George Downing
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 160 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (61 rides).
It is weakest at Leicester (0% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.1% (n=61, Fair A/E 0.72), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −56.05 to a £1 stake over 102 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ed Walker supplies 29% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.9%, A/E 0.77). The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (13.7%, n=139) and on Soft going (14.3%, n=42). The standout partner of the record: Poetic Force (IRE) — 5 wins from 23 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–Jun.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,855 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,855 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 October 2009 to 29 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 29 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is George Downing's strike rate?
- George Downing has won 67 of 822 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does George Downing do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 74 rides (12.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does George Downing ride most for?
- Ed Walker, with 237 rides since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (8.9%).
- Is George Downing in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is George Downing's Fair A/E?
- 0.88, from 812 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.