What is A P Heskin's strike rate?

A P Heskin has won 37 of 375 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does A P Heskin ride most for?

Olly Murphy, with 57 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (19.3%).

What is A P Heskin's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 375 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

A P Heskin

375 rides in the last 5 seasons · 192 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2024 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

37–375

Wins / Runs

9.9%

Strike rate

n=375

110 (29%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=375 · 0.73 incl. margin

−176.53

£1 level stake

n=375 at SP · −47.1%

£802k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.84). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (51 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 375 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Dec Fresh horses: 12.8% 36.8% when favourite Olly Murphy: 19.3% from 57 LTO winners: 21.6% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.6% (n=51, Fair A/E 1.13), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.9% (n=108, Fair A/E 0.33). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −93.12 to a £1 stake over 154 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Olly Murphy supplies 15% of the rides and beats the rider's average (19.3% vs 9.9%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 3 (21.8%, n=55) and off a 61-180-day break (16.4%, n=67). The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 3.1% over 32 rides, 6.8pts below the baseline. 36 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the bet365 Gold Cup Chase at Sandown (Apr 2010, £91,216). The standout partner of the record: Threeunderthrufive (IRE) — 9 wins from 17 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.8%−4.1

n=154 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −93.12

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.6%+11.7

n=51 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +5.71

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.8%+2.9

n=109 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −18.13

When favourite

36.8%

n=38 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −9.71

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.9%−8.0

n=108 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −103.42

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10%+0.1

n=50 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −17.55

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 3 21.8% vs 9.9% · n=55

On last-time-out winners 21.6% vs 9.9% · n=51

With Olly Murphy 19.3% vs 9.9% · n=57

Off a 61-180-day break 16.4% vs 9.9% · n=67

Beyond 3m 3.1% vs 9.9% · n=32

Over 2m5f – 3m 15.2% vs 9.9% · n=79

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 233 17 7.3% −143.22

Chase 116 15 12.9% −30.56

NH Flat 26 5 19.2% −2.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 124 11 8.9% −57.17

Good to Soft 97 11 11.3% −40.78

Good 97 10 10.3% −31.17

Heavy 57 5 8.8% −47.41

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 26 2 7.7% −13.67

Fairyhouse 17 1 5.9% −15.27

Uttoxeter 16 3 18.8% +2.50

Huntingdon 15 1 6.7% −13.17

Ayr 15 1 6.7% −12.00

Warwick 14 2 14.3% −8.38

Newbury 13 0 0% −13.00

Aintree 13 0 0% −13.00

Gowran Park 11 1 9.1% −9.27

Worcester 11 1 9.1% −8.75

Wetherby 11 2 18.2% −1.67

Wincanton 10 0 0% −10.00

Limerick 10 2 20% −5.70

Cork 9 0 0% −9.00

Musselburgh 9 2 22.2% −3.65

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 78 9 11.5% −11.32

Class 1 62 5 8.1% −29.55

Class 3 55 12 21.8% −0.38

Class 2 42 6 14.3% −12.09

Class 5 34 2 5.9% −25.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 47 17 36.2% 1.13 −9.86

2nd–3rd fav 86 13 15.1% 0.76 −20.17

4th–6th fav 94 5 5.3% 0.67 −38.50

7th+ in betting 148 2 1.4% 0.49 −108.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88% completed · 349 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 116 84.5% 3 2 13 0 0

Hurdle 233 89.7% 1 4 19 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Wolf (FR) 10 1 5 27 May 23

Thunder Rock (IRE) 9 4 5 22 Apr 23

Twin Power (IRE) 8 1 6 21 Apr 23

Kiltealy Briggs (IRE) 8 2 2 14 Apr 23

Magical Zoe (IRE) 7 2 6 15 Mar 24

Threeunderthrufive (IRE) 7 1 2 22 Apr 23

Autonomous Cloud (IRE) 7 1 7 18 Mar 23

Shearer (IRE) 7 2 3 5 Feb 23

Restandbethankful (GB) 7 0 0 30 Dec 22

Tritonic (GB) 6 0 1 14 Apr 23

Seddon (IRE) 6 1 2 13 Jul 22

Three Card Brag (IRE) 5 1 2 26 Apr 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 192 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

7121011110007131313

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardOlly Murphy

15% of all rides
19.3% SR · A/E 1.06

TrainerRWSR£1

Olly Murphy 57 11 19.3% −7.55

Alan King 46 4 8.7% −21.67

Neil Mulholland 30 2 6.7% +2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

436

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.86m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 58 wins

Church Island (IRE) — bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Sandown · Apr 2010 · Class 1

£91,216

Martello Tower (IRE) — Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The Spa Novices' Hurdle) (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2015 · Class 1

£68,340

Foxrock (IRE) — Boylesports Handicap Chase (grade A) Leopardstown · Jan 2015 · Grade A

£60,000

Notable horses

Threeunderthrufive (IRE) Thunder Rock (IRE) The Worlds End (IRE) The Butcher Said (IRE) Kiltealy Briggs (IRE) Senior Citizen (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 30% · 6–20

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Shantou (USA) 16.7% · 3–18

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,834 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Shirocco (GER) 22.2% · 4–18

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,185 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Yeats (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,844 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Califet (FR) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,802 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Kapgarde (FR) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,634 runs since 2008 (725 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,009 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,009 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 August 2008 to 21 April 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Apr 24 Tramore Gaillimh A Run (IRE)T: John Queally Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 1st 11/8F

19 Apr 24 Limerick Larkins Lane (IRE)T: Ronald O'Leary Limerick Races On Instagram Maiden Hurdle24f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran PU 66/1

11 Apr 24 Limerick Kilbrin Rocco (IRE)T: Michael Winters D & J Glazing Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 11 ran 9th 20/1

01 Apr 24 Cork The Banger Doyle (IRE)T: John Queally Leisure Domes Ltd Marquee Hire Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 9/2F

15 Mar 24 Cheltenham Magical Zoe (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead BetMGM County Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Heavy · 17 ran 4th 8/1

10 Mar 24 Limerick Judicieuse Allen (FR)T: W P Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Shannon Spray Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3)22.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 9/2

09 Mar 24 Gowran Park Miss Tempo (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Holden Fleet Management Beginners Chase20f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 5/1

05 Mar 24 Thurles Kilbrin Rocco (IRE)T: Michael Winters ThurlesRaces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 16 ran 10th 200/1

04 Mar 24 Leopardstown Gua Du Large (FR)T: Henry De Bromhead Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase17f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 28/1

25 Feb 24 Naas Mon Euil (FR)T: Ronald O'Leary Naas Racecourse Business Club Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Soft · 25 ran 12th 200/1

21 Feb 24 Punchestown Falvio (POL)T: C A McBratney Sherry Fitzgerald Brady O'Flaherty Supporting Longford GAA Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 33/1

15 Feb 24 Clonmel Gaillimh A Run (IRE)T: John Queally Surehaul Race Day Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Heavy · 13 ran 3rd 3/1

13 Feb 24 Thurles Mon Euil (FR)T: Ronald O'Leary www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 9th 28/1

11 Feb 24 Navan Welsh Saint (FR)T: C A McBratney Gibney's Handicap Hurdle (80-102)22f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 66/1

07 Feb 24 Fairyhouse Shanroe Act (IRE)T: Karl Thornton Bobbyjo Day February 24th Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Heavy · 16 ran 16th 12/1

04 Feb 24 Leopardstown Magical Zoe (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Timeless Sash Windows Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (Listed)16f · Soft · 21 ran 2nd 5/1J

30 Jan 24 Limerick Surf Club (IRE)T: W P Mullins Follow Limerick Racecourse On Twitter (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 14/1

28 Jan 24 Naas Welsh Saint (FR)T: C A McBratney Full Circle Series At Punchestown Festival 2024 Qualifier Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 100/1

28 Jan 24 Naas King Kali (IRE)T: Sean Byrne I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 200/1

27 Jan 24 Fairyhouse Judicieuse Allen (FR)T: W P Mullins SBK Solerina Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3)18f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is A P Heskin's strike rate?: A P Heskin has won 37 of 375 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does A P Heskin ride most for?: Olly Murphy, with 57 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (19.3%).
What is A P Heskin's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 375 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.