Ricardo's Chance (GB)
Ricardo's Chance (GB) is 6 from 20. Hasn't won since Jul 2012. 3 of 5 starts at Worcester have ended in wins. Every win has come on good or faster ground (0 from 7 on softer). Last raced off 105, 14lb below the career-high mark.
- 6–20Wins / Runs
- 30%Strike rate
- 9 (45%)Placed
- +13.80£1 level staken=20 at SP
- 2.39Fair A/E n=20 · 2.02 incl. margin
- 119Highest OR
- 146dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since Jan 2008 (535 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 1 | 10% | +0.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 403 | 30 | 7.4% | −2.4 | 3 from 4 |
| Good | 1,670 | 153 | 9.2% | −0.6 | 3 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 1,182 | 117 | 9.9% | +0.1 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,307 | 150 | 11.5% | +1.7 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 698 | 67 | 9.6% | −0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 42 | 3 | 7.1% | −2.7 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9.8 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −9.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 39 | 2 | 5.1% | −4.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,472 | 124 | 8.4% | −1.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,691 | 169 | 10% | +0.2 | 2 from 5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,615 | 170 | 10.5% | +0.7 | 4 from 13 |
| Over 3m | 490 | 56 | 11.4% | +1.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| King Rocky (GB) | 20 | 0 | — | — |
| Gabbys Star (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 3 | 33% | +2.13 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 3 | 75% | +18.67 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 11 | 3 | 27% | −1.95 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 3 | 60% | +19.75 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester | 5 | 3 | 60% | +7.63 |
| Uttoxeter | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.50 |
| Hereford | 4 | 1 | 25% | +11.00 |
| Southwell | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.33 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 13 | 4 | 31% | +2.05 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 2 | 40% | +13.75 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David England | 9 | 3 | 33% | +2.13 |
| Richard Killoran | 4 | 2 | 50% | +3.67 |
| Jason Maguire | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Jodie Mogford | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jonathan England | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dean Coleman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.25 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2008 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.38 |
| 2007 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +16.67 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 · 7 runs | |||||||||
| 19 Aug 12+19d | Southwell | CMC 10th Anniversary Claiming Hurdle | PU/8 | — | 10-10 | 105 | — | David England | 13/2 |
| 31 Jul 12+21d | Worcester | Pensham Selling Hurdle | 1/7 | 10-12 | 105 | 112B | David England | 11/4 | |
| 10 Jul 12+30d | Uttoxeter | Bet365.com Handicap Hurdle | 12/12 | 3¾ | 11-7 | 105 | 94C | Sam Twiston-Davies | 9/1 |
| 10 Jun 12+28d | Worcester | Aidan Gilroy 'forever The Duke' Memorial Handicap Hurdle | 2/13 | 13 | 10-10 | 105 | 115A | Jonathan England | 14/1 |
| 13 May 12+39d | Worcester | 2nd Skin Storage King Brachain Handicap Hurdle | 7/8 | 1 | 11-8 | 105 | 93C | David England | 11/1 |
| 04 Apr 12+30d | Hereford | Les Swanwick Electrical Ltd. Handicap Hurdle | 3/6 | 4½ | 11-11 | 105 | 115B | David England | 11/1 |
| 05 Mar 12+890d | Hereford | BetVictor.com/Cheltenham For Free Bet Offers Handicap Hurdle | 6/10 | 2½ | 11-6 | 107 | 100C | David England | 22/1 |
| 2009 · 2 runs | |||||||||
| 27 Sep 09+107d | Market Rasen | Fsb Insurance Service Towergate Handicap Hurdle | 3/12 | 2 | 10-7 | 116 | 120A | David England | 10/1 |
| 12 Jun 09+369d | Aintree | Letheby & Christopher Handicap Hurdle | 6/15 | hd | 11-5 | 119 | 112A | Dean Coleman | 7/1 |
| 2008 · 3 runs | |||||||||
| 08 Jun 08+22d | Worcester | Gleave Partnership Family Day Handicap Hurdle | 1/12 | 11-4 | 110 | 128A | David England | 15/8F | |
| 17 May 08+78d | Uttoxeter | williamhillcasino.com Handicap Hurdle | 1/9 | 10-12 | 104 | 121A | David England | 7/2J | |
| 29 Feb 08+92d | Newbury | Securon Handicap Hurdle | 2/10 | 12 | 10-2 | 104 | 107A | David England | 7/2 |
| 2007 · 6 runs | |||||||||
| 29 Nov 07+13d | Uttoxeter | Jenkinsons Caterers For Hospitality Handicap Hurdle | 4/14 | 1 | 10-13 | 104 | 110C | Richard Killoran | 11/2 |
| 16 Nov 07+65d | Cheltenham | Royal Bank Of Canada Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 5/21 | 1¾ | 10-7 | 104 | 109C | Richard Killoran | 20/1 |
| 12 Sep 07+131d | Uttoxeter | bet365.com Handicap Hurdle | 6/16 | 5 | 11-7 | 104 | 106C | Jason Maguire | 15/2 |
| 04 May 07+9d | Southwell | Ladbrokes Freephone NH Novices' Hurdle | 1/8 | 10-13 | 92 | 108C | Richard Killoran | 4/6F | |
| 25 Apr 07+27d | Worcester | Poker At skypoker.com Conditionals' Novices' Handicap Hdl | 1/14 | 11-4 | 92 | 119C | Richard Killoran | 5/1F | |
| 29 Mar 07+781d | Hereford | Weatherbys Printing Novices' Selling Hurdle | 1/13 | 11-1 | 77 | 106C | Jason Maguire | 14/1 | |
| 2005 · 2 runs | |||||||||
| 06 Feb 05+31d | Hereford | NH Novices' Hurdle (Div 1) | 8/13 | 2½ | 11-3 | — | 80C | Jodie Mogford | 80/1 |
| 06 Jan 05 | Ludlow | 1871 Selling Hurdle | 7/17 | nk | 11-0 | — | 101C | Jodie Mogford | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Ricardo's Chance won?
- Ricardo's Chance (GB) won 6 of 20 archived starts between 2005 and 2012, a strike rate of 30%. Placed 9 times in total (45% of starts).
- Who trained Ricardo's Chance?
- Ricardo's Chance (GB) was trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies on the most recent run on record, at Southwell on 19 August 2012.
- Who is Ricardo's Chance's sire?
- Ricardo's Chance (GB) is by Alflora (IRE) out of Jims Sister (GB), whose sire is Welsh Captain.
- What going does Ricardo's Chance prefer?
- Ricardo's Chance (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 3 wins from 4 starts (75%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Ricardo's Chance's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 105, from the run on 19 August 2012. The highest on record is 119.
- What is Ricardo's Chance's sire's record?
- Alflora (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since Jan 2008 (535 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Ricardo's Chance's siblings?
- Out of Jims Sister (GB), Ricardo's Chance (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.