Not Now Nathaniel (GB)
Not Now Nathaniel won four of 15 starts between Jan 2024 and Sep 2025. She gained her biggest success in the Ultimate Summer Fillies Handicap at Newmarket in Aug 2025 off a mark of 68 over 1m2f – 1m4f on good to soft, having earlier won twice over hurdles and once in a mares bumper. The mare, by Nathaniel out of a Duke Of Marmalade mare, was held up in three of five analysed runs. She finished fifth of seven at Newcastle in Sep 2025 off an official rating of 73, 42lb below her highest ever mark.
- 4–15Wins / Runs
- 26.7%Strike rate
- 7 (46.7%)Placed
- −0.22£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 1.35Fair A/E n=15 · 1.16 incl. margin
- 115Highest OR
- 42dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 103
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 103A | 88 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 103A | 93 | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 117C | 117 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 92B | 91.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 155C | 109 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 117A | 104 | — |
Of 15 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1) · no standard for this course, surface and code on the window (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 15 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 9 analysed runs since Oct 2024
- Prominent 3 (33%) · 0 wins
- Led 3 (33%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 3 (33%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 7,066 runs since Jan 2008 (634 horses).
Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.2% from 324.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 21 | 4 | 19% | +7.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 784 | 102 | 13% | +1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,866 | 232 | 12.4% | +0.8 | 2 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 1,003 | 114 | 11.4% | −0.2 | 1 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,226 | 141 | 11.5% | −0.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 405 | 47 | 11.6% | 0 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,759 | 183 | 10.4% | −1.2 | 1 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −11.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 324 | 20 | 6.2% | −5.4 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 877 | 78 | 8.9% | −2.7 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,498 | 333 | 13.3% | +1.7 | 1 from 6 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,138 | 252 | 11.8% | +0.2 | 2 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 819 | 91 | 11.1% | −0.5 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 337 | 32 | 9.5% | −2.1 | — |
| Over 3m | 69 | 17 | 24.6% | +13 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Thunder Roar (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Thunder Roar (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder Roar (GB) | 37 | 5 | 7f–1m | Class 2 |
| Thunder Rush (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| The Spoken Phrase (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 2 | 40% | +0.53 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.50 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.75 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +3.25 |
| Class 4 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +0.53 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ludlow | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.67 |
| Aintree | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.20 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cartmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.25 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 2 | 33% | +1.83 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.20 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hughes | 6 | 3 | 50% | +6.03 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Dougie Costello | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Clifford Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Kingscote | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Charlie Maggs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Theo Gillard | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Peter Kavanagh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood | 11 | 3 | 27% | −2.72 |
| None | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.50 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.25 |
| 2024 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +4.03 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.25 |
| Hurdle | 6 | 2 | 33% | −0.47 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 25+41d | Newcastle (AW) | Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Up with the pace - moved to the front after 2f - shifted middle of the course in the straight - pressed and overtaken over 2f out then surrendered second inside the final 2f - faded from 1f out to finish fifth | 5/7 | 2 | 9-2 | 73 | 103A | 71A | Paul Mulrennan | 9/2 |
| 01 Aug 25+29d | Newmarket | Ultimate Summer Fillies' Handicap Took a strong hold early - set the pace throughout - pushed along a furlong out and found more to the line - allowed to coast home in front | 1/9 | 10-2 | 68 | 98B | 87A | Dougie Costello | 7/4F | |
| 03 Jul 25+22d | Haydock | Supalite Group Fillies' Handicap Held up eagerly early - went to front and dictated a modest gallop - upped the effort 3f out - pressed for response inside final furlong then overtaken and unable to fight back close home | 2/7 | ½ | 9-4 | 67 | 102B | 78A | Paul Mulrennan | 11/2 |
| 11 Jun 25+27d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet/EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Tracked in third early - moved up to hit the front 9f out - driven and overtaken with 2f left - dropped to third soon after - faded from there to finish seventh | 7/11 | 2½ | 10-2 | — | 84C | 71C | Clifford Lee | 25/1 |
| 15 May 25+22d | Kempton (AW) | 'Mayors Buckaroo' Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Took a strong hold early - hit the front - pushed along a furlong out - challenged and lost command inside final 110 yards - couldn't find more late in 3rd | 3/7 | 1 | 9-7 | — | 88A | 86B | Richard Kingscote | 12/1 |
| 23 Apr 25+34d | Catterick | Download The Raceday Ready App Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Fought for control early - close up on leader - pushed along and drifted right approaching final furlong then dropped to 4th late | 4/6 | nse | 9-9 | — | 86A | 80B | Paul Mulrennan | 4/1 |
| 20 Mar 25+106d | Ludlow | Alfa Aggregates Mares' Handicap Hurdle Held up in the pack - never fenced with full fluency and making no inroads from 3 out - kept on for third beaten 7¼ lengths | 3/3 | 2¾ | 11-2 | 113 | 117C | 112C | Charlie Maggs | 3/1 |
| 04 Dec 24+36d | Ludlow | EK Mowers & Machinery Mares' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled midpack early - pulling hard and eager to go on - made progress after the third - jumped awkwardly at the fourth then dropped away before three out | 8/9 | nk | 11-1 | 115 | 109A | 107A | Theo Gillard | 14/1 |
| 29 Oct 24+121d | Bangor-on-Dee | My Local Solicitor In Malpas Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Held up mid-pack - clipped a hurdle three out and pushed along in pursuit - lost touch with the pace before the last - dropped away on the run-in to finish fourth | 4/14 | 3¼ | 11-2 | 115 | 92B | 126A | Brian Hughes | 2/1F |
| 30 Jun 24+22d | Cartmel | Hadwins Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 2/6 | 4¾ | 11-7 | 114 | 117A | 123B | Brian Hughes | 4/5F |
| 08 Jun 24+22d | Bangor-on-Dee | Cheshire Oaks Designer Outlet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/14 | 10-11 | — | 81C | 123A | Brian Hughes | 1/3F | |
| 17 May 24+36d | Aintree | Inkerman London Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/4 | 10-3 | — | — | 121C | Brian Hughes | 16/5 | |
| 11 Apr 24+40d | Aintree | Goffs Nickel Coin Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Grade 2) (GBB Race) | 7/16 | 4½ | 10-8 | — | 91B | 117A | Brian Hughes | 80/1 |
| 02 Mar 24+32d | Newbury | Stewart Wright Memorial Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 3/9 | 6½ | 10-10 | — | 155C | 111A | Peter Kavanagh | 14/1 |
| 30 Jan 24 | Newcastle (AW) | Download The QuinnBet App Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (AWT) | 1/12 | 10-5 | — | — | 103A | Brian Hughes | 11/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Not Now Nathaniel (GB) won?
- Not Now Nathaniel (GB) won 4 of 15 archived starts between 2024 and 2025, a strike rate of 26.7%. Placed 7 times in total (46.7% of starts).
- Who trained Not Now Nathaniel (GB)?
- Not Now Nathaniel (GB) was trained by Donald McCain on the most recent run on record, at Newcastle (AW) on 11 September 2025.
- Who is Not Now Nathaniel (GB)'s sire?
- Not Now Nathaniel (GB) is by Nathaniel (IRE) out of Dominike (ITY), whose sire is Duke Of Marmalade.
- What going does Not Now Nathaniel (GB) prefer?
- Not Now Nathaniel (GB) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Not Now Nathaniel (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 73, from the run on 11 September 2025. The highest on record is 115.
- What is Not Now Nathaniel (GB)'s sire's record?
- Nathaniel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 7,066 runs since Jan 2008 (634 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.2% from 324.
- Who are Not Now Nathaniel (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Dominike (ITY), Not Now Nathaniel (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Thunder Roar (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Thunder Roar (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m. As at Oct 2026.