Horse profile
Novelista (IRE)
15 runs · 10 courses · from Sep 2024
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Goodwood
Ran 41 days ago · 2nd of 5
KTB Profile
Novelista won the Royal Sussex Regiment Handicap at Goodwood in Sep 2025, a Class 2 race over 1m5f – 2m on heavy ground off a mark of 82. The gelding has one win and seven places from 15 starts on turf, all at up to 2m4f. He has raced four times at Goodwood for one win and twice at both Ascot and York without success. His last run, at Fontwell in Sep 2026, saw him finish second of five in a Class 4 maiden hurdle after leading.
Based on 15 archived runs · run-style from 8 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Win at Class 2
- 1–15Wins / Runs
- 6.7%Strike rate
- 7 (46.7%)Placed
- −12.38£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 0.35Fair A/E n=15 · 0.30 incl. margin
- 85Highest OR
- 51dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating84↓ 1lb off peak
84
74–85
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 107
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 128C | 117.5 | 2 · 128 / 117.5 |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 107B | 90.5 | 2 · 107 / 90.5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 109A | 91 | 1 · — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 115A | 104.5 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 109A | 71 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 86A | 85 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 85A | 79.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 109A | 95 | 1 · — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 86A | 72.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 15 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 8 analysed runs
- Midfield 3 (38%) · 0 wins
- Led 2 (25%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 2 (25%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (13%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 13.8% of 12,136 runs since Jan 2008 (1,098 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | +8.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,559 | 238 | 15.3% | +1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 2,750 | 383 | 13.9% | +0.1 | 0 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 1,550 | 183 | 11.8% | −2 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,865 | 252 | 13.5% | −0.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 708 | 83 | 11.7% | −2.1 | 1 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 3,684 | 531 | 14.4% | +0.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 475 | 71 | 14.9% | +1.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 3,588 | 510 | 14.2% | +0.4 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3,574 | 514 | 14.4% | +0.6 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3,268 | 466 | 14.3% | +0.5 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 953 | 89 | 9.3% | −4.5 | 1 from 8 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 245 | 24 | 9.8% | −4 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 32 | 1 | 3.1% | −10.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −13.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Migdam (FR) (5 wins).
The wins came over 1m–2m½f; the highest grade won is Listed (Katara (FR)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Migdam (FR) | 37 | 5 | 1m–2m½f | Class 3 |
| Katara (FR) | 8 | 3 | 1m3f–1m4f | Listed |
| Dalton Park (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.38 |
| Class 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwood | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.38 |
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fontwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.38 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Fanning | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Harry Bannister | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
| James Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Charles Bishop | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew Mullen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Adam Farragher | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.38 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 12 | 1 | 8% | −9.38 |
| Hurdle | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep 26+127d | Fontwell | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle (gbb Race) Set the pace early - stumbled at the 6th - came under pressure and asked for effort before 2 out - blundered and gave up front spot at the last - dropped the stick soon after - stayed on but unable to reach winner | 2/5 | ½ | 11-1 | — | 128C | 123B | James Bowen | 7/2 |
| 02 May 26+31d | Goodwood | Munro UK Equity Income Fund Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Sat close to the pace early - dropped back and pressed for effort 3f out - faded rapidly to finish well beaten | 7/7 | 31 | 9-10 | 84 | 96C | 64C | Charles Bishop | 7/2 |
| 01 Apr 26+74d | Southwell | Country And Western Night 25th April Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Set the pace early - driven approaching two out - overtaken before the last - stayed on for second but outclassed by winner | 2/7 | 3½ | 10-11 | — | 107B | 120A | Harry Bannister | 7/2 |
| 17 Jan 26+106d | Ascot | BetMGM Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled in the pack - pushed along and dropped away 2 out - well held at the finish | 6/10 | 13 | 11-0 | — | 74A | 100A | Harry Bannister | 9/2 |
| 03 Oct 25+20d | Ascot | Colliers Business Rates Experts Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Sat behind pace early - asked for effort 3f out and hit front past 2f out - driven and lost lead inside final furlong - drifted right and faded to finish third | 3/6 | 1¾ | 9-3 | 85 | 94B | 79B | Hollie Doyle | 5/2 |
| 13 Sep 25+11d | Musselburgh | Scots Association Musselburgh Gold Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled midfield early - moved out and improved into contention around 8f out - driven approaching final two furlongs - drifted right and dropped away inside the last then edged out of third close home | 4/9 | nk | 9-5 | 85 | 115A | 78A | Joe Fanning | 11/10F |
| 02 Sep 25+10d | Goodwood | Royal Sussex Regiment Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Tracked pace early - moved through to dispute 3f out - went on and drifted right approaching 2f out - kept going to the line | 1/6 | 8-3 | 82 | 109A | 72B | Hollie Doyle | 13/8F | |
| 23 Aug 25+24d | York | Sky Bet Melrose Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Sluggish start - settled midfield then made ground into contention 3f out - held safe from final furlong to finish held off in 7th | 7/12 | shd | 8-13 | 83 | 84A | 77A | Joe Fanning | 5/1 |
| 30 Jul 25+25d | Goodwood | Coral Pipped At The Post Winners Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Hampered and hesitant leaving the stalls - settled into a handy spot soon after - asked for effort 3f out - hit the front 2f out - pressed for more inside the last two furlongs - overtaken in the final furlong and unable to fight back | 4/9 | dht | 8-12 | 82 | 71A | 79A | William Buick | 7/2 |
| 05 Jul 25+28d | Haydock | bet365 Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Sluggish start - settled off the pace towards the back - shifted wide and made rapid progress a furlong out - flew home inside the final furlong but denied by a whisker | 2/10 | shd | 8-7 | 78 | 86A | 81A | Andrew Mullen | 10/1 |
| 07 Jun 25+23d | Doncaster | Mike Berrys 70th Birthday Celebration Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled in the pack early - urged forward and made ground 3f out while drifting left - hit the front approaching 2f out - kicked on and battled to the line - caught in the closing strides to finish second by a short head | 2/10 | hd | 8-5 | 74 | 109A | 78A | Adam Farragher | 10/1 |
| 15 May 25+199d | York | Sky Bet Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled at the back early - improved on the inner approaching final 3f - lost ground inside final 2f - finished sixth | 6/8 | 1 | 8-5 | 75 | 86A | 70A | Joe Fanning | 13/2 |
| 28 Oct 24+21d | Redcar | EBF 'Double Trigger' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Settled midfield early - driven up on the outside from over 2f out - chasing leading group approaching final furlong and a half - caught up briefly with a knock 1f out - rallied strongly through the last 100 yards to just miss out | 3/8 | nse | 9-4 | — | 85A | 88A | Billy Loughnane | 7/4F |
| 07 Oct 24+12d | Pontefract | British EBF Northern Commercials Your Local Iveco Dealership Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Settled close up early - improved through the field over 2f out - asked for effort soon after - stayed on final furlong but outclassed | 2/7 | 8 | 9-7 | — | 74A | 72A | Billy Loughnane | 17/2 |
| 25 Sep 24 | Goodwood | Juddmonte/ British Ebf Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Held 4th early - pushed along with 2f left - kept going without threatening the leading duo - finished third | 3/6 | 4¾ | 9-7 | — | 33A | 70B | Billy Loughnane | 6/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Novelista (IRE) won?
- Novelista (IRE) won 1 of 15 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 6.7%. Placed 7 times in total (46.7% of starts).
- Who trains Novelista (IRE)?
- Novelista (IRE) is trained by Warren Greatrex, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 6 September 2026.
- Who is Novelista (IRE)'s sire?
- Novelista (IRE) is by Lope De Vega (IRE) out of Asyad (IRE), whose sire is New Approach.
- What is Novelista (IRE)'s official rating?
- Novelista (IRE)'s highest official rating on record is 85.
- What is Novelista (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Lope De Vega (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.8% of 12,136 runs since Jan 2008 (1,098 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.
- Who are Novelista (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Asyad (IRE), Novelista (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Migdam (FR) (5). Highest grade won: Listed (Katara (FR)). The wins came over 1m–2m½f. As at Oct 2026.