Dylan Kidd
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.60). Rides mostly for John C McConnell — 77% of rides in the window.
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 3.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −118.50 to a £1 stake over 162 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. John C McConnell supplies 77% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.2%, A/E 0.63). The rider also reads well on Good going (7.5%, n=67) and off a 8-14-day break (6.5%, n=31). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 0% over 44 rides, 3.1pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 163 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 163 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 July 2022 to 23 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Dylan Kidd's strike rate?
- Dylan Kidd has won 5 of 163 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Dylan Kidd ride most for?
- John C McConnell, with 126 rides since 2022 — 77% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (3.2%).
- Is Dylan Kidd in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Dylan Kidd's Fair A/E?
- 0.60, from 163 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.