Pagan Belief (GB)
Pagan Belief (GB) is 1 from 6, the win coming at Class 4 level. Hasn't won since Jun 2007. Last raced off 67, 8lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–6Wins / Runs
- 16.7%Strike rate
- 1 (16.7%)Placed
- +9.00£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 3.87Fair A/E n=6 · 3.19 incl. margin
- 75Highest OR
- 71dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.3% of 2,027 runs since Jan 2008 (136 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | +7.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 391 | 37 | 9.5% | +0.2 | 1 from 1 |
| Good | 461 | 40 | 8.7% | −0.6 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 214 | 16 | 7.5% | −1.8 | — |
| Soft | 282 | 32 | 11.3% | +2 | — |
| Heavy | 119 | 8 | 6.7% | −2.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 525 | 49 | 9.3% | 0 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 147 | 16 | 10.9% | +1.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 452 | 42 | 9.3% | 0 | 1 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 243 | 16 | 6.6% | −2.7 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 316 | 34 | 10.8% | +1.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 417 | 38 | 9.1% | −0.2 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 228 | 22 | 9.6% | +0.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 168 | 15 | 8.9% | −0.4 | — |
| Over 3m | 56 | 5 | 8.9% | −0.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Salbatore (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m4f–1m5½f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Salbatore (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salbatore (GB) | 6 | 1 | 1m5½f | Class 6 |
| Captain Flack (GB) | 11 | 1 | 1m4f | Class 6 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +10.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +11.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Urbina | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Robert Havlin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Eddie Ahern | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| George Baker | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Marc Halford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2007 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +10.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 · 1 run | |||||||||
| 07 May 08+205d | Beverley | Graham And Rosen Solicitors Handicap | 16/17 | shd | 8-6 | 67 | 47A | Oscar Urbina | 40/1 |
| 2007 · 5 runs | |||||||||
| 15 Oct 07+32d | Lingfield (AW) | Book Online For Discounted Prices Handicap | 6/14 | ½ | 8-11 | 68 | 61C | Oscar Urbina | 16/1 |
| 13 Sep 07+55d | Sandown | Andrews Air Conditioning Handicap | 7/13 | 1 | 8-10 | 72 | 58C | Robert Havlin | 16/1 |
| 20 Jul 07+38d | Newmarket | Route Colchester Night Club Handicap | 9/11 | 4 | 8-13 | 75 | 47C | Eddie Ahern | 14/1 |
| 12 Jun 07+24d | Salisbury | Wise Catering Maiden Stakes (Div 1) | 1/10 | 9-3 | — | 78C | George Baker | 14/1 | |
| 19 May 07 | Newmarket | betdirect.com Maiden Stakes (Div I) | 7/12 | nk | 9-0 | — | 61C | Marc Halford | 25/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Pagan Belief won?
- Pagan Belief (GB) won 1 of 6 archived starts between 2007 and 2008, a strike rate of 16.7%. Placed 1 time in total (16.7% of starts).
- Who trained Pagan Belief?
- Pagan Belief (GB) was trained by James Toller on the most recent run on record, at Beverley on 7 May 2008.
- Who is Pagan Belief's sire?
- Pagan Belief (GB) is by Fraam (GB) out of Au Contraire (GB), whose sire is Groom Dancer.
- What is Pagan Belief's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 67, from the run on 7 May 2008. The highest on record is 75.
- What is Pagan Belief's sire's record?
- Fraam (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.3% of 2,027 runs since Jan 2008 (136 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Pagan Belief's siblings?
- Out of Au Contraire (GB), Pagan Belief (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Salbatore (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Salbatore (GB)). The wins came over 1m4f–1m5½f. As at Oct 2026.