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Horse profile

Take Chance (FR)

6yo gelding · Trainer John C McConnell · Owner Mrs Orla Cleary Okane
by No Risk At All (FR) out of Saalewuste (GER) (Next Desert)
12 runs · 9 courses · from Mar 2025
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Last run 12 Apr 2026 Last raced off OR 97
KTB Profile

Take Chance (FR) is a maiden who has placed three times from 12 starts on turf. He showed his best effort when third of 15 at Clonmel in Feb 2026. Typically held up, he was held in his last run at Down Royal in Apr 2026 off an official rating of 97. By No Risk At All (FR) out of a Next Desert mare, he has raced on good, good to soft, soft and heavy going.

Based on 12 archived runs · run-style from 12 commented runs since Mar 2025 · updated 25 Oct 2026
Official rating97↓ 7lb off peak
97 97–104

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 92 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Musselburgh, 1 Feb 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 8 figures · best 116B · median 87.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good3116B86—
Heavy289B622 runs · 89 / 62
Good to Soft2114B1032 runs · 114 / 103
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m4114B90.54 runs · 114 / 90.5
2m1f – 2m4f386B86—
1m5f – 2m1———

Of 12 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: did not complete (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 116A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Punchestown, 11 Dec 2025 Official rating 97 at the last run, 12 Apr 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 9 figures · best 117A · median 99
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good to Soft3117A1112 runs · 117 / 114
Good3110A99—
Heavy2116A107.52 runs · 116 / 107.5
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m4117A113.54 runs · 117 / 113.5
2m1f – 2m4f3110A99—
1m5f – 2m299A95.5—

Of 12 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (3).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 12 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 12 analysed runs since Mar 2025

  • Held up 6 (50%) · 0 wins
  • Prominent 4 (33%) · 0 wins
  • Mid-division 2 (17%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
No Risk At All (FR)

Progeny in our archive have won 14.4% of 3,123 runs since Jan 2008 (433 horses).

Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 943.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm39820.5%+6.1—
Good62710416.6%+2.20 from 5
Good to Soft5257414.1%−0.30 from 4
Soft1,19317014.2%−0.20 from 1
Heavy6648512.8%−1.60 from 2
Standard (AW)73811%−3.4—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f100%−14.4—
6f – 7f1700%−14.4—
1m – 1m1f4424.5%−9.9—
1m2f – 1m4f981111.2%−3.2—
1m5f – 2m94316417.4%+30 from 2
2m1f – 2m4f1,51021414.2%−0.20 from 4
2m5f – 3m4495311.8%−2.60 from 6
Over 3m6158.2%−6.2—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Saalewuste (GER) (Next Desert)

4 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Saaluste (FR) (1 win).

The wins came over 2m2f.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Saaluste (FR)1212m2f—
Chemsy (FR)10——
Sultan Bleu (FR)20——
Sunny Star (FR)20——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Down Royal 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Punchestown 2 0 0% −2.00
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Ballinrobe 1 0 0% −1.00
Bellewstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Downpatrick 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m5f – 3m 6 0 0% −6.00
2m1f – 2m4f 4 0 0% −4.00
1m5f – 2m 2 0 0% −2.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Anna McGuinness 7 0 0% −7.00
Mr Finn Buckley 2 0 0% −2.00
Brian Hughes 1 0 0% −1.00
Paddy Hanlon 1 0 0% −1.00
Dylan Kidd 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 7 0 0% −7.00
Cheekpieces 3 0 0% −3.00
Blinkers 2 0 0% −2.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 3 0 0% −3.00
2025 9 0 0% −9.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 10 0 0% −10.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 3 runs
12 Apr 26+45d Down Royal Fibrus Says Neigh To Price Hikes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) 24f · Good · 19 ran Held up at the back - driven with no response after 4 out - dropped away and pulled up before the following fence PU/19 — 11-4 97—— Anna McGuinness 14/1
26 Feb 26+25d Clonmel Rosegreen Handicap Hurdle (0-100) 24f · Heavy · 15 ran Held up in touch with back markers - made headway before 3 out and into 7th turning in - up to 4th 2 out - ran on into 3rd late but never able to land a blow 3/15 12 11-5 9835B99B Anna McGuinness 20/1
01 Feb 26+52d Musselburgh Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran Held up in the pack - clumsy at the 9th and 11th - pushed along before 3 out - found space 2 out but got unbalanced there - soon dropped away to finish 5th 5/8 3 11-10 10492A111A Brian Hughes 9/2
2025 · 9 runs
11 Dec 25+41d Punchestown Matchbook Best Odds On Festive Racing Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) 24f · Heavy · 15 ran Settled just behind the front early - slipped back before the 4th and reached the back before the 6th - made progress from four out - kept going in 5th after the second-last - moved into 3rd at the last - finished strongly to the line 3/15 1 11-5 9789B116A Anna McGuinness 12/1
31 Oct 25+53d Down Royal Lough Construction Ltd. Handicap Hurdle (0-100) 24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran Sat behind the front group early - blundered and slipped back four out - drifted to the back before three out - made headway before two out and pushed along into sixth by the last - stayed on strongly to finish fourth without reaching the frontrunners 4/20 4¼ 11-4 97114B117A Anna McGuinness 40/1
08 Sep 25+48d Galway Galway Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) 22.5f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran Held up towards the back - needed urging from the 7th and dropped away - pulled up before the second last PU/19 — 11-7 100—— Anna McGuinness 25/1
22 Jul 25+17d Ballinrobe David Heneghan Memorial Handicap Hurdle 17.5f · Good · 15 ran Held up at the back and losing touch with the field - pulled up before the 5th PU/15 — 10-12 100—— Anna McGuinness 14/1
05 Jul 25+20d Bellewstown Grimme Ireland Maiden Hurdle 17f · Good · 15 ran Held up towards the back - urged into contention in 9th after 2 out - driven approaching last and stayed on at one speed to finish 6th 6/15 1¼ 10-11 —86B95A Anna McGuinness 33/1
15 Jun 25+8d Downpatrick Randox Maiden Hurdle 19f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran Held up at the back - urged forward early with no response - lacking threat from 3 out and beaten well home 8/15 hd 11-5 —86B99A Paddy Hanlon 50/1
07 Jun 25+22d Punchestown Ladbrokes 'We're Big On Boosts' Maiden Hurdle 16.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran Sat just behind the front group early - back in 9th at halfway - unable to close from 4 out - eventually well held 7/22 2½ 11-5 ——92C Dylan Kidd 50/1
16 May 25+50d Kilbeggan Racing Again June 1st (Pro/Am) Flat Race 19f · Good · 7 ran Settled handy in the pack - 4th at halfway - improved into contention 6f out - eased back to 5th and asked for effort 2f out then unable to find more in the closing stages 5/7 3¼ 11-7 —33B110A Mr Finn Buckley 7/1
27 Mar 25 Clonmel Next Race Meeting April 17th (Pro/Am) Flat Race 16f · Good · 15 ran Held up towards the back - pressed for effort with 3f left - stayed on at one speed from the final furlong - finished sixth 6/15 3¼ 11-7 —116B99A Mr Finn Buckley 18/1

Quick answers

How many races has Take Chance won?
Take Chance (FR) has yet to win, from 12 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 3 times in total (25% of starts).
Who trains Take Chance?
Take Chance (FR) is trained by John C McConnell, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 12 April 2026.
Who is Take Chance's sire?
Take Chance (FR) is by No Risk At All (FR) out of Saalewuste (GER), whose sire is Next Desert.
What is Take Chance's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 97, from the run on 12 April 2026. The highest on record is 104.
What is Take Chance's sire's record?
No Risk At All (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.4% of 3,123 runs since Jan 2008 (433 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 943.
Who are Take Chance's siblings?
Out of Saalewuste (GER), Take Chance (FR) has 4 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Saaluste (FR) (1). The wins came over 2m2f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from March 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.