Horse profile
Silca Bay (GB)
by Cable Bay (IRE) out of Strictly Silca (GB) (Danehill Dancer)
23 runs · 13 courses · from Jul 2024
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
5 wins · Newmarket (July), Goodwood & Kempton (AW)
Last run 25 Sep 2026 · 5th of 10
Last raced off OR 79
KTB Profile
Silca Bay is a gelding with five wins from 23 starts, three of them over 1m – 1m1f and two over 6f – 7f. He has won three times at Kempton (AW) on standard going, once at Goodwood on good to soft and once at Newmarket (July) on good to firm. His most recent success came in a class 4 handicap at Newmarket (July) in Jul 2026 off a mark of 77. He finished fifth of 10 in a class 3 handicap at Newmarket in Sep 2026.
Based on 23 archived runs · run-style from 21 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
- 5–23Wins / Runs
- 21.7%Strike rate
- 9 (39.1%)Placed
- +16.50£1 level staken=23 at SP
- 1.93Fair A/E n=23 · 1.66 incl. margin
- 81Highest OR
- 37dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating79↓ 2lb off peak
79
63–81
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 103
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 11 | 98A | 90 | 5 runs · 98 / 90 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 103B | 75 | 2 runs · 103 / 98.5 |
| Good | 4 | 101B | 92.5 | 3 runs · 93 / 92 |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 12 | 101B | 83 | 1 run · — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 11 | 109B | 93 | 11 runs · 109 / 93 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 23 figures from 23 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 21 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Mid-division 8 (38%) · 2 wins
- Prominent 7 (33%) · 2 wins
- Held up 4 (19%) · 0 wins
- Led 2 (10%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 3,714 runs since Jan 2008 (243 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 642. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | +3.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 629 | 77 | 12.2% | +2.3 | 1 from 6 |
| Good | 815 | 84 | 10.3% | +0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 330 | 26 | 7.9% | −2 | 1 from 1 |
| Soft | 354 | 37 | 10.5% | +0.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 101 | 9 | 8.9% | −1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,470 | 132 | 9% | −0.9 | 3 from 11 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 642 | 89 | 13.9% | +4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,892 | 174 | 9.2% | −0.7 | 2 from 12 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 779 | 79 | 10.1% | +0.2 | 3 from 11 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 290 | 16 | 5.5% | −4.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 79 | 7 | 8.9% | −1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 30 | 2 | 6.7% | −3.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Strictly Silca (GB) (Danehill Dancer)
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Silca Mistress (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m6f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Silca Mistress (GB)).
Family form: Deep Havana (GB) won at Goodwood, 11 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silca Mistress (GB) | 24 | 5 | 6f–7f | Class 3 |
| Deep Havana (GB) | 5 | 3 | 6f | Class 3 |
| Suns Up Guns Up (GB) | 15 | 3 | 1m–1m6f | Class 6 |
| Key Choice (GB) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 11 | 3 | 27% | +20.50 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.00 |
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 11 | 2 | 18% | −2.50 |
| Class 4 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +22.00 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton (AW) | 9 | 3 | 33% | +22.50 |
| Goodwood | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Salisbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket (July) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 12 | 2 | 17% | −3.50 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 11 | 3 | 27% | +20.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Carmichael | 11 | 3 | 27% | +1.50 |
| Charles Bishop | 7 | 2 | 29% | +20.00 |
| George Downing | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Rob Hornby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hector Crouch | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 16 | 5 | 31% | +23.50 |
| None | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 2 | 22% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 10 | 3 | 30% | +21.50 |
| 2024 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 25 Sep 26+26d | Newmarket | Betway Bet £10 Get £40 Handicap Stakes Settled towards the middle of the field early - pushed along with 2f left - stayed on through the last furlong - edged out of fourth close home to finish fifth | 5/10 | ¾ | 8-12 | 79 | 93A | 79A | Oliver Carmichael | 14/1 |
| 30 Aug 26+25d | Goodwood | Virgin Bet Handicap Stakes Settled just off the pace - pressed for effort with 2f left - unable to land a blow - beaten home in 7th | 7/7 | 2 | 8-8 | 80 | 91A | 59A | Oliver Carmichael | 9/1 |
| 05 Aug 26+18d | Brighton | Sapporo Japanese Premium Lager Brighton Mile Challenge Handicap Stakes (For The Brighton Mile Challenge Trophy) Settled in the pack - pushed along to close in with a furlong left then drifted left and clipped a nearby runner - unable to find more inside the final 110 yards finishing fifth | 5/9 | 2¾ | 9-10 | 81 | 103B | 80A | Oliver Carmichael | 11/4F |
| 18 Jul 26+15d | Newmarket (July) | Lodge At The National Stud Handicap Stakes up with the pace early - dropped in and asked for effort after the first furlong - short of room 1f out - quickened into the last furlong - fought back to get up close home | 1/6 | 9-0 | 77 | 94B | 86B | Oliver Carmichael | 3/1F | |
| 03 Jul 26+28d | Sandown | Debenhams Handicap Fought hard against restraint early - settled towards the back - still in contention under pressure 2f out - moved right and made progress into the last furlong - briefly boxed in but finished 4th | 4/10 | nk | 9-7 | 77 | 80A | 88A | Oliver Carmichael | 12/1 |
| 05 Jun 26+13d | Goodwood | Thelma Horne Memorial Apprentice Handicap Settled midpack - boxed in then found a gap and moved left approaching final furlong - powered through under pressure to hit the front close home | 1/9 | 9-4 | 75 | 109B | 81A | Oliver Carmichael | 3/1 | |
| 23 May 26+17d | Salisbury | Taste The World Handicap Settled towards the back - boxed in with two out - pushed along and made progress from the final furlong - closed steadily to finish fourth beaten 2.5 lengths | 4/11 | 1½ | 8-12 | 76 | 92A | 86A | Oliver Carmichael | 11/1 |
| 06 May 26+30d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Sat close to the pace early - pressed for effort with 2f left - dropped away soon after - finished well held in 14th | 14/14 | 34 | 9-5 | 76 | 8C | 49C | Charles Bishop | 14/1 |
| 06 Apr 26+110d | Kempton (AW) | Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap (Div 1) Went straight to front - lost advantage inside first furlong and settled just behind pacesetters - urged forward with a furlong left - kept responding but lacked the gears to get on terms | 4/9 | ½ | 8-12 | 76 | 94A | 81A | Oliver Carmichael | 8/1 |
| 2025 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 17 Dec 25+26d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Fought for control early - settled in the pack - pushed along and made progress inside the final furlong before finishing on at one level - fourth | 4/12 | 1½ | 8-12 | 77 | 85A | 79A | Charles Bishop | 16/1 |
| 21 Nov 25+23d | Southwell (AW) | Read Meg Nicholls Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Div 1) Sat close to the pace early - asked for effort with 2f remaining - unable to find extra pace in the closing stages - finished 5th beaten under five lengths | 5/10 | 2 | 9-2 | 77 | 90A | 83A | Charles Bishop | 14/1 |
| 29 Oct 25+44d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Handicap Sat handy on the rail - pushed along a furlong out before hitting the front entering the last furlong - stayed on strongly to hold rivals inside the final stages | 1/11 | 8-12 | 72 | 98A | 82A | Charles Bishop | 22/1 | |
| 15 Sep 25+12d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Settled off the pace in the pack - made smooth progress two out - closing on the front pair with a furlong left - driven and stayed on to snatch second near the line - unable to reel in the winner | 2/9 | 1¼ | 9-0 | 70 | 97A | 71A | Oliver Carmichael | 10/1 |
| 03 Sep 25+14d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap Settled in the pack - pushed along to reach the front pair inside the final furlong - edged ahead late and stayed on top at the line | 1/7 | 9-9 | 67 | 87A | 81A | Oliver Carmichael | 7/2 | |
| 20 Aug 25+14d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Div 2) Set the pace from the off - eased left approaching final 2f - hit the front with a furlong left - stayed on strongly to score | 1/8 | 9-2 | 63 | 91A | 77A | Charles Bishop | 3/1F | |
| 06 Aug 25+19d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap (Div 2) Drifted left at the off - settled towards the back - asked for effort but boxed in with a furlong left - stayed on late to snatch third - unable to get to the front two | 3/9 | 2 | 9-3 | 64 | 89A | 71A | Charles Bishop | 17/2 |
| 18 Jul 25+15d | Nottingham | PricedUp Pushes 'Confined' Handicap Sat close to the front pack early - dropped away 2f out despite urging - kept going to finish fourth | 4/9 | ¾ | 9-4 | 65 | 101B | 70A | Rob Hornby | 10/1 |
| 03 Jul 25+18d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap (Div 1) Clumsy jump and knocked at the off - settled midfield on the rail - moved through into contention two out - pressed for effort a furlong out - stayed on well close home - edged out for second but held on for third | 3/10 | nse | 9-4 | 65 | 93A | 82A | Hector Crouch | 15/2 |
| 15 Jun 25+253d | Salisbury | Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Apprentice Handicap Handy in the pack early - driven approaching 2f out then lost ground inside final furlong - dropped away close home finishing 6th | 6/10 | 1 | 9-9 | 67 | 64A | 67A | Oliver Carmichael | 25/1 |
| 2024 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 05 Oct 24+54d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Each Way Extra At bet365 'Confined' Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Settled off the pace mid-pack - pushed along with 2f left - unable to gain ground inside final furlong - eventually finished eighth well beaten | 8/11 | 5 | 9-7 | 68 | 61A | 57A | George Downing | 5/2F |
| 12 Aug 24+17d | Windsor | Follow Fitzdares On Instagram & Twitter EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Slow to break - took a strong hold and settled in the pack before moving up behind the front group at halfway - driven to claim second 1f out - kept on but the winner was well beyond reach | 2/13 | 4 | 9-2 | — | 79C | 82A | George Downing | 33/1 |
| 26 Jul 24+24d | Chepstow | bet365 Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/8 | 2¾ | 9-7 | — | 51A | 71A | George Downing | 7/2 |
| 02 Jul 24 | Lingfield | Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/10 | 1¼ | 9-5 | — | 71C | 77A | Charles Bishop | 15/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Silca Bay won?
- Silca Bay (GB) won 5 of 23 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 21.7%. Placed 9 times in total (39.1% of starts).
- Who trains Silca Bay?
- Silca Bay (GB) is trained by Eve Johnson Houghton, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 September 2026.
- Who is Silca Bay's sire?
- Silca Bay (GB) is by Cable Bay (IRE) out of Strictly Silca (GB), whose sire is Danehill Dancer.
- What going does Silca Bay prefer?
- Silca Bay (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 3 wins from 11 starts (27.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Silca Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 79, from the run on 25 September 2026. The highest on record is 81.
- What is Silca Bay's sire's record?
- Cable Bay (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 3,714 runs since Jan 2008 (243 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 642. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
- Who are Silca Bay's siblings?
- Out of Strictly Silca (GB), Silca Bay (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Silca Mistress (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Silca Mistress (GB)). The wins came over 6f–1m6f. As at Oct 2026.