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Horse profile

Predict A Riot (IRE)

7yo gelding (at last run, Apr 2018) · Last trainer Ian Williams · Last owner Paul Williams
by Flemensfirth (USA) out of Ballerina Laura (IRE) (Riot Helmet)
9 runs · 6 courses · from Nov 2016
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 24 Apr 2018 — 3,102 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Apr 2018 Last raced off OR 100
KTB Profile

Predict A Riot (IRE) is yet to win from 9 starts. Best effort: 3rd of 3 at Warwick (Nov 2016). Last raced off 100, 16lb below the career-high mark.

Based on 9 archived runs · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance OR ↓ 16lb off peak
Official rating100↓ 16lb off peak
100 100–116

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed — no A or B graded figure in the last 3 runs; the figures below carry grade C

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 5 figures · best 114C · median 104
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 22 Oct 2025
Good to Soft3114C104—
Heavy1———
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 22 Oct 2025
Over 3m3108C92—
2m5f – 3m2114C109—

Of 9 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: did not complete (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 94C the best of the last 3 rated runs · Doncaster, 1 Dec 2017 Official rating 100 at the last run, 24 Apr 2018

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 6 figures · best 106A · median 93.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 22 Oct 2025
Good to Soft396C94—
Heavy1———
Soft1———
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 22 Oct 2025
Over 3m393C92—
2m5f – 3m3106A96—

Of 9 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (3).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 9 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Flemensfirth (USA)

Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since Jan 2008 (1,594 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm3800%−11.9—
Good to Firm522509.6%−2.3—
Good4,05144110.9%−10 from 1
Good to Soft2,93135412.1%+0.20 from 4
Soft5,87675112.8%+0.90 from 3
Heavy3,81444911.8%−0.10 from 1
Standard (AW)4224.8%−7.1—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
1m – 1m1f200%−11.9—
1m2f – 1m4f2514%−7.9—
1m5f – 2m4,48454712.2%+0.3—
2m1f – 2m4f6,07772411.9%0—
2m5f – 3m5,25462211.8%−0.10 from 5
Over 3m1,43215310.7%−1.20 from 4

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Ballerina Laura (IRE) (Riot Helmet)

6 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Glencairn View (IRE) (2 wins).

The wins came over 2m–3m1f; the highest grade won is Class 1 (Glencairn View (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Glencairn View (IRE)1323m–3m1fClass 1
Werenearlyoutofit (IRE)622m–2m4fClass 4
Flemerina (IRE)2022m1f–2m7fClass 4
Norman Stanley (IRE)512m½fClass 5
Lough Derg Diamond (IRE)40——
Charabang (IRE)40——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Warwick 4 0 0% −4.00
Ludlow 1 0 0% −1.00
Huntingdon 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Bangor-on-Dee 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m5f – 3m 5 0 0% −5.00
Over 3m 4 0 0% −4.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Harry Skelton 3 0 0% −3.00
Edward Austin 2 0 0% −2.00
Dave Crosse 1 0 0% −1.00
Tom O'Brien 1 0 0% −1.00
Bridget Andrews 1 0 0% −1.00
David England 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 7 0 0% −7.00
Cheekpieces 2 0 0% −2.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2018 2 0 0% −2.00
2017 4 0 0% −4.00
2016 3 0 0% −3.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
24 Apr 18+60d Ludlow Wye Valley Brewery Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 21f · Soft · 10 ran PU/10 — 11-2 100—— Dave Crosse 16/1
23 Feb 18+59d Warwick 188Bet Download The App Hands And Heels Handicap Hurdle (Conditionals And Amateurs) Class 5 · 26f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8/11 10 11-11 10272C93C Edward Austin 7/1
26 Dec 17+25d Huntingdon Merlin Inflatables Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 25f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU/9 — 10-13 107—— Edward Austin 8/1
01 Dec 17+264d Doncaster Flake 99 Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10/10 1½ 11-4 112114C94C Tom O'Brien 10/1
12 Mar 17+29d Warwick Warwickshire & Northamptonshire Air Ambulance Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 21f · Soft · 7 ran PU/7 — 11-9 115—— Bridget Andrews 20/1
11 Feb 17+51d Warwick Racing UK Winter Season Ticket Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 26f · Heavy · 8 ran 7/8 1½ 11-8 116108C92C David England 12/1
22 Dec 16+23d Bangor-on-Dee Clwyd Special Riding Centre Novices' Hurdle Class 3 · 23f · Soft · 10 ran 4/10 2¾ 10-12 ——106A Harry Skelton 12/1
29 Nov 16+25d Southwell At The Races Sky 415 Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4/8 15 10-12 —104C96C Harry Skelton 20/1
04 Nov 16 Warwick Willmott Dixon Supply Chain Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 26f · Good · 3 ran 3/3 99 10-12 —92C85C Harry Skelton 11/10F

Quick answers

How many races has Predict A Riot (IRE) won?
Predict A Riot (IRE) has yet to win, from 9 archived starts between 2016 and 2018.
Who trained Predict A Riot (IRE)?
Predict A Riot (IRE) was trained by Ian Williams on the most recent run on record, at Ludlow on 24 April 2018.
Who is Predict A Riot (IRE)'s sire?
Predict A Riot (IRE) is by Flemensfirth (USA) out of Ballerina Laura (IRE), whose sire is Riot Helmet.
What is Predict A Riot (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 24 April 2018. The highest on record is 116.
What is Predict A Riot (IRE)'s sire's record?
Flemensfirth (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since Jan 2008 (1,594 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Predict A Riot (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Ballerina Laura (IRE), Predict A Riot (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Glencairn View (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 1 (Glencairn View (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–3m1f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from November 2016. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.