What is Rob Hornby's strike rate?

Rob Hornby has won 358 of 3,504 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Rob Hornby do best at?

Nottingham by strike rate: 24 wins from 127 rides (18.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Rob Hornby ride most for?

Jonathan Portman, with 565 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (10.8%).

Is Rob Hornby in form?

In the last 14 days: 33 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 6.1%. That is below the baseline of 10.2% since 2022.

What is Rob Hornby's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 3,489 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Rob Hornby

3,504 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,891 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

358–3,504

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=3,504

967 (28%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=3,489 · 0.83 incl. margin

−543.70

£1 level stake

n=3,504 at SP · −15.5%

£8.83m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 700 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (360 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,504 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 28% when favourite Jonathan Portman: 10.8% from 565 LTO winners: 18.1% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ffos Las (20.3%, n=74) and Nottingham (18.9%, n=127) — all clear of the rider's 10.2% baseline. It is weakest at York (1.9% over 52 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.1% (n=360, Fair A/E 1.10), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=337, Fair A/E 1.03). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 2 from 33 rides in the last 14 days (6.1%, 4.1pts below the 10.2% baseline). Jonathan Portman supplies 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.8%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Firm going (17%, n=47). 33 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Darley July Cup Stakes at Newmarket (Jul 2022, £356,422). The standout partner of the record: Chalk Mountain (GB) — 6 wins from 31 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.4%−1.8

n=1,764 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −347.81

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.1%+7.9

n=360 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −41.41

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.9%−1.3

n=551 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −165.80

When favourite

28%

n=296 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −87.88

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.9%−4.3

n=337 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −81.55

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.1%+0.9

n=190 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +11.96

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.1% vs 10.2% · n=360

At Ffos Las 20.3% vs 10.2% · n=74

At Nottingham 18.9% vs 10.2% · n=127

At York 1.9% vs 10.2% · n=52

At Haydock 2.4% vs 10.2% · n=42

On Firm going 17% vs 10.2% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,503 149 9.9% −364.17

Good to Firm 669 86 12.9% +27.06

Good 619 53 8.6% −96.25

Good to Soft 315 22 7% −183.84

Soft 244 28 11.5% −37.13

Heavy 107 12 11.2% +64.88

Firm 47 8 17% +45.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 492 43 8.7% −77.82

Wolverhampton (AW) 313 35 11.2% −94.49

Lingfield (AW) 311 18 5.8% −191.12

Windsor 255 25 9.8% +22.68

Southwell (AW) 209 29 13.9% +21.90

Newbury 187 13 7% −93.05

Bath 174 16 9.2% −38.19

Chelmsford City (AW) 156 17 10.9% −53.96

Nottingham 127 24 18.9% +40.38

Salisbury 126 17 13.5% +22.70

Newmarket 112 8 7.1% −28.12

Goodwood 110 6 5.5% −61.40

Newmarket 96 13 13.5% +18.21

Leicester 93 13 14% +11.46

Sandown 86 8 9.3% −48.42

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,090 121 11.1% −145.31

Class 4 844 89 10.5% −129.77

Class 6 807 83 10.3% −185.27

Class 2 308 29 9.4% +7.63

Class 3 262 15 5.7% −99.94

Class 1 190 21 11.1% +11.96

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 356 95 26.7% 0.86 −103.05

2nd–3rd fav 768 127 16.5% 0.98 −134.45

4th–6th fav 1,177 97 8.2% 1.06 +36.80

7th+ in betting 1,203 39 3.2% 1.08 −343.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Chalk Mountain (GB) 31 6 13 2 Nov 26

Two Tempting (IRE) 27 2 11 23 Sep 26

Rumstar (GB) 23 5 9 4 Oct 26

Thunderous Love (GB) 22 3 6 20 Oct 26

Sweet Reward (IRE) 22 2 5 1 Aug 26

Strike (GB) 22 2 8 5 Jun 26

Newfangled (IRE) 20 2 9 28 Sep 26

Personal Best (GB) 15 2 8 4 Nov 26

Thapa VC (IRE) 14 2 3 27 Apr 26

New Heights (GB) 14 1 4 12 Sep 24

Beyond Equal (GB) 13 0 5 16 Nov 24

Star Chorus (IRE) 12 3 3 31 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,891 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

2 from 33 6.1% · −4.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days6.1%

5-season base10.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

81410131011111199136

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJonathan Portman

16% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

Jonathan Portman 565 61 10.8% −39.97

Ralph Beckett 482 62 12.9% −151.32

Andrew Balding 313 35 11.2% −95.04

Hughie Morrison 129 13 10.1% −48.97

Stuart Kittow 121 10 8.3% −49.62

Charles Hills 94 10 10.6% −18.09

Amanda Perrett 58 9 15.5% +5.75

Mark Rimell 58 8 13.8% −8.12

Charlie Wallis 52 6 11.5% −6.50

Mike Murphy 51 8 15.7% +55.75

Clive Cox 47 8 17% +11.50

Marcus Tregoning 40 4 10% −0.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

721

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£12.9m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 88 wins

Alcohol Free (IRE) — Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Newmarket · Jul 2022 · Group 1

£356,422

Westover (GB) — Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Jul 2023 · Group 1

£202,265

Scope (IRE) — Prix Royal-Oak (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2021 · Group 1

£178,563

Notable horses

Chalk Mountain (GB) Choral Music (GB) Rumstar (GB) Quality Art (USA) Sayifyouwill (GB) Sweet Reward (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Frankel (GB) 20% · 16–80

Progeny have won 18% of 7,544 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

New Bay (GB) 6.4% · 5–78

Progeny have won 14.3% of 4,005 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Time Test (GB) 10.6% · 7–66

Progeny have won 11% of 3,163 runs since 2021 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 334. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.9% from 323.

Kingman (GB) 7.8% · 5–64

Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,533 runs since 2018 (779 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 8.9% from 123.

Havana Grey (GB) 14.3% · 9–63

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,611 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.

Zoustar (AUS) 27% · 17–63

Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,770 runs since 2022 (316 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 331. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.6% from 194.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,053 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,053 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 May 2013 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Clipsham Noble (IRE)T: Charlie Clover Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 2/1F

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) March Of Time (IRE)T: Jack Channon AWC Season 14 Has Begun Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 13/2

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Rattenbury (IRE)T: Charles Hills ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D With No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 14/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Berkshire Tango (IRE)T: Andrew Balding AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 33/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) San Juanito (GB)T: Mike Murphy All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 8/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Dark Rosa (IRE)T: Georgina Nicholls racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 12/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Glenna (IRE)T: Tom Ward Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 13/2

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Night Patrol (IRE)T: Julie Camacho Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 9/2

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Secret Squirrel (GB)T: Hughie Morrison Experience Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 4/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Personal Best (GB)T: Jonathan Portman Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 4/1F

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Campenaerts (GB)T: Jonathan Portman Ladies Day 8th May On Sale Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Havana Halo (GB)T: Dominic Ffrench Davis AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 33/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mohaab (GB)T: William Muir & Chris Grassick Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 12/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sea Of Charm (FR)T: Georgina Nicholls Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 14/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Journalism (GB)T: Hamad Al Jehani Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 66/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Past Passion (GB)T: Jonathan Portman AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 11/4F

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Chalk Mountain (GB)T: Zoe Hawkins All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 3/1J

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Study Up (GB)T: Mark Loughnane Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Kennington (GB)T: Hughie Morrison Munich's Allianz-grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 14th 7/2

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Highland Frost (GB)T: Jonathan Portman Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 13 runs (won 0, 2 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 1) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Rob Hornby's strike rate?: Rob Hornby has won 358 of 3,504 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rob Hornby do best at?: Nottingham by strike rate: 24 wins from 127 rides (18.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Rob Hornby ride most for?: Jonathan Portman, with 565 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (10.8%).
Is Rob Hornby in form?: In the last 14 days: 33 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 6.1%. That is below the baseline of 10.2% since 2022.
What is Rob Hornby's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 3,489 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.