The Bay Birch (IRE)
The Bay Birch (IRE) is 9 from 53. Hasn't won since Feb 2021. Last raced off 121, 31lb below the career-high mark.
Progeny in our archive
As a dam, The Bay Birch (IRE) has 1 produce in the archive, 1 winner — most wins Upton's Mighty Oak (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m4½f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Upton's Mighty Oak (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upton's Mighty Oak (GB) | 6 | 1 | 2m4½f | Class 5 |
- 9–53Wins / Runs
- 17%Strike rate
- 20 (37.7%)Placed
- +11.79£1 level staken=53 at SP
- 1.50Fair A/E n=53 · 1.30 incl. margin
- 152Highest OR
- 21dBetween runs (median)longest 192 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 115
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 16 | 124C | 77 | — |
| Soft | 14 | 123B | 83 | — |
| Heavy | 7 | 117C | 82 | — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 100B | 87 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 18 | 124C | 77 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 15 | 117C | 85 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 100B | 49 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 63B | 59.5 | — |
Of 52 runs looked at, 11 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (6) · did not complete (3) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 41 figures from 52 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since Jan 2008 (1,155 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 66 | 5 | 7.6% | −2.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 939 | 107 | 11.4% | +1 | — |
| Good | 5,296 | 549 | 10.4% | 0 | 3 from 19 |
| Good to Soft | 2,467 | 267 | 10.8% | +0.4 | 0 from 5 |
| Soft | 5,057 | 519 | 10.3% | −0.1 | 3 from 19 |
| Heavy | 3,159 | 328 | 10.4% | 0 | 3 from 10 |
| Standard (AW) | 61 | 6 | 9.8% | −0.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −10.4 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 10 | 1 | 10% | −0.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 64 | 5 | 7.8% | −2.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4,890 | 502 | 10.3% | −0.1 | 0 from 8 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6,355 | 661 | 10.4% | 0 | 6 from 20 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4,702 | 522 | 11.1% | +0.7 | 3 from 23 |
| Over 3m | 1,022 | 90 | 8.8% | −1.6 | 0 from 2 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them The Bay Oak (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 2m4f–3m4f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (The Bay Oak (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Bay Oak (IRE) | 8 | 3 | 2m4f–3m4f | Class 3 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 19 | 3 | 16% | +2.88 |
| Soft | 19 | 3 | 16% | +14.00 |
| Heavy | 10 | 3 | 30% | −0.09 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 14 | 5 | 36% | +16.38 |
| Class 2 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +19.00 |
| Class 1 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 4 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.41 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Newbury | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Wexford | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Leicester | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Chepstow | 3 | 1 | 33% | +18.00 |
| Warwick | 3 | 1 | 33% | +8.00 |
| Tramore | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Haydock | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Exeter | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.88 |
| Towcester | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.41 |
| Punchestown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Downpatrick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.50 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Downpatrick (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 23 | 3 | 13% | +4.50 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 20 | 6 | 30% | +17.29 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stan Sheppard | 30 | 8 | 27% | +13.79 |
| Ger Fox | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Danny Mullins | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 2 | 1 | 50% | +19.00 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mark Enright | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ms K Walsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ms L O'Neill | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ricky Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| John Fitzpatrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr J C Barry | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 32 | 4 | 13% | −19.71 |
| Tongue tie | 19 | 5 | 26% | +33.50 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.00 |
| 2020 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2019 | 9 | 4 | 44% | +39.50 |
| 2018 | 11 | 4 | 36% | +1.29 |
| 2017 | 13 | 0 | 0% | −13.00 |
| 2016 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 37 | 8 | 22% | +24.91 |
| Hurdle | 15 | 1 | 7% | −12.12 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has The Bay Birch won?
- The Bay Birch (IRE) won 9 of 53 archived starts between 2016 and 2021, a strike rate of 17%. Placed 20 times in total (37.7% of starts).
- Who trained The Bay Birch?
- The Bay Birch (IRE) was trained by Matt Sheppard on the most recent run on record, at Cheltenham on 15 April 2021.
- Who is The Bay Birch's sire?
- The Bay Birch (IRE) is by Beneficial (GB) out of Tournant Vic (IRE), whose sire is Old Vic.
- What going does The Bay Birch prefer?
- The Bay Birch (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 3 wins from 10 starts (30%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is The Bay Birch's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 121, from the run on 15 April 2021. The highest on record is 152.
- What is The Bay Birch's sire's record?
- Beneficial (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since Jan 2008 (1,155 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are The Bay Birch's siblings?
- Out of Tournant Vic (IRE), The Bay Birch (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: The Bay Oak (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (The Bay Oak (IRE)). The wins came over 2m4f–3m4f. As at Nov 2026.
- Has The Bay Birch produced winners?
- As a dam, The Bay Birch (IRE) has 1 produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Upton's Mighty Oak (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Upton's Mighty Oak (GB)). The wins came over 2m4½f. As at Nov 2026.