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Jockey profile

Matthew Bowes

649 rides in the lifetime window · 245 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Nov 2018 100% of rides over jumps
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
33–649
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=649
129 (20%)
Placed
0.96
n=649 · 0.72 incl. margin
−287.00
£1 level stake
n=649 at SP · −44.2%
£401k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Rode mostly for Patrick O Brady — 41% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 649 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Aug–Sep Patrick O Brady: 4.1% from 268
The read

The record is strongest at Limerick (10.3%, n=39) and Kilbeggan (9.5%, n=42) — all clear of the rider's 5.1% baseline. It is weakest at Fairyhouse (0% over 33 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −42.00 to a £1 stake over 123 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Patrick O Brady supplied 41% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.1%, A/E 0.80). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 59 rides, 5.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.41 across 57 rides (1.8% strike, −50.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.9%−0.2
n=245 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −106.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
2.8%−2.3
n=36 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −30.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.3%−1.8
n=123 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −42.00
When favourite
23.8%
n=21 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −1.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.1%+0.0
n=624 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −265.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.7%−0.4
n=425 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −182.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.1
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 5.1% · n=59
At Limerick 10.3% vs 5.1% · n=39
At Fairyhouse 0% vs 5.1% · n=33
With horses switching code 1.6% vs 5.1% · n=127
At Kilbeggan 9.5% vs 5.1% · n=42
On Good to Soft going 1.8% vs 5.1% · n=57
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 505 27 5.3% −201.75
Chase 120 5 4.2% −64.50
NH Flat 22 1 4.5% −18.75
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 192 12 6.3% −37.50
Good 160 10 6.3% −63.00
Heavy 156 8 5.1% −70.50
Good to Firm 73 2 2.7% −55.00
Good to Soft 57 1 1.8% −50.00
Firm 11 0 0% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal 64 4 6.3% −15.50
Downpatrick 56 3 5.4% −30.75
Punchestown 54 1 1.9% −47.00
Navan 49 2 4.1% −1.00
Kilbeggan 42 4 9.5% +0.50
Limerick 39 4 10.3% +5.25
Clonmel 36 1 2.8% −30.50
Fairyhouse 33 0 0% −33.00
Sligo 31 1 3.2% −25.50
Roscommon 27 1 3.7% −17.00
Galway 26 0 0% −26.00
Naas 26 2 7.7% −1.00
Cork 22 3 13.6% +29.00
Ballinrobe 21 2 9.5% −6.50
Thurles 20 1 5% −12.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 19 0 0% −19.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 28 5 17.9% 0.86 −8.25
2nd–3rd fav 68 12 17.6% 1.50 +9.25
4th–6th fav 152 10 6.6% 1.04 −28.00
7th+ in betting 401 6 1.5% 0.54 −260.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88% completed · 625 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 120 77.5% 4 8 11 2 2
Hurdle 505 90.5% 10 6 25 4 3
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Saddler's Native (IRE) 37 1 8 26 Sep 12
Imperial Shabra (IRE) 35 3 6 28 Oct 12
Flamenco Prince (GB) 24 0 2 19 Jan 13
Duroob (GB) 22 3 8 16 Mar 13
Shabra Charity (IRE) 21 2 7 22 Aug 14
Garamor Boy (IRE) 16 0 4 22 Aug 14
Black Spot On (IRE) 15 2 7 4 Nov 18
Melbourne Lady (GB) 14 2 7 15 Mar 16
Katys Girl (IRE) 14 1 7 16 Sep 12
Moiqen (IRE) 10 0 2 29 Mar 14
Coney Choice (IRE) 9 1 1 26 Dec 15
Icy Cool (IRE) 9 0 1 10 Jul 11
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 245 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
939435479643
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
41% of all rides
4.1% SR · A/E 0.80
TrainerRWSR£1
Patrick O Brady 268 11 4.1% −171.50
Philip M Byrne 40 1 2.5% −23.00
P Fegan 36 3 8.3% −14.50
Lady Jane Gillespie 34 1 2.9% −21.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
33
Archived wins
£410k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 10 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Concrete And Clay (GB) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (81-130) Gowran Park · Jan 2012
£11,730
Melbourne Lady (GB) — O'Kelly Brothers Demolition Mares Handicap Hurdle Limerick · Dec 2014
£10,695
Jack Cool (IRE) — Gowran Christmas Party Meeting 10th December Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Gowran Park · Oct 2010
£10,350

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 2.6% · 1–38
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Imperial Ballet (IRE) 8.3% · 3–36
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,342 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.2% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 150.
Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Bahhare (USA) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,314 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.9% from 202.
Rudimentary (USA) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Tamayaz (CAN) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 5.4% of 772 runs since 2008 (80 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 699 · newest first

The latest 50 of 699 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 4 November 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Sep 16 Navan Our Boy Boru (IRE)T: J Woods Troytown Bar Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 30 ran 1st 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matthew Bowes's strike rate?
Matthew Bowes has won 33 of 649 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matthew Bowes do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 4 wins from 39 rides (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Matthew Bowes ride most for?
Patrick O Brady, with 268 rides since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (4.1%).
What is Matthew Bowes's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 649 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).