The Bay Oak (IRE)
The Bay Oak (IRE) is 3 from 8. Won last time out at Ffos Las (Class 3). Last raced off a career-high mark of 128.
- 3–8Wins / Runs
- 37.5%Strike rate
- 6 (75%)Placed
- +0.79£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 1.26Fair A/E n=8 · 1.12 incl. margin
- 128Highest OR
- 21dBetween runs (median)
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 135
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 135A | 123 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 100C | 98 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 117C | 117 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 3 | 117C | 111 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 117B | 106.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 8 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since Oct 2010 (236 horses).
Weakest on good to firm going: 7.8% from 166.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +88.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 166 | 13 | 7.8% | −3.5 | — |
| Good | 1,130 | 134 | 11.9% | +0.6 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 432 | 45 | 10.4% | −0.9 | 1 from 2 |
| Soft | 856 | 95 | 11.1% | −0.2 | 1 from 3 |
| Heavy | 453 | 57 | 12.6% | +1.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | −2.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | +1.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 715 | 84 | 11.7% | +0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,050 | 125 | 11.9% | +0.6 | 1 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,018 | 100 | 9.8% | −1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 242 | 34 | 14% | +2.7 | 2 from 4 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Oct 2010 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them The Bay Birch (IRE) (9 wins).
The wins came over 2m3f–3m; the highest grade won is Class 2 (The Bay Birch (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Bay Birch (IRE) | 53 | 9 | 2m3f–3m | Class 2 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.38 |
| Good | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.33 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 6 | 2 | 33% | −2.71 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catterick | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.33 |
| Sedgefield | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.38 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 4 | 2 | 50% | +3.17 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.38 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Andrews | 5 | 2 | 40% | −1.71 |
| Harry Skelton | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.50 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 5 | 2 | 40% | −1.71 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +2.17 |
| 2016 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.38 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 5 | 2 | 40% | −1.71 |
| Chase | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 16 Apr 17+47d | Ffos Las | Persimmon Homes West Wales National Handicap Chase | 1/9 | 11-2 | 128 | 111A | 138A | Harry Skelton | 9/2 | |
| 28 Feb 17+21d | Catterick | Racinguk.com/daypass Novices' Chase | 2/3 | nk | 10-12 | 128 | 100C | 120C | Harry Skelton | 15/8 |
| 07 Feb 17+15d | Hereford | Andorran (Chartered Accountants) Chase (Novices' Limited Handicap) | 2/6 | ¾ | 11-0 | 127 | — | 136B | Harry Skelton | 9/2 |
| 23 Jan 17+22d | Bangor-on-Dee | Stella Artois Cidre Novices' Hurdle | 3/6 | ¾ | 11-1 | 127 | — | 117B | Bridget Andrews | 2/1J |
| 01 Jan 17+29d | Catterick | Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Novices' Hurdle | 1/4 | 10-13 | 121 | 117C | 132B | Bridget Andrews | 4/6F | |
| 2016 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 03 Dec 16+11d | Chepstow | Sharp Rise Thanks For The Fun Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Hurdle | 2/10 | 6 | 11-1 | 119 | 135A | 127A | Bridget Andrews | 9/2 |
| 22 Nov 16+14d | Sedgefield | Betfred TV Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Hurdle | 1/9 | 10-9 | — | 96A | 120A | Bridget Andrews | 8/13F | |
| 08 Nov 16 | Sedgefield | Newcastle Flooring Novices' Hurdle | 2/7 | 9 | 10-9 | — | 117B | 121B | Bridget Andrews | 10/3 |
Quick answers
- How many races has The Bay Oak won?
- The Bay Oak (IRE) won 3 of 8 archived starts between 2016 and 2017, a strike rate of 37.5%. Placed 6 times in total (75% of starts).
- Who trained The Bay Oak?
- The Bay Oak (IRE) was trained by Dan Skelton on the most recent run on record, at Ffos Las on 16 April 2017.
- Who is The Bay Oak's sire?
- The Bay Oak (IRE) is by Vinnie Roe (IRE) out of Tournant Vic (IRE), whose sire is Old Vic.
- What going does The Bay Oak prefer?
- The Bay Oak (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is The Bay Oak's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 128, from the run on 16 April 2017. That is also the highest on record.
- What is The Bay Oak's sire's record?
- Vinnie Roe (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since Oct 2010 (236 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good to firm going: 7.8% from 166.
- Who are The Bay Oak's siblings?
- Out of Tournant Vic (IRE), The Bay Oak (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: The Bay Birch (IRE) (9). Highest grade won: Class 2 (The Bay Birch (IRE)). The wins came over 2m3f–3m. As at Nov 2026.