Patrick Corbett
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (65 rides).
The record is strongest at Ffos Las (23.8%, n=42), clear of the rider's 5.5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.3% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.89), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=249, Fair A/E 0.42). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 2.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −443.50 to a £1 stake over 631 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Rebecca Curtis supplied 11% of the rides and beats the rider's average (18.1% vs 5.5%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 5 (19%, n=42) and in Class 4 (16.1%, n=56). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Byrne Group Handicap Chase at Ascot (Nov 2012, £28,475).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,206 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,206 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 April 2009 to 26 December 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Patrick Corbett's strike rate?
- Patrick Corbett has won 66 of 1,206 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Patrick Corbett do best at?
- Ffos Las by strike rate: 10 wins from 42 rides (23.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Patrick Corbett ride most for?
- Rebecca Curtis, with 138 rides since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (18.1%).
- What is Patrick Corbett's Fair A/E?
- 0.89, from 1,206 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.