Take No Chances (IRE)
Typically ridden with patience — held up in 9 of 16 analysed runs — Take No Chances (IRE) is 5 from 26, including a Grade 2 win. The biggest win we hold: the BetMGM Mares' Hurdle at Ascot (Jan 2025). Hasn't won since Jan 2025. 3 of 10 starts on good or faster ground have ended in wins — 2 from 16 on softer. Last raced off a career-high mark of 148.
- 5–26Wins / Runs
- 19.2%Strike rate
- 15 (57.7%)Placed
- −5.13£1 level staken=26 at SP
- 1.18Fair A/E n=26 · 1.03 incl. margin
- 148Highest OR
- 34dBetween runs (median)longest 210 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 114
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 2 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 12 | 136B | 110.5 | 2 runs · 111 / 108 |
| Good | 10 | 146C | 133 | 2 runs · 137 / 125.5 |
| Soft | 3 | 110C | 85 | 2 runs · 85 / 81 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 2 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 10 | 129B | 110 | 3 runs · 114 / 111 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 146C | 125 | 3 runs · 137 / 105 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 146B | 124.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 134A | 133 | — |
Of 26 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 25 figures from 26 runs · as at 2 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 16 analysed runs since Oct 2024
- Held up 9 (56%) · 1 win
- Prominent 5 (31%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 1 (6%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (6%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 16,867 runs since Aug 2008 (1,463 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | −5.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 553 | 66 | 11.9% | +0.6 | — |
| Good | 5,175 | 651 | 12.6% | +1.3 | 3 from 10 |
| Good to Soft | 3,298 | 386 | 11.7% | +0.4 | 2 from 12 |
| Soft | 5,034 | 502 | 10% | −1.3 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 2,716 | 303 | 11.2% | −0.1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 73 | 2 | 2.7% | −8.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | −0.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 58 | 3 | 5.2% | −6.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3,859 | 403 | 10.4% | −0.9 | 2 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5,480 | 599 | 10.9% | −0.4 | 1 from 10 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5,808 | 700 | 12.1% | +0.8 | 1 from 8 |
| Over 3m | 1,650 | 205 | 12.4% | +1.1 | 1 from 2 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Aug 2008 · as at 1 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Under Surveillance (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m–3m.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under Surveillance (IRE) | 8 | 2 | 2m | — |
| Eddies Pride (IRE) | 49 | 2 | 2m7f–3m | — |
| Park Hind (IRE) | 21 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 12 | 2 | 17% | −5.75 |
| Good | 10 | 3 | 30% | +4.62 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 13 | 2 | 15% | −1.00 |
| Class 2 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wetherby | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.50 |
| Chepstow | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cheltenham | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newbury | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Market Rasen | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Aintree | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.50 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cartmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 10 | 1 | 10% | −6.75 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 2 | 33% | +6.00 |
| Over 3m | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Skelton | 20 | 3 | 15% | −9.63 |
| Harry Atkins | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kielan Woods | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.50 |
| Charlie Todd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fergus Gillard | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2025 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +0.50 |
| 2024 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +1.12 |
| 2023 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.75 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 23 | 5 | 22% | −2.13 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 31 Oct 26+21d | Wetherby | Bet365 Hurdle Race (grade 2) (registered As The West Yorkshire Hurdle) (gbb Race) prominent early in second spot - dropped back before 3 out - angled left before 2 out and driven before the last - kept on without getting to the front pair to finish third | 3/3 | ½ | 10-9 | 148 | 137C | 129C | Harry Skelton | 1/1F |
| 10 Oct 26+182d | Chepstow | Wasdell Group Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle Race (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Rear from the start - never got into contention - finished 12th and well beaten | 12/17 | 1½ | 11-9 | 148 | 111C | 132C | Harry Atkins | 40/1 |
| 11 Apr 26+30d | Aintree | Jet2 Liverpool Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Settled towards the back early - made progress 3 out - improved into contention before the last - pushed along to move into second and stayed on at one speed to finish second | 2/11 | 7 | 11-3 | 145 | 105A | 137A | Harry Skelton | 18/1 |
| 12 Mar 26+55d | Cheltenham | Close Brothers Mares' Hurdle (Registered As The David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle) (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Tracked the front group early - urged forward after two out - edged closer near the last but failed to sustain the effort - dropped away on the run-in to finish fourth | 4/7 | 10 | 11-5 | 145 | 114A | 127B | Harry Skelton | 12/1 |
| 16 Jan 26+49d | Windsor | Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide Hurdle (GBB Race) Held a central position early - travelling comfortably approaching two out - asked for effort soon after - shifted right on the run-in and stayed on to snatch third close home | 3/5 | nk | 11-1 | 145 | 85C | 137B | Harry Skelton | 7/2 |
| 2025 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Nov 25+27d | Newbury | Coral Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Held up at back - asked for effort after two out - moved into 4th at the last - stayed on to finish 3rd without threatening the front | 3/7 | 3¼ | 11-1 | 144 | 77A | 139B | Harry Skelton | 7/1 |
| 01 Nov 25+21d | Wetherby | bet365 Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The West Yorkshire Hurdle) (GBB Race) Set the early pace before slipping behind the front-runner - urged along approaching three out - drifted off a true line after the second last - straightened up soon after - regained command in the closing stages - stayed on but pipped close to the line | 2/5 | nk | 11-1 | 145 | 146C | 133B | Harry Skelton | 9/2 |
| 11 Oct 25+168d | Chepstow | Wasdell Group Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled towards back of field - pushed along after second last - stayed on without troubling front group late | 6/14 | ½ | 11-7 | 146 | 129B | 143A | Harry Atkins | 20/1 |
| 26 Apr 25+23d | Sandown | bet365 Select Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Sat close to the front early - shaky over 5th - closed up before 2 out then lost momentum at the last | 5/6 | 7 | 11-3 | 146 | 92A | 130B | Harry Skelton | 3/1 |
| 03 Apr 25+23d | Aintree | William Hill Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Tracked pace-setter - well placed 3 out - lost ground after 2 out and held on grimly to finish 3rd | 3/6 | 8 | 11-3 | 146 | 100A | 137B | Harry Skelton | 28/1 |
| 11 Mar 25+52d | Cheltenham | Close Brothers Mares' Hurdle (Registered As The David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle) (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Settled towards the back - moved into contention on inner after the home turn - up into 3rd inside the final furlong - kept going but couldn't close on the winner | 3/10 | 1¾ | 11-5 | 140 | 104B | 139A | Harry Skelton | 22/1 |
| 18 Jan 25+35d | Ascot | BetMGM Mares' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Warfield Mares' Hurdle) (GBB Race) Sat behind pace early - lost a little ground into home turn - found renewed energy from two out - hit front near the last - kept driving out to score | 1/7 | 11-6 | 139 | 116A | 143A | Kielan Woods | 13/2 | |
| 2024 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Dec 24+14d | Cheltenham | BetMGM Mares' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Held up towards the back - made ground wide after two out - roused before the last - kept on up the run-in to claim third late without threatening the front two | 3/12 | nk | 12-0 | 137 | 102A | 143A | Harry Skelton | 9/2 |
| 30 Nov 24+28d | Newcastle | BetMGM Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Held up at the back - urged forward before 3 out - stayed on without threatening the leaders | 5/7 | 2 | 11-3 | 138 | 146B | 131A | Charlie Todd | 20/1 |
| 02 Nov 24+21d | Wetherby | bet365 Mares' Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) Settled towards back early - made ground into contention approaching 3 out - hit front 2 out - opened up gap last - kept going to score with ease | 1/6 | 11-0 | 137 | 142A | 142B | Harry Skelton | 7/2 | |
| 12 Oct 24+138d | Chepstow | Wasdell Group Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Held up towards the back - made progress into contention at the home turn - urged forward to move into 3rd 2 out - driven approaching the last then kept going without threatening the top two | 3/17 | 1¾ | 11-5 | 136 | 127B | 146A | Harry Atkins | 33/1 |
| 27 May 24+9d | Cartmel | Johnny & Tony Connell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 4/12 | 1 | 12-0 | 136 | 132A | 141A | Harry Skelton | 3/1F |
| 18 May 24+23d | Uttoxeter | Staffs Construction Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/8 | 11-7 | 128 | 136B | 139B | Fergus Gillard | 2/1F | |
| 25 Apr 24+34d | Warwick | John Sillett Memorial Handicap Hurdle | 1/6 | 10-9 | 121 | 134A | 139B | Harry Skelton | 13/8F | |
| 22 Mar 24+59d | Newbury | Steve Jobar Mnd Handicap Hurdle | 2/12 | nse | 11-0 | 117 | 125A | 134A | Harry Skelton | 9/2 |
| 23 Jan 24+47d | Newbury | Ray Dalfsen Mares' Handicap Hurdle | PU/16 | — | 11-11 | 117 | — | — | Harry Skelton | 10/1 |
| 2023 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Dec 23+32d | Market Rasen | Daily Charged Up Offers At Rhino.Bet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 2/5 | 6½ | 11-0 | — | 110C | 133B | Harry Skelton | 2/1 |
| 05 Nov 23+210d | Huntingdon | Download The Rhino.Bet App Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/10 | 11-0 | — | 110A | 122B | Harry Skelton | 9/4F | |
| 09 Apr 23+61d | Market Rasen | Price Boosts On Football At Rhino.Bet Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 3/8 | 2½ | 10-9 | — | 133A | 116A | Harry Skelton | 5/4F |
| 07 Feb 23+67d | Market Rasen | Alan Swinbank Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Listed) (GBB Race) | 3/8 | 4¼ | 11-4 | — | 113A | 122A | Harry Skelton | 17/2 |
| 2022 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 02 Dec 22 | Exeter | RacingIsEveryonesSport Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 2/10 | 1 | 10-7 | — | 93B | 127A | Harry Skelton | 11/4 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Take No Chances won?
- Take No Chances (IRE) won 5 of 26 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 19.2%. Placed 15 times in total (57.7% of starts).
- Who trains Take No Chances?
- Take No Chances (IRE) is trained by Dan Skelton, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 31 October 2026.
- Who is Take No Chances's sire?
- Take No Chances (IRE) is by Milan (GB) out of Coscorrig (IRE), whose sire is Pistolet Bleu.
- What going does Take No Chances prefer?
- Take No Chances (IRE) has the best record on good going: 3 wins from 10 starts (30%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Take No Chances's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 148, from the run on 31 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Take No Chances's sire's record?
- Milan (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 16,867 runs since Aug 2008 (1,463 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Take No Chances's siblings?
- Out of Coscorrig (IRE), Take No Chances (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Under Surveillance (IRE) (2). The wins came over 2m–3m. As at Nov 2026.