Probably Not (IRE)
Probably Not (IRE) is yet to win from 7 starts.
- 0–7Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −7.00£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=7 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 45dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Sep 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 6.3% of 554 runs since Jan 2008 (63 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −6.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 61 | 6 | 9.8% | +3.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 150 | 9 | 6% | −0.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 70 | 7 | 10% | +3.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 165 | 9 | 5.5% | −0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 104 | 4 | 3.8% | −2.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −6.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −6.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 148 | 9 | 6.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 212 | 9 | 4.2% | −2.1 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 164 | 15 | 9.1% | +2.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 22 | 1 | 4.5% | −1.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Harrycat (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 2m½f–2m6f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Harrycat (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrycat (IRE) | 14 | 3 | 2m½f–2m6f | Class 3 |
| Some Catch (IRE) | 12 | 2 | 2m4f–2m5½f | Class 4 |
| Tara Captain (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Cecchetti (IRE) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downpatrick | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam O'Neill | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Matthew Bowes | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Brian Hayes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Patrick Corbett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| A P Heskin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2013 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May 14+57d | Downpatrick | Tote Live The Dream At Downpatrick Maiden Hurdle | F/13 | — | 10-13 | — | Brian Hayes | 66/1 |
| 13 Mar 14+40d | Hexham | Follow Us On Facebook 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle | 12/14 | 33 | 10-11 | 86C | Patrick Corbett | 100/1 |
| 01 Feb 14+37d | Fairyhouse | Bobbyjo Bistro Perfect Packages 2014 Maiden Hurdle | 17/25 | 2¼ | 11-5 | 90C | Adam O'Neill | 66/1 |
| 26 Dec 13+122d | Down Royal | I.N.H. Stallion Owners European Breeders Fund Maiden Hurdle | 14/18 | 17 | 10-11 | 90C | Adam O'Neill | 66/1 |
| 26 Aug 13+6d | Downpatrick | Ladies Day At Downpatrick Maiden Hurdle | 10/10 | 18 | 10-13 | 82C | Matthew Bowes | 50/1 |
| 20 Aug 13+9d | Sligo | Kilcawley Construction Sligo Maiden Hurdle | 12/16 | 95 | 10-13 | 86C | Matthew Bowes | 33/1 |
| 11 Aug 13 | Downpatrick | Sunday Hospitality Hurdle | F/5 | — | 11-6 | — | A P Heskin | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Probably Not (IRE) won?
- Probably Not (IRE) has yet to win, from 7 archived starts between 2013 and 2014.
- Who trained Probably Not (IRE)?
- Probably Not (IRE) was trained by H Smyth on the most recent run on record, at Downpatrick on 9 May 2014.
- Who is Probably Not (IRE)'s sire?
- Probably Not (IRE) is by Marignan (USA) out of Quiver Tree, whose sire is Lion Cavern.
- What is Probably Not (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Marignan (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 6.3% of 554 runs since Jan 2008 (63 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Probably Not (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Quiver Tree, Probably Not (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Harrycat (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Harrycat (IRE)). The wins came over 2m½f–2m6f. As at Oct 2026.