | +1.2 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 643 | 62 | 9.6% | +0.5 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 388 | 39 | 10.1% | +1 | 0 from 8 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 125 | 13 | 10.4% | +1.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | −2.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Nova Princesse (GER) (3 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Nova Princesse (GER)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova Princesse (GER) | 12 | 3 | 6f | Class 4 |
| Nomos (FR) | 3 | 1 | 1m | — |
| Nova Negrita (FR) | 3 | 1 | 1m2f | — |
| Linnova (FR) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 7 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taunton | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Angers | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fontwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Compiegne | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Senonnes-Pouance | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Senonnes-Pouance (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Chateaubriant | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Greatrex | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kieron Edgar | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Angelo Gasnier | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Clifford Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Colm McCormack | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Noonan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Michael Heard | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Scudamore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Conor O'Farrell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Benjamin Hubert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Arnaud Bourgeais | 1 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Julien Guillochon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Davy Delalande | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 8 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Hood + tongue tie | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2014 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Flat | 5 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Northern Bay won?
- Northern Bay (GER) has yet to win, from 16 archived starts between 2013 and 2016. Placed 3 times in total (18.8% of starts).
- Who trained Northern Bay?
- Northern Bay (GER) was trained by Keith Reveley on the most recent run on record, at Chelmsford City (AW) on 29 September 2016.
- Who is Northern Bay's sire?
- Northern Bay (GER) is by Desert Prince (IRE) out of Nova Scotia (GER), whose sire is Sholokhov.
- What is Northern Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 52, from the run on 29 September 2016. The highest on record is 110.
- What is Northern Bay's sire's record?
- Desert Prince (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since Jan 2008 (178 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.
- Who are Northern Bay's siblings?
- Out of Nova Scotia (GER), Northern Bay (GER) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Nova Princesse (GER) (3). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Nova Princesse (GER)). The wins came over 6f–1m2f. As at Nov 2026.