Anna McGuinness
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 8% off breaks of two months or more (60 runs).
It is weakest at Punchestown (2.6% over 38 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The record reads poorly in Chase races — 0% over 50 rides, 6.3pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2021→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 256 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 256 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 July 2021 to 31 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 10 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Anna McGuinness's strike rate?
- Anna McGuinness has won 16 of 253 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Anna McGuinness do best at?
- Punchestown by strike rate: 1 wins from 38 rides (2.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is Anna McGuinness in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Anna McGuinness's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 253 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.