No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 150 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).
Deterministic profile computed from 152 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceFirst rides: 10%
The read
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.57). The market has also underrated the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 1.28 across 74 rides (10.8% strike, +4.26 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 3.6% over 56 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Normandie Stud Prestige Stakes at Goodwood (Aug 2006, £22,712). The standout partner of the record was Mandarin Spirit (IRE) — 8 wins from 42 rides together.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10%+0.8
n=70 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +14.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20%+10.8
n=15 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +1.63
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.1%−0.1
n=22 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +4.00
When favourite
30.8%
n=13 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +1.13
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.9%−6.3
n=34 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −27.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break3.6% vs 9.2% · n=56
Over 1m – 1m1f12.1% vs 9.2% · n=33
In Class 511.5% vs 9.2% · n=61
Over 6f – 7f10.8% vs 9.2% · n=74 · A/E 1.28
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)68710.3%−19.37
Good to Firm29310.3%+16.00
Good to Soft2015%−11.00
Good1600%−16.00
Soft15320%+3.38
Firm400%−4.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW)26415.4%−14.37
Lingfield (AW)2214.5%−5.00
Yarmouth14321.4%+6.88
Newmarket1000%−10.00
Chelmsford (AW)900%−9.00
Wolverhampton (AW)7114.3%−2.00
Nottingham600%−6.00
Newbury600%−6.00
Newmarket600%−6.00
Brighton5120%+0.00
Leicester5240%+30.50
Warwick4125%+5.00
Bath400%−4.00
Southwell (AW)4125%+11.00
Folkestone300%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 561711.5%−0.74
Class 64037.5%−27.00
Class 43638.3%+0.75
Class 1500%−3.00
Class 35120%+4.00
Class 2400%−4.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite14428.6%1.13+0.13
2nd–3rd fav36616.7%1.13−1.12
4th–6th fav4536.7%0.85−4.00
7th+ in betting5511.8%0.61−26.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f74810.8%+4.26
1m – 1m1f33412.1%+1.00
1m2f – 1m4f2500%−24.00
Under 6f1317.7%−10.25
1m5f – 2m7114.3%−2.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps841011.9%−22.49
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners52611.5%+29.88
11-13 runners4636.5%−31.75
14-16 runners2713.7%−20.00
5-7 runners18422.2%−0.12
17+ runners700%−7.00
2-4 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 91 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
2517700186130220·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sesmen (GB) — Normandie Stud Prestige Stakes (Fillies) Goodwood · Aug 2006 · Group 3
£22,712
Firenze (GB) — totesportcasino.com Kilvington Fillies' Stakes () Nottingham · May 2007 · Listed
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Dr Fong (USA)12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,593 runs since 2008 (350 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 158.
Primo Dominie (GB)14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 3% of 201 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Elusive Quality (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,387 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.9% from 280. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 319.
Intikhab (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
Mujahid (USA)20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,375 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 333.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,186 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,186 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 11 November 2008.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Oscar Urbina's strike rate?
Oscar Urbina has won 14 of 152 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Oscar Urbina's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 149 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Oscar Urbina·SR 9.2%·A/E 1.00
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