Jim Crowley
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 300 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (259 rides).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (35.5%, n=31), clear of the rider's 16.6% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (7.9% over 126 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.2% (n=259, Fair A/E 1.13), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.5% (n=234, Fair A/E 1.05). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 19.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +0.87 to a £1 stake over 278 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Owen Burrows supplies 10% of the rides and beats the rider's average (27.5% vs 16.6%, A/E 1.59) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 6% over 83 rides, 10.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 2: Fair A/E 0.73 across 250 rides (8.4% strike, −116.33 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 210 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qipco Champion Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2024, £737,230). The standout partner of the record: Hukum (IRE) — 10 wins from 16 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Dec.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 16.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 14,728 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 14,728 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 7 September 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jim Crowley's strike rate?
- Jim Crowley has won 246 of 1,479 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 16.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jim Crowley do best at?
- Yarmouth by strike rate: 10 wins from 42 rides (23.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jim Crowley ride most for?
- Owen Burrows, with 142 rides since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (27.5%).
- What is Jim Crowley's Fair A/E?
- 1.07, from 1,470 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.