What is Nigel Twiston-Davies's strike rate?

Nigel Twiston-Davies has won 240 of 1,538 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nigel Twiston-Davies do best at?

Market Rasen by strike rate: 13 wins from 51 runners (25.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Nigel Twiston-Davies?

Sam Twiston-Davies, with 769 runners since 2022 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 127 (16.5%).

What is Nigel Twiston-Davies's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 1,538 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Nigel Twiston-Davies

1,538 runners in the last 5 seasons · 210 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Apr 2025 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

240–1,538

Wins / Runs

15.6%

Strike rate

n=1,538

553 (36%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=1,538 · 0.87 incl. margin

−374.64

£1 level stake

n=1,538 at SP · −24.4%

£4.32m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 310 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 16% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.00). New recruits from other yards win at 24% first time out (37 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,538 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Nov Fresh horses: 18.3% 32.7% when favourite Sam Twiston-Davies: 16.5% from 769 New recruits: 24.3% Sends off the favourite in 17% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Market Rasen (25.5%, n=51) and Ffos Las (24.5%, n=49) — all clear of the yard's 15.6% baseline. It is weakest at Sandown (2.9% over 35 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 24.3% (n=37, Fair A/E 1.44). Sam Twiston-Davies rides 50% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (16.5%, A/E 0.95). The yard also reads well in Class 3 (21.5%, n=279). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 9.6% over 197 runners, 6pts below the baseline. 103 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup at Cheltenham (Mar 2010, £270,798). The stable star of the record: The New One (IRE) — 20 wins from 40 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

18.3%+2.7

n=322 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −13.36

New recruits · first run for the yard

24.3%+8.7

n=37 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +0.89

Debutants · first career start

15.7%+0.1

n=108 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +23.40

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14%−1.6

n=57 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −28.95

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−15.6

n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

When favourite

32.7%

n=269 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −57.80

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.6%−1.0

n=512 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −66.99

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.9%−2.7

n=124 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −42.59

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell 35.5% vs 15.6% · n=31

At Sandown 2.9% vs 15.6% · n=35

At Market Rasen 25.5% vs 15.6% · n=51

At Ffos Las 24.5% vs 15.6% · n=49

In Class 3 21.5% vs 15.6% · n=279

In Class 1 9.6% vs 15.6% · n=197

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 778 122 15.7% −252.26

Chase 521 82 15.7% −127.38

NH Flat 195 30 15.4% +20.63

Flat 44 6 13.6% −15.63

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 565 89 15.8% −163.85

Good to Soft 441 65 14.7% −103.82

Soft 380 61 16.1% −71.86

Heavy 105 20 19% −8.48

Standard (AW) 32 5 15.6% −11.63

Good to Firm 15 0 0% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 139 13 9.4% −73.07

Warwick 92 16 17.4% −7.39

Ludlow 87 14 16.1% −21.88

Newbury 69 7 10.1% −18.19

Hereford 68 11 16.2% −21.69

Chepstow 64 11 17.2% −0.68

Uttoxeter 63 7 11.1% −17.72

Doncaster 58 11 19% −19.65

Worcester 57 10 17.5% +1.08

Huntingdon 55 12 21.8% +24.50

Aintree 53 7 13.2% −32.75

Market Rasen 51 13 25.5% −2.54

Ffos Las 49 12 24.5% +0.11

Southwell 49 7 14.3% −18.57

Stratford 45 8 17.8% −13.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 453 87 19.2% −101.53

Class 5 389 51 13.1% −58.01

Class 3 279 60 21.5% −12.77

Class 2 198 22 11.1% −101.12

Class 1 197 19 9.6% −84.71

Class 6 19 1 5.3% −13.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 312 103 33% 0.98 −42.90

2nd–3rd fav 466 97 20.8% 1.15 −17.24

4th–6th fav 455 29 6.4% 0.73 −201.50

7th+ in betting 305 11 3.6% 1.01 −113.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.9% completed · 1,299 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 521 81.4% 20 6 68 0 3

Hurdle 778 88.9% 14 10 60 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Supasunrise (IRE)then Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 27 2 10 12 Mar 25

Moveit Like Minnie (IRE)then Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 26 5 10 22 Apr 25

Ballycamus (IRE)then Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 25 6 13 27 Mar 25

Guy (IRE)then Mrs Mary Cookson 24 4 10 10 Apr 25

One True King (IRE)then Miss B Coward 24 4 9 18 May 24

Tedley (GB)then Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 23 3 8 21 Mar 25

Awesome Foursome (GB) 23 2 10 19 Jan 25

Master Chewy (IRE)then Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 22 3 10 26 Apr 25

Safe Destination (GB)then Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 22 5 8 19 Apr 25

Uncle Bert (GB)then Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 22 5 9 14 Mar 25

Fantomas (FR)then Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 21 2 6 21 Apr 25

Good Boy Bobby (IRE)then Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 20 2 6 1 Mar 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 210 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

42 have since run for another yard, most often for Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies (29) and Scott Dixon (2); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

13151691210111427241816

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSam Twiston-Davies

50% of all rides
16.5% SR · A/E 0.95

RiderRWSR£1

Sam Twiston-Davies 769 127 16.5% −238.25

Jordan Nailor 160 25 15.6% −14.58

Finn Lambert 155 25 16.1% −48.08

James Turner 141 16 11.3% −42.64

Tom Bellamy 53 7 13.2% −14.10

Jamie Brace 48 9 18.8% +3.25

Daryl Jacob 40 7 17.5% −21.27

Mr Jamie Neild 40 4 10% +15.50

Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell 31 11 35.5% +34.16

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,510

Archived wins

103

Pattern / graded wins

£23.7m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 106 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Imperial Commander (IRE) — totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2010 · Class 1

£270,798

Imperial Commander (IRE) — Ryanair Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2009 · Class 1

£125,422

Hello Bud (IRE) — Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Ayr · Apr 2009 · Class 1

£114,020

Notable horses

The New One (IRE) Good Boy Bobby (IRE) Earlofthecotswolds (FR) Pigeon Island (GB) Robinshill (IRE) Billie Magern (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pether's Moon (IRE) 19.1% · 17–89

Progeny have won 13.2% of 906 runs since 2008 (106 horses).

Getaway (GER) 19% · 16–84

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,934 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.

Blue Bresil (FR) 5.1% · 4–78

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,509 runs since 2008 (457 horses).

Mount Nelson (GB) 11.3% · 7–62

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,268 runs since 2008 (538 horses).

Fame And Glory (GB) 22.7% · 10–44

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,208 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,842 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,832 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,832 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 26 April 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Apr 25 Sandown Push The Button (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 8th 18/1

26 Apr 25 Sandown Master Chewy (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 15.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 22/1

25 Apr 25 Perth Spectacularsunrise (GB)J: James Turner Goodbye Charlo Thanks For Everything Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 9/2

25 Apr 25 Perth Lightning Flash (IRE)J: James Turner Simon Dunning Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 9/1

25 Apr 25 Perth Guard The Moon (GB)J: James Turner Campbell & Son Roofing Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran F 7/1

25 Apr 25 Perth High Treason (GB)J: Jamie Brace Alastair Down Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran UR 5/1

24 Apr 25 Bangor-on-Dee Kel Raffles (FR)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Bangor-On-Dee Congratulates Champion Jockey Sean Bowen Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 18/1

24 Apr 25 Warwick Bredon Hill (IRE)J: James Turner Hazelton Mountford Insurance Brokers Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 9 ran 7th 6/1

23 Apr 25 Ludlow The Egyptian Ginge (IRE)J: Mr Jamie Neild Suzuki 'King Of Quads' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 7/4F

22 Apr 25 Hereford Race To Base (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Spa Motors Hereford Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 1st 11/10F

22 Apr 25 Hereford Moveit Like Minnie (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Happy Birthday Malcolm & Danielle Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 4th 15/2

21 Apr 25 Chepstow Fantomas (FR)J: James Turner Tip Top Sensational Shower Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 15 ran 12th 16/1

20 Apr 25 Fairyhouse Intosomethinggood (GB)J: Mr D McGill Tattersalls Ireland George Mernagh Memorial Sales Bumper16f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 10th 14/1

19 Apr 25 Haydock Safe Destination (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies JCB Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 4 ran 4th 6/4F

17 Apr 25 Ffos Las Moon Over America (IRE)J: James Turner Adept GRP Cabinets Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/2

17 Apr 25 Ffos Las Stream Of Stars (GB)J: James Turner Adept GRP Cabinets Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 5/1

17 Apr 25 Ffos Las Fantastikas (FR)J: James Turner Mickey Bowen Racing Coming Soon Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 28/1

17 Apr 25 Cheltenham Hill In Brazil (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Junior Jumpers Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 17f · Good · 18 ran 14th 33/1

17 Apr 25 Cheltenham Topsout (GB)J: Nico de Boinville Junior Jumpers Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 17f · Good · 18 ran 13th 80/1

16 Apr 25 Ffos Las I Am The Moon (GB)J: Jamie Brace Adept GRP Cabinets Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nigel Twiston-Davies's strike rate?: Nigel Twiston-Davies has won 240 of 1,538 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nigel Twiston-Davies do best at?: Market Rasen by strike rate: 13 wins from 51 runners (25.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nigel Twiston-Davies?: Sam Twiston-Davies, with 769 runners since 2022 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 127 (16.5%).
What is Nigel Twiston-Davies's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 1,538 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.