What is Cam Hardie's strike rate?

Cam Hardie has won 168 of 3,631 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Cam Hardie do best at?

Pontefract by strike rate: 10 wins from 112 rides (8.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Cam Hardie ride most for?

Antony Brittain, with 927 rides since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (5.3%).

Is Cam Hardie in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 4.6% since 2022.

What is Cam Hardie's Fair A/E?

0.78, from 3,605 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Cam Hardie

3,631 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,496 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 4 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

168–3,631

Wins / Runs

4.6%

Strike rate

n=3,631

662 (18%)

Placed

0.78

Fair A/E

n=3,605 · 0.66 incl. margin

−1,766.78

£1 level stake

n=3,631 at SP · −48.7%

£2.47m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 730 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.78). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (210 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,631 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 32.6% when favourite Antony Brittain: 5.3% from 927 LTO winners: 12.9% Rides the favourite in 2% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Pontefract (8.9%, n=112), clear of the rider's 4.6% baseline. It is weakest at Ayr (0% over 71 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.9% (n=210, Fair A/E 1.06), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1% (n=392, Fair A/E 0.29). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −254.50 to a £1 stake over 482 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Antony Brittain supplies 26% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 0.74). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 1.2% over 251 rides, 3.4pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Fly London Southend Airport Handicap at Ascot (Sep 2014, £51,752). The standout partner of the record: Mondammej (GB) — 10 wins from 80 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.1%−1.5

n=1,371 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −589.62

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.9%+8.3

n=210 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −53.33

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.3%−2.3

n=482 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −254.50

When favourite

32.6%

n=89 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +1.81

Big fields · 14+ runners

1%−3.6

n=392 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −329.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.6

n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Harriet Bethell 18.4% vs 4.6% · n=87

On last-time-out winners 12.9% vs 4.6% · n=210

With Adam Nicol 12.1% vs 4.6% · n=33

At Pontefract 8.9% vs 4.6% · n=112

At Ayr 0% vs 4.6% · n=71

In Class 2 1.2% vs 4.6% · n=251

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,004 102 5.1% −1,041.40

Good 632 25 4% −407.42

Good to Firm 452 18 4% −178.01

Good to Soft 286 6 2.1% −200.75

Soft 212 13 6.1% +47.80

Heavy 42 4 9.5% +16.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 889 48 5.4% −347.72

Southwell (AW) 529 25 4.7% −363.76

Wolverhampton (AW) 499 24 4.8% −267.50

Beverley 185 8 4.3% +6.75

York 179 3 1.7% −157.00

Redcar 164 7 4.3% −76.38

Catterick 128 5 3.9% −93.00

Ripon 125 3 2.4% −90.50

Pontefract 112 10 8.9% −24.50

Thirsk 112 2 1.8% −89.50

Doncaster 104 2 1.9% −80.00

Musselburgh 93 5 5.4% −28.26

Ayr 71 0 0% −71.00

Hamilton 64 5 7.8% −20.87

Nottingham 60 5 8.3% −27.95

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,511 83 5.5% −776.68

Class 5 972 50 5.1% −448.15

Class 4 633 23 3.6% −264.95

Class 2 251 3 1.2% −102.50

Class 3 241 9 3.7% −151.50

Class 1 23 0 0% −23.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 115 34 29.6% 1.11 −5.44

2nd–3rd fav 366 52 14.2% 0.92 −85.84

4th–6th fav 1,044 53 5.1% 0.72 −491.50

7th+ in betting 2,106 29 1.4% 0.53 −1,184.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Asadjumeirah (GB) 71 3 22 6 Jun 26

Mondammej (GB) 60 4 14 16 Aug 26

Yaahobby (IRE) 51 4 15 3 Sep 26

Bellagio Man (IRE) 43 4 13 30 Oct 26

Eldeyaar (IRE) 42 3 11 27 Oct 26

Dark Kestrel (IRE) 34 2 10 21 Jul 26

Murbih (IRE) 34 1 13 26 Sep 24

Tathmeen (IRE) 33 1 7 21 Jan 25

Another Angel (IRE) 33 1 9 29 Oct 24

Inexplicable (IRE) 31 2 11 17 Mar 25

Desert Master (GB) 29 1 5 27 Oct 26

Spartan Fighter (GB) 28 5 10 12 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,496 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

1 from 16 6.3% · +1.7pts vs baseline

Last 14 days6.3%

5-season base4.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

774343615565

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAntony Brittain

26% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 0.74

TrainerRWSR£1

Antony Brittain 927 49 5.3% −428.97

Richard Fahey 280 10 3.6% −178.00

Derek Shaw 221 17 7.7% −118.80

Ollie Pears 214 14 6.5% −98.51

Philip Kirby 171 3 1.8% −144.00

Tim Easterby 145 8 5.5% −65.25

Paul Midgley 105 4 3.8% −44.00

Jim Goldie 100 7 7% −21.87

Harriet Bethell 87 16 18.4% +14.92

Brian Ellison 81 4 4.9% +69.00

Richard & Peter Fahey 63 3 4.8% −40.00

Kevin Frost 45 2 4.4% −21.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

460

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.46m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 59 wins

Safety Check (IRE) — Fly London Southend Airport Handicap (Qualifier For The Balmoral Handicap) Ascot · Sep 2014 · Class 2

£51,752

Velox (GB) — Coral Challenge (Handicap) Sandown · Jul 2014 · Class 2

£46,688

Almuhit (IRE) — Back The Super Boost At BetVictor Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Newbury · Jul 2025 · Class 2

£41,232

Notable horses

Mondammej (GB) Tathmeen (IRE) Daafr (IRE) Mutabaahy (IRE) Another Angel (IRE) Canford Bay (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 3.8% · 7–183

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,954 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Kodiac (GB) 4.8% · 7–145

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dandy Man (IRE) 7.1% · 9–127

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,989 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 8.2% · 9–110

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,237 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 961.

Adaay (IRE) 3.7% · 4–108

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,968 runs since 2020 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.

Mehmas (IRE) 7.8% · 7–90

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,239 runs since 2020 (755 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,312 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,312 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 May 2013 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Rainbow Magic (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D With No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 33/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) For Ever Hopefull (IRE)T: J. R. Jenkins Midnite Building The Future Of Betting Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 100/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Ellie's De Vega (GB)T: Philip Kirby Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 11/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Delagate This Lord (GB)T: Stephen Hanlon Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 80/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Tough Enough (GB)T: Antony Brittain Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 12/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Without Compromise (GB)T: Antony Brittain Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 12/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Rogue De Vega (GB)T: Antony Brittain All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 22/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Quercus Robur (GB)T: Adam Nicol Joe Fanning Fond Farewell Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 10/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Watcha Snoop (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 33/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Fear And Fast (GB)T: Jim Goldie Veronika Walker: Moments That Matter Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 11/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Elias Escape (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Choir Boy (IRE)T: Antony Brittain Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 18/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Montezin (GB)T: Antony Brittain All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 11/4

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Bellagio Man (IRE)T: Antony Brittain Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 50/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Ennoble (IRE)T: Antony Brittain Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 3/1F

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Mr Black Diamond (GB)T: Adam Nicol All-weather Championship Is Back Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 200/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Azure Zain (FR)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Remembering Kevin Lumb AKA Burnley Kevin Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 10/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Eldeyaar (IRE)T: Antony Brittain Celebrating Helen Mackinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 3/1F

27 Oct 26 Catterick Desert Master (GB)T: Antony Brittain Celebrating Helen MacKinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 10/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Delagate This Lord (GB)T: Stephen Hanlon Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 2) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Cam Hardie's strike rate?: Cam Hardie has won 168 of 3,631 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Cam Hardie do best at?: Pontefract by strike rate: 10 wins from 112 rides (8.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Cam Hardie ride most for?: Antony Brittain, with 927 rides since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (5.3%).
Is Cam Hardie in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 4.6% since 2022.
What is Cam Hardie's Fair A/E?: 0.78, from 3,605 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.