The Conditional (IRE)
The Conditional (IRE) is 3 from 20, including a Grade 3 win. The biggest win we hold: the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2020). Hasn't won since Mar 2020. Last raced off a career-high mark of 149.
- 3–20Wins / Runs
- 15%Strike rate
- 8 (40%)Placed
- +7.50£1 level staken=20 at SP
- 1.51Fair A/E n=20 · 1.28 incl. margin
- 149Highest OR
- 59dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 96
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 8 | 132A | 92 | — |
| Good | 3 | 159C | 96 | — |
| Heavy | 3 | 111A | 105 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 159C | 108 | — |
| Over 3m | 5 | 104B | 96 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 105A | 98.5 | — |
Of 20 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 20 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 6,742 runs since Jan 2008 (648 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 16.1% from 355.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | +25.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 355 | 57 | 16.1% | +5.6 | — |
| Good | 2,079 | 211 | 10.1% | −0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 1,146 | 139 | 12.1% | +1.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,965 | 175 | 8.9% | −1.6 | 2 from 10 |
| Heavy | 885 | 90 | 10.2% | −0.3 | 1 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 298 | 32 | 10.7% | +0.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −10.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 69 | 3 | 4.3% | −6.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 166 | 16 | 9.6% | −0.9 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 401 | 50 | 12.5% | +2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,226 | 232 | 10.4% | −0.1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2,090 | 220 | 10.5% | 0 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,475 | 152 | 10.3% | −0.2 | 1 from 11 |
| Over 3m | 304 | 36 | 11.8% | +1.3 | 2 from 6 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champagne Benefit (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 10 | 2 | 20% | +13.50 |
| Heavy | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.00 |
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +2.50 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newbury | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Punchestown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Thurles | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 2 | 2 | 100% | +21.50 |
| Naas | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 11 | 1 | 9% | −7.00 |
| Over 3m | 6 | 2 | 33% | +17.50 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Powell | 7 | 1 | 14% | +1.50 |
| A E Lynch | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.00 |
| Roger Loughran | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tom Cannon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Cathal Landers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| B J Cooper | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 13 | 2 | 15% | +6.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.50 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.50 |
| 2019 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +9.00 |
| 2018 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −5.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 14 | 2 | 14% | +9.50 |
| Hurdle | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has The Conditional (IRE) won?
- The Conditional (IRE) won 3 of 20 archived starts between 2018 and 2021, a strike rate of 15%. Placed 8 times in total (40% of starts).
- Who trained The Conditional (IRE)?
- The Conditional (IRE) was trained by David Bridgwater on the most recent run on record, at Newbury on 21 February 2021.
- Who is The Conditional (IRE)'s sire?
- The Conditional (IRE) is by Kalanisi (IRE) out of Gorrie Vale (IRE), whose sire is Saddlers' Hall.
- What going does The Conditional (IRE) prefer?
- The Conditional (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is The Conditional (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 149, from the run on 21 February 2021. That is also the highest on record.
- What is The Conditional (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Kalanisi (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 6,742 runs since Jan 2008 (648 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 16.1% from 355.
- Who are The Conditional (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Gorrie Vale (IRE), The Conditional (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.