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Horse profile

Pivotal Affair (IRE)

3yo gelding (at last run, Jun 2025) · Last trainer Michael Bell · Last owner Valmont Ballylinch Stud
by Lope De Vega (IRE) out of Lolwah (GB) (Pivotal)
5 runs · 4 courses · from Nov 2024
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 19 Jun 2025 — 504 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jun 2025 · 4th of 6 First-time headgear LTO Last raced off OR 66
KTB Profile

Pivotal Affair is a gelding by Lope De Vega out of a Pivotal mare who has yet to win from five starts. He showed his best effort when fourth of six in a Class 5 handicap at Ripon in Jun 2025, having worn first-time headgear that day and raced off an official rating of 66. The maiden contested races at 1m to 1m4f on turf and all-weather surfaces. His highest official rating was 67.

Based on 5 archived runs · run-style from 5 commented runs since Nov 2024 · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 81 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Kempton (AW), 4 Dec 2024

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 5 figures · best 84C · median 65
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)381B65—
Good1———
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
1m – 1m1f381B65—
1m2f – 1m4f284C74.5—

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 62A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Wolverhampton (AW), 28 Jan 2025 Official rating 66 at the last run, 19 Jun 2025

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 5 figures · best 74A · median 62
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)374A68—
Good1———
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
1m – 1m1f374A68—
1m2f – 1m4f258A57—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 5 analysed runs since Nov 2024

  • Prominent 2 (40%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 2 (40%) · 0 wins
  • Led 1 (20%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Lope De Vega (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 13.8% of 12,214 runs since Apr 2014 (1,108 horses).

Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm18422.2%+8.4—
Good to Firm1,56023815.3%+1.5—
Good2,75638313.9%+0.10 from 1
Good to Soft1,56118311.7%−2.10 from 1
Soft1,88125413.5%−0.3—
Heavy7218511.8%−2—
Standard (AW)3,71553414.4%+0.60 from 3
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f4777114.9%+1.1—
6f – 7f3,60751114.2%+0.4—
1m – 1m1f3,60551714.3%+0.50 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f3,28546814.2%+0.40 from 2
1m5f – 2m960909.4%−4.4—
2m1f – 2m4f247249.7%−4.1—
2m5f – 3m3213.1%−10.7—
Over 3m100%−13.8—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2014 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Lolwah (GB) (Pivotal)

4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Mart Lane (IRE) (1 win).

The wins came over 1m1½f–2m4f.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Mart Lane (IRE)812m4f—
Shahaada (IRE)1111m1½f—
Maeve Of Connaught (IRE)20——
Seraphia (IRE)100——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Kempton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Ripon 1 0 0% −1.00
Leicester 1 0 0% −1.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m – 1m1f 3 0 0% −3.00
1m2f – 1m4f 2 0 0% −2.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Hector Crouch 2 0 0% −2.00
David Allan 1 0 0% −1.00
Daniel Muscutt 1 0 0% −1.00
George Wood 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 4 0 0% −4.00
Cheekpieces 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2025 3 0 0% −3.00
2024 2 0 0% −2.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2025 · 3 runs
19 Jun 25+23d Ripon Masons Gin 'Who Dares, Gins' Handicap Class 5 · 1m4f · Good · 6 ran Sat close to the pace wide - urged into 4th with 5f left - lost touch in 5th and unable to close from there 4/6 13 9-0 6684C56C David Allan 12/1
27 May 25+119d Leicester Canyon Road Wines Handicap Class 5 · 1m2f · Good To Soft · 11 ran Settled towards the back early - lost touch and toiling from 3f out - found some renewed effort in the closing stages - stayed on to finish seventh 7/11 3½ 9-6 6765A58A Daniel Muscutt 12/1
28 Jan 25+55d Wolverhampton (AW) Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 1m½f · Standard · 7 ran Settled just off the pace - asked for effort with over 2f left but couldn't close on the leading two - stayed on to finish fourth 4/7 1 9-0 —54A62A Hector Crouch 13/2
2024 · 2 runs
04 Dec 24+30d Kempton (AW) Unibet More Boosts In More Races EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) Class 5 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 13 ran Set the pace until 2f out - faded inside final furlong to finish 6th 6/13 2 9-4 —81B74A George Wood 33/1
04 Nov 24 Kempton (AW) British EBF Future Stayers Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 12 ran Sluggish to break - held up towards the back for most of the way - never a factor - finished well held in 8th 8/12 1¾ 9-7 —65A68A Hector Crouch 28/1

Quick answers

How many races has Pivotal Affair won?
Pivotal Affair (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts between 2024 and 2025.
Who trained Pivotal Affair?
Pivotal Affair (IRE) was trained by Michael Bell on the most recent run on record, at Ripon on 19 June 2025.
Who is Pivotal Affair's sire?
Pivotal Affair (IRE) is by Lope De Vega (IRE) out of Lolwah (GB), whose sire is Pivotal.
What is Pivotal Affair's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 66, from the run on 19 June 2025. The highest on record is 67.
What is Pivotal Affair's sire's record?
Lope De Vega (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.8% of 12,214 runs since Apr 2014 (1,108 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.
Who are Pivotal Affair's siblings?
Out of Lolwah (GB), Pivotal Affair (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Mart Lane (IRE) (1). The wins came over 1m1½f–2m4f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from November 2024. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.