Shell Bay (USA)
Shell Bay (USA) is 4 from 22. Hasn't won since Oct 2015. All 4 wins have come on turf — 0 from 4 on the all-weather, and every win has come on good or faster ground (0 from 7 on softer).
- 4–22Wins / Runs
- 18.2%Strike rate
- 7 (31.8%)Placed
- +1.00£1 level staken=22 at SP
- 1.71Fair A/E n=22 · 1.47 incl. margin
- 90Highest OR
- 33dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed —
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 1 run · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 1,388 runs since Jan 2008 (120 horses).
Weakest on soft going: 8.2% from 147. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 15.2% from 475.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | +23.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 242 | 33 | 13.6% | +1.5 | 3 from 8 |
| Good | 289 | 36 | 12.5% | +0.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 171 | 17 | 9.9% | −2.2 | 0 from 6 |
| Soft | 147 | 12 | 8.2% | −3.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 45 | 3 | 6.7% | −5.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 480 | 62 | 12.9% | +0.8 | 0 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 56 | 7 | 12.5% | +0.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 475 | 72 | 15.2% | +3.1 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 373 | 37 | 9.9% | −2.2 | 1 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 282 | 26 | 9.2% | −2.9 | 3 from 15 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 88 | 9 | 10.2% | −1.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 68 | 10 | 14.7% | +2.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | +2.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 5 | 1 | 20% | +7.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 3 | 38% | +11.50 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +3.50 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +2.00 |
| Class 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 4 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newbury | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.00 |
| Goodwood | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Windsor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.00 |
| Salisbury | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.50 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 15 | 3 | 20% | +1.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Dobbs | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.50 |
| Tom Marquand | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Sean Levey | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Cam Hardie | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.00 |
| Kieran O'Neill | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ryan Moore | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Sammy Jo Bell | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 19 | 4 | 21% | +4.00 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2015 | 12 | 4 | 33% | +11.00 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep 16+11d | Newbury | Dubai Duty Free Handicap | 13/18 | ¾ | 8-8 | 86 | 91C | 69A | Tom Marquand | 66/1 |
| 06 Sep 16+10d | Leicester | Len Chesters Celebration Handicap | 5/8 | 1½ | 9-10 | 83 | — | 76A | Sean Levey | 11/1 |
| 27 Aug 16+7d | Goodwood | Whiteley Clinic Stakes (Handicap) | 5/10 | 2½ | 9-12 | 86 | — | 86A | Sean Levey | 16/1 |
| 20 Aug 16+22d | Sandown | National Feed & Flour Production Handicap | 8/12 | ½ | 8-1 | 87 | — | 73A | Tom Marquand | 66/1 |
| 29 Jul 16+30d | Newmarket | Everest Harry Laud Classic Handicap | 6/6 | 1½ | 10-0 | 89 | — | 82B | Tom Marquand | 11/1 |
| 29 Jun 16+25d | Kempton (AW) | 32red Handicap | 3/8 | 1¼ | 9-3 | 88 | — | 85A | Pat Dobbs | 20/1 |
| 04 Jun 16+5d | Epsom Downs | Investec Asset Finance Stakes (handicap) | 14/17 | 5 | 8-11 | 90 | — | 70C | Sean Levey | 33/1 |
| 30 May 16+232d | Windsor | Mr & Mrs Newman Golden Wedding Anniversary Handicap | 8/9 | 1½ | 9-5 | 90 | — | 73A | Sean Levey | 9/1 |
| 11 Oct 15+8d | Goodwood | Goodwood Racehorse Owners Group Handicap | 7/8 | 1 | 9-3 | 90 | — | 71A | Tom Marquand | 10/1 |
| 03 Oct 15+10d | Newmarket | Racing Fx Currency Conversion Handicap | 1/8 | 9-1 | 86 | — | 87A | Ryan Moore | 9/2 | |
| 23 Sep 15+18d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red.com Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) | 3/7 | 1 | 9-1 | 86 | — | 78A | Pat Dobbs | 7/1 |
| 05 Sep 15+15d | Ascot | Appletiser Handicap (Heritage Handicap) | 9/11 | 2¼ | 8-5 | 86 | — | 71A | Cam Hardie | 25/1 |
| 21 Aug 15+13d | Salisbury | Breeze Radio Handicap | 1/5 | 9-5 | 83 | — | 85B | Pat Dobbs | 5/2 | |
| 08 Aug 15+8d | Ascot | Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) | 1/10 | 8-9 | 78 | — | 75A | Sammy Jo Bell | 6/1 | |
| 31 Jul 15+11d | Goodwood | Betfred Mobile Stakes (Handicap) | 3/11 | 1¼ | 8-0 | 74 | — | 75A | Tom Marquand | 8/1 |
| 20 Jul 15+25d | Windsor | Download The Unibet Racing App Handicap | 2/7 | nse | 9-4 | 74 | — | 81A | Pat Dobbs | 2/1J |
| 25 Jun 15+16d | Newbury | Jung Pumpen & Pump Technology Handicap (Rnd) | 1/11 | 9-3 | 69 | — | 81A | Cam Hardie | 6/1 | |
| 09 Jun 15+14d | Salisbury | Bathwick Tyres Maiden Stakes | 5/12 | 3¼ | 9-4 | 69 | — | 72A | Pat Dobbs | 5/2F |
| 26 May 15+11d | Lingfield (AW) | George English 80th Birthday Handicap | 4/14 | 1¼ | 9-6 | 69 | — | 78A | Kieran O'Neill | 4/1 |
| 15 May 15+183d | Newbury | Coolmore Stud Maiden Stakes (Str) | 6/20 | 3¾ | 9-5 | — | — | 76A | Kieran O'Neill | 25/1 |
| 13 Nov 14+20d | Kempton (AW) | Download The BetVictor App Median Auction Maiden Stakes | 4/13 | hd | 9-5 | — | — | 77A | Sean Levey | 3/1J |
| 24 Oct 14 | Newbury | Al Basti Equiworld Maiden Stakes (Div 1) (Str) | 5/9 | ¾ | 9-5 | — | — | 75A | Pat Dobbs | 14/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Shell Bay (USA) won?
- Shell Bay (USA) won 4 of 22 archived starts between 2014 and 2016, a strike rate of 18.2%. Placed 7 times in total (31.8% of starts).
- Who trained Shell Bay (USA)?
- Shell Bay (USA) was trained by Richard Hannon on the most recent run on record, at Newbury on 17 September 2016.
- Who is Shell Bay (USA)'s sire?
- Shell Bay (USA) is by Hard Spun (USA) out of Rebel Account (USA), whose sire is Dixieland Band.
- What going does Shell Bay (USA) prefer?
- Shell Bay (USA) has the best record on good to firm going: 3 wins from 8 starts (37.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Shell Bay (USA)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 86, from the run on 17 September 2016. The highest on record is 90.
- What is Shell Bay (USA)'s sire's record?
- Hard Spun (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 1,388 runs since Jan 2008 (120 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 8.2% from 147. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 15.2% from 475.