What is Conor O'Farrell's strike rate?

Conor O'Farrell has won 156 of 1,490 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Conor O'Farrell do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 12 wins from 71 rides (16.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Conor O'Farrell ride most for?

Neil Mulholland, with 329 rides since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (14.6%).

Is Conor O'Farrell in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 11 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Conor O'Farrell's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,486 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Conor O'Farrell

1,490 rides in the last 5 seasons · 591 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

156–1,490

Wins / Runs

10.5%

Strike rate

n=1,490

404 (27%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,486 · 0.83 incl. margin

−411.66

£1 level stake

n=1,490 at SP · −27.6%

£2.10m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 300 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (157 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,490 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 36.3% when favourite Neil Mulholland: 14.6% from 329 LTO winners: 22.3% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (23.3%, n=30) and Musselburgh (16.9%, n=71) — all clear of the rider's 10.5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.3% (n=157, Fair A/E 1.16), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.5% (n=127, Fair A/E 0.92). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −160.86 to a £1 stake over 326 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Neil Mulholland supplies 22% of the rides and edges the rider's average (14.6% vs 10.5%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 3.8% over 133 rides, 6.7pts below the baseline. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the William Hill Becher Handicap Chase at Aintree (Dec 2020, £67,401). The standout partner of the record: Tonto's Spirit (GB) — 7 wins from 39 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.8%−2.7

n=513 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −181.68

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22.3%+11.8

n=157 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +24.86

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.1%−4.4

n=326 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −160.86

When favourite

36.3%

n=135 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −5.96

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.5%−5.0

n=127 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −86.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.5%+1.0

n=26 · A/E 1.84 · £1 +8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 22.3% vs 10.5% · n=157

At Plumpton 23.3% vs 10.5% · n=30

With C&D winners 17.3% vs 10.5% · n=156

Off a break of 180+ days 3.8% vs 10.5% · n=133

With Ian Duncan 2.2% vs 10.5% · n=46

At Musselburgh 16.9% vs 10.5% · n=71

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 877 85 9.7% −212.39

Chase 522 60 11.5% −174.52

NH Flat 89 11 12.4% −22.75

Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 562 62 11% −220.75

Good to Soft 458 44 9.6% −70.40

Soft 339 35 10.3% −73.26

Heavy 109 13 11.9% −33.75

Good to Firm 20 1 5% −15.00

Standard (AW) 2 1 50% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hexham 125 7 5.6% −74.13

Kelso 112 8 7.1% −53.00

Sedgefield 93 13 14% −30.78

Ayr 85 10 11.8% −19.47

Newcastle 82 10 12.2% +9.75

Wetherby 80 8 10% −39.05

Perth 78 11 14.1% +1.75

Musselburgh 71 12 16.9% +16.13

Carlisle 71 4 5.6% −19.20

Market Rasen 61 3 4.9% −51.71

Uttoxeter 53 5 9.4% −11.33

Fontwell 53 5 9.4% −30.72

Catterick 50 4 8% −35.75

Cartmel 48 4 8.3% −28.15

Worcester 34 3 8.8% +46.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 650 55 8.5% −225.90

Class 5 525 66 12.6% −93.84

Class 3 171 18 10.5% −72.30

Class 2 101 14 13.9% −10.62

Class 1 43 3 7% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 153 53 34.6% 1.07 −10.46

2nd–3rd fav 336 51 15.2% 0.82 −89.20

4th–6th fav 507 37 7.3% 0.97 −164.00

7th+ in betting 494 15 3% 1.01 −148.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.5% completed · 1,399 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 522 82.6% 23 10 57 0 1

Hurdle 877 88.8% 15 5 73 2 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Scots Poet (GB) 17 4 12 24 Oct 26

Tonto's Spirit (GB) 16 1 1 30 Jun 24

Cornerstone Lad (GB) 14 1 2 26 Feb 25

Cudgel (GB) 13 1 3 14 Apr 25

Gold Des Bois (FR) 13 2 4 27 May 24

Cher Monsieur (FR) 12 2 5 9 Jun 26

Trac (FR) 12 5 5 22 Mar 26

Wakool (FR) 12 3 4 2 Nov 24

Idilico (FR) 11 2 5 25 Mar 23

Bel Ombre (IRE) 10 2 4 7 Oct 26

Vintage Fizz (GB) 10 1 4 15 Sep 25

Master Breffni (IRE) 10 3 4 9 Mar 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 591 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

4 from 11

Only 11 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

101611881069111399

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNeil Mulholland

22% of all rides
14.6% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

Neil Mulholland 329 48 14.6% −31.53

Micky Hammond 212 19 9% −57.04

Iain Jardine 165 21 12.7% −42.50

Dianne Sayer 84 9 10.7% +4.25

N W Alexander 77 9 11.7% −21.92

Jedd O'Keeffe 64 10 15.6% −17.70

Ian Duncan 46 1 2.2% −17.00

Kerry Lee 42 3 7.1% −13.40

Rebecca Menzies 37 3 8.1% −17.38

James Walton 35 3 8.6% −11.88

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

450

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.29m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 46 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Vieux Lion Rouge (FR) — William Hill Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (National Course) (GBB Race) Aintree · Dec 2020 · Grade 3

£67,401

Truckers Delight (IRE) — www.thetote.com Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Punchestown · May 2011 · Grade B

£49,600

Kingofthefrontier (GB) — Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle Race(grade 2) (registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle Race) (gbb Race) Cheltenham · Oct 2026 · Grade 2

£47,552

Notable horses

Tonto's Spirit (GB) Trac (FR) Flowery (IRE) Cudgel (GB) Scots Poet (GB) Diamond's Return (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Shirocco (GER) 13.3% · 6–45

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,174 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Yeats (IRE) 20.5% · 8–39

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,831 runs since 2008 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.

Sulamani (IRE) 5.6% · 2–36

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,245 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Ocovango (GB) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,998 runs since 2008 (305 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.9% from 194.

Kayf Tara (GB) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,746 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Getaway (GER) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,951 runs since 2008 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,873 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,873 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 September 2006 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Stratford One Last Glance (GB)T: Tom Gretton J.H. Rowe Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 5/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Milan Milos (IRE)T: Tom Gretton Blaze A Trail Stratford Hat-Trick Hero Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 9/1

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Badbury Rings (GB)T: Neil Mulholland Sky Sports Racing Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 15/8F

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Eton Mes (IRE)T: David Pipe Passage House Hotel South Devon Gateway Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 9/1

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Balking (FR)T: Dianne Sayer attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 10/1

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen McGrath From Clune (IRE)T: Tom Gretton Summer Plate Ladies Day On Sale Now Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 25/1

24 Oct 26 Kelso Scots Poet (GB)T: Ewan Whillans luckytiger.co.uk Bet 20 Get 20 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 11/2

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Kingofthefrontier (GB)T: John Dawson Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle Race(grade 2) (registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle Race) (gbb Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 20/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Follow The Plan (GB)T: David Pipe BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 6 ran PU 11/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Mild Magic (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Aldaniti Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 1st 6/5F

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Brosna Town (IRE)T: Jessica Bedi Download The www.betvickers.com App Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 5th 6/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Scorsese (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Pertemps Network Jean & Paul Lucas Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 5 ran PU 5/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Whin Cover (GB)T: John Dawson Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 11/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Jackomy (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 11/2

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Crushalion (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 12/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Tell The Tale (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Ethical Packaging Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 3/1F

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Aggagio (FR)T: Gary & Josh Moore Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 18/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Religous Cross (GB)T: Neil Mulholland LSL Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 2nd 15/2

07 Oct 26 Worcester Drumlee Orders (IRE)T: Kerry Lee FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 7th 250/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Miss Malone To You (GB)T: Kerry Lee Copybet Supporting Uk Horse Racing Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran UR 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 19 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Conor O'Farrell's strike rate?: Conor O'Farrell has won 156 of 1,490 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Conor O'Farrell do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 12 wins from 71 rides (16.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Conor O'Farrell ride most for?: Neil Mulholland, with 329 rides since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (14.6%).
Is Conor O'Farrell in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 11 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Conor O'Farrell's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,486 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.