What is Arnaud Bourgeais's strike rate?

Arnaud Bourgeais has won 9 of 94 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

What is Arnaud Bourgeais's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 93 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Arnaud Bourgeais

94 rides in the last 5 seasons · 68 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 24 days ago 90% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

9–94

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=94

24 (26%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=93 · 0.90 incl. margin

−27.75

£1 level stake

n=93 at SP · −29.8%

£182k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.4%

KTB at a glance First rides: 12.7%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.7%+3.1

n=63 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −1.05

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−9.6

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−9.6

n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=3 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +0.25

Big fields · 14+ runners

3%−6.6

n=33 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −23.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.1%−2.5

n=14 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −9.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On first rides for the horse 12.7% vs 9.6% · n=63

On Soft going 13.3% vs 9.6% · n=30

With Adrien Fouassier 12.1% vs 9.6% · n=33

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 10.8% vs 9.6% · n=65 · A/E 1.15

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 85 8 9.4% −23.05

NH Flat 9 1 11.1% −4.70

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 30 4 13.3% +4.30

Standard (AW) 29 4 13.8% −1.30

Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% −11.75

Heavy 12 0 0% −11.00

Good 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 25 3 12% −2.70

Saint-Cloud (FR) 16 1 6.3% −11.70

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 10 2 20% +1.75

Longchamp (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Craon (FR) 7 1 14.3% +10.00

Chantilly (FR) 6 1 16.7% −0.60

Saint-Malo (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Moulins (FR) 3 1 33.3% +1.50

Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Le Mans (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Saint-Brieuc (FR) 1 0 0% —

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 14 1 7.1% −9.70

Class 4 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.27 +0.25

2nd–3rd fav 24 4 16.7% 1.20 −2.40

4th–6th fav 29 4 13.8% 1.57 +11.40

7th+ in betting 37 0 0% 0.00 −37.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Springboks (FR) 5 0 1 23 Jan 25

Ker Welen (FR) 4 0 0 9 Aug 26

Flight De Juilley (FR) 4 1 1 7 May 23

Icone Angevine (FR) 3 1 2 9 Nov 22

Namour Du Bearn (FR) 2 0 1 8 Oct 26

Lavendin (FR) 2 0 1 21 Sep 26

Noga Star (FR) 2 1 2 6 Sep 26

Nikita Des Mottes (FR) 2 0 0 9 Aug 26

All In Pink (FR) 2 0 1 1 Aug 26

Kahoot (GB) 2 0 1 11 Apr 25

Hutton (IRE) 2 0 0 21 Mar 25

Lorenzo De Medici (FR) 2 1 1 11 Mar 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 68 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

29170000018713020

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAdrien Fouassier

35% of all rides
12.1% SR · A/E 1.23

TrainerRWSR£1

Adrien Fouassier 33 4 12.1% −11.55

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.27m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 17 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Heros Du Mas (FR) — Prix See You Sun - Trophee De L'elevage Anglo-arabe Craon (FR) · Sep 2026

£24,000

Malki D'Aze (FR) — Prix du Grand Camp () (Turf) Lyon Parilly (FR) · Nov 2014 · Listed

£21,667

Epatante (FR) — Prix Jacques de Vienne (AQPS (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2017 · Grade 1

£21,368

Notable horses

Chika Dream (FR) Mousafir (GB) Vally Jem (FR) Adimelo (FR) Vicky De L'Oasis (FR) Utoni Star (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Morandi (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 7.8% of 566 runs since 2008 (75 horses).

Spider Flight (FR) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 7% of 441 runs since 2008 (57 horses).

Dariyan (FR) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 6% of 1,123 runs since 2008 (140 horses).

Lope De Vega (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,206 runs since 2008 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Ballingarry (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3

Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,431 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.

Bathyrhon (GER) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 12.4% of 1,182 runs since 2008 (188 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 624 · newest first

The latest 50 of 624 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 July 2006 to 8 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Namour Du Bearn (FR)T: P Journiac Prix Du BourbonnaisClass 1 · 12.5f · Soft · 8 ran UR 9/2

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) King Motif (FR)T: Adrien Fouassier Prix Du PeveleClass 4 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 33/1

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Non Negociable (FR)T: Mme A-S Pacault Prix Cadoudal12.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 11/1

28 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Venizzia (FR)T: Mme M Solignac Prix Haras De La Haie Neuve (Prix Onde Amere)15f · Very Soft · 14 ran 14th 22/1

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Lavendin (FR)T: Adrien Fouassier Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne)10.5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 9/1

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Ninja Bleu (FR)T: Mme I Pacault Prix Du Mesnil11.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 16/1

19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) Melchior D Athon (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix Des Dragages Du Val De Loire15f · Good · 9 ran 6th 100/30

19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) My Best Vow (FR)T: Mickael Berto Prix M.t.m. (Prix De La Blisiere)15f · Good · 8 ran 6th 9/2

18 Sep 26 Moulins (FR) Nelson Du Seuil (FR)T: M Seror Prix Chanducoq12f · Very Soft · 11 ran 2nd 9/2

18 Sep 26 Moulins (FR) Namour Du Bearn (FR)T: P Journiac Prix Yves D'armaille - Prix Cokoriko12f · Very Soft · 12 ran 2nd 15/2

11 Sep 26 Le Mans (FR) Piano Bar (FR)T: A Baron Prix De Saint-saturninClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 33/1

06 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Merveille De Maine (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix De La Federation Des Eleveurs Au Galop (Prix De Beauchene)12f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 16/1

06 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Heros Du Mas (FR)T: Christophe Corduan Prix See You Sun - Trophee De L'elevage Anglo-arabe11f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 16/1

06 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Noga Star (FR)T: N Leenders Prix Association Des Aqps (Prix Richard De Gennes)12f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 9/4

05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Roman Blue Tavel (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix Hegler (Prix Des Bumpers)Class 3 · 15f · Heavy · 16 ran 16th 40/1

28 Aug 26 Moulins (FR) Mage D'oudairies (FR)T: Daniela Mele Prix Bourbon-busset Et Pierre De Rouge14f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 7/2

24 Aug 26 Dieppe (FR) Edibest Fal (FR)T: Adrien Fouassier Prix IlletesClass 3 · 12f · Very Soft · 12 ran 10th 7/1

18 Aug 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Nightmare Du Livet (FR)T: Mme Celine Lequien Prix Joseph Et Jobic Severe12.5f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 28/1

09 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Nikita Des Mottes (FR)T: Armel Lotout Prix Du Challenge Des Estivales (Prix De Feneu)12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 15/2

09 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Meleagrine (FR)T: Adrien Fouassier Prix #raceandcare (Prix De L'aubiniere)12f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 9/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Arnaud Bourgeais's strike rate?: Arnaud Bourgeais has won 9 of 94 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Arnaud Bourgeais's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 93 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.