Billy Loughnane
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 930 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 16% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (661 rides).
It is weakest at Newmarket (8.9% over 135 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.1% (n=661, Fair A/E 1.01), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.4% (n=378, Fair A/E 0.95). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 14.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.22 and +51.98 to a £1 stake over 228 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. George Boughey supplies 21% of the rides and edges the rider's average (19.1% vs 16.4%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (24.1%, n=253). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 10.2% over 413 rides, 6.2pts below the baseline. 34 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Visit Qatar Sussex Stakes at Goodwood (Jul 2026, £850,650). The standout partner of the record: Follow Your Heart (IRE) — 6 wins from 15 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 16.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 4,670 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 4,670 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 October 2022 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 31 runs (won 10, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 33 runs (won 8, 2 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 19 runs (won 6, 2 did not run) · to 7 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Billy Loughnane's strike rate?
- Billy Loughnane has won 768 of 4,670 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 16.4% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Billy Loughnane do best at?
- Newmarket by strike rate: 31 wins from 131 rides (23.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Billy Loughnane ride most for?
- George Boughey, with 958 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 183 (19.1%).
- Is Billy Loughnane in form?
- In the last 14 days: 36 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 13.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 16.4% since 2022.
- What is Billy Loughnane's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 4,645 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.