Pagan (IRE)
Pagan (IRE) is 2 from 9. Hasn't won since Aug 2021. Each win came on a first visit to the course. Last raced off a career-high mark of 87.
- 2–9Wins / Runs
- 22.2%Strike rate
- 5 (55.6%)Placed
- −4.59£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 1.11Fair A/E n=9 · 0.97 incl. margin
- 87Highest OR
- 45dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 109
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 107A | 96.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 105B | 84.5 | — |
| Good | 2 | 109A | 102 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 9 | 109A | 95 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 3,686 runs since Jan 2008 (216 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on heavy going: 5.3% from 171.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | +6.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 627 | 85 | 13.6% | +3.5 | 0 from 4 |
| Good | 748 | 67 | 9% | −1.1 | 2 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 331 | 40 | 12.1% | +2 | — |
| Soft | 503 | 49 | 9.7% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 171 | 9 | 5.3% | −4.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,264 | 115 | 9.1% | −1 | 0 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 546 | 60 | 11% | +0.9 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,582 | 173 | 10.9% | +0.8 | 2 from 9 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 774 | 73 | 9.4% | −0.7 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 480 | 43 | 9% | −1.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 207 | 18 | 8.7% | −1.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 69 | 4 | 5.8% | −4.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 28 | 1 | 3.6% | −6.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Wynette (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 7f.
Family form: Wynette (IRE) won at Navan (IRE), 21 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wynette (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 7f | — |
| Emorcee (IRE) | 16 | 0 | — | — |
| Butterfly Stream (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 2 | 2 | 100% | +2.41 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.50 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.09 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.91 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Marquand | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Cieren Fallon | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.50 |
| David Probert | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.91 |
| Jim Crowley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.41 |
| None | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 7 | 2 | 29% | −2.59 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 21+44d | Newcastle (AW) | Betway Handicap | 6/14 | shd | 9-7 | 87 | 105B | 93A | Tom Marquand | 16/1 |
| 05 Sep 21+30d | York | John And Judith Marshall Memorial Handicap | 11/12 | 5 | 8-13 | 87 | 91A | 61A | Tom Marquand | 3/1F |
| 06 Aug 21+13d | Brighton | Harry Bloom Memorial 'Brighton Bullet' Handicap | 1/8 | 9-8 | 79 | 109A | 100A | David Probert | 10/11F | |
| 24 Jul 21+26d | York | Sky Bet Paying Extra Places Handicap | 2/10 | 1¾ | 9-4 | 77 | 102A | 93A | Jim Crowley | 2/1F |
| 28 Jun 21+18d | Pontefract | 19th Wilfred Underwood Memorial Classified Stakes | 1/7 | 9-0 | 75 | 95A | 96A | Cieren Fallon | 6/4F | |
| 10 Jun 21+48d | Yarmouth | Follow At The Races On Twitter Maiden Stakes | 2/8 | shd | 9-5 | 75 | 107A | 101A | Cieren Fallon | 5/2F |
| 23 Apr 21+172d | Doncaster | Visit Attheraces.com Novice Stakes | 2/9 | 1¼ | 9-1 | — | 87A | 84A | Cieren Fallon | 25/1 |
| 02 Nov 20+10d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Get Your Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost EBF Novice Stakes (Div 1) | 6/12 | 2¾ | 9-2 | — | 64A | 62A | Tom Marquand | 16/1 |
| 23 Oct 20 | Doncaster | British EBF Maiden Stakes | 9/10 | 2¾ | 9-5 | — | 38C | 53C | Tom Marquand | 17/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Pagan (IRE) won?
- Pagan (IRE) won 2 of 9 archived starts between 2020 and 2021, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 5 times in total (55.6% of starts).
- Who trained Pagan (IRE)?
- Pagan (IRE) was trained by William Haggas on the most recent run on record, at Newcastle (AW) on 19 October 2021.
- Who is Pagan (IRE)'s sire?
- Pagan (IRE) is by Sir Prancealot (IRE) out of Style (IRE), whose sire is Red Clubs.
- What is Pagan (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 87, from the run on 19 October 2021. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Pagan (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Sir Prancealot (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 3,686 runs since Jan 2008 (216 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on heavy going: 5.3% from 171.
- Who are Pagan (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Style (IRE), Pagan (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Wynette (IRE) (1). The wins came over 7f. As at Oct 2026.