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Trainer profile

David Bridgwater

297 runners in the last 5 seasons · 40 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 91% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
20–297
Wins / Runs
6.7%
Strike rate
n=297
61 (21%)
Placed
0.67
Fair A/E
n=296 · 0.59 incl. margin
−58.80
£1 level stake
n=297 at SP · −19.8%
£297k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.67). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (103 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 297 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Brendan Powell: 5.7% from 88 Claiming riders: 8.7%
The read

Brendan Powell rides 30% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.7%, A/E 0.46). The yard also reads well beyond 3m (13.3%, n=30) and in Class 3 (12.9%, n=31). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 33 runners, 6.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.29 across 89 runners (3.4% strike, −67.38 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2020, £61,897). The stable star of the record: Tempuran (GB) — 7 wins from 48 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.1%−2.6
n=49 · A/E 0.65 · £1 +38.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.7
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
7.7%+1.0
n=13 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.7
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.3%+1.6
n=24 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
17.4%
n=23 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −13.88
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.7%+2.0
n=103 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −41.97
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 6.7% · n=33
Beyond 3m 13.3% vs 6.7% · n=30
In Class 3 12.9% vs 6.7% · n=31
With Caoilin Quinn 12.2% vs 6.7% · n=41
Off a 31-60-day break 10.5% vs 6.7% · n=76
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 3.4% vs 6.7% · n=89
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 150 9 6% −71.00
Chase 109 9 8.3% −43.80
Flat 27 2 7.4% +67.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 129 7 5.4% −73.55
Soft 61 2 3.3% −44.50
Good to Soft 59 5 8.5% −12.70
Good to Firm 19 2 10.5% −2.25
Heavy 17 3 17.6% +5.20
Standard (AW) 12 1 8.3% +69.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Plumpton 41 2 4.9% −33.70
Fontwell 26 3 11.5% −14.55
Leicester 22 2 9.1% +0.00
Huntingdon 21 3 14.3% +14.50
Stratford 21 1 4.8% −18.80
Ludlow 16 1 6.3% +10.00
Uttoxeter 15 0 0% −15.00
Worcester 14 0 0% −14.00
Newton Abbot 11 0 0% −11.00
Taunton 10 1 10% −6.25
Warwick 10 0 0% −10.00
Hereford 10 2 20% +3.50
Market Rasen 9 0 0% −9.00
Southwell 7 0 0% −7.00
Chepstow 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 144 9 6.3% −85.62
Class 4 95 5 5.3% −29.38
Class 3 31 4 12.9% −10.80
Class 2 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 6 10 2 20% +84.00
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 24 4 16.7% 0.50 −14.88
2nd–3rd fav 66 5 7.6% 0.46 −38.75
4th–6th fav 109 9 8.3% 1.09 +2.83
7th+ in betting 98 2 2% 0.80 −8.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.8% completed · 259 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 109 78% 4 5 14 1 0
Hurdle 150 79.3% 2 2 27 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Extraordinary Man (FR) 23 1 4 1 Jun 25
Dom Of Mary (FR)from S Curling · then James Owen 20 3 8 12 Apr 25
Most Wanted (IRE)from Andrew Kinirons 19 2 4 17 Oct 26
One Man Party (FR) 19 0 1 1 Jun 25
Carpe Diem (FR) 16 1 6 16 Jul 26
Gaia Vallis (FR) 16 1 4 1 Dec 24
Tellairsue (GER) 13 1 2 4 Jun 25
Estacas (GER)from A Wohler · then Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 11 1 3 27 Nov 23
My Lovely Horse (FR) 9 0 0 12 Jul 26
Kitsilano (IRE)from John Joseph Murphy 9 1 3 24 Apr 26
Dutch Admiral (IRE)from C W J Farrell 9 0 0 16 Jul 23
Pawpaw (GB)from Ben Pauling · then D J Jeffreys 9 2 5 3 Jun 23
All 40 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 40 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C W J Farrell (2) and Harry Whittington (2); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Ian Williams (4) and James Owen (2); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
5996130600089
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBrendan Powell
30% of all rides
5.7% SR · A/E 0.46
RiderRWSR£1
Brendan Powell 88 5 5.7% −24.45
Caoilin Quinn 41 5 12.2% −16.47
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
222
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£2.33m
Prize money
2015
Best season · 30 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
The Conditional (IRE) — Ultima Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Mar 2020 · Grade 3
£61,897
The Giant Bolster (GB) — Argento Chase (Registered As The Cotswold Chase) (Grade 2) Cheltenham · Jan 2014 · Grade 2
£56,950
The Conditional (IRE) — 'Matchbook Betting Exchange' Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Oct 2019 · Class 2
£37,164
Notable horses
Tempuran (GB) Nomadic Storm (GB) Engai (GER) The Giant Bolster (GB) Runshan (IRE) Wenceslaus (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
No Risk At All (FR) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,107 runs since 2008 (430 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 941.
Saddler Maker (IRE) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 16.9% of 2,169 runs since 2008 (181 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 221.
Authorized (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,021 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Buratino (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,878 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118.
Saint Des Saints (FR) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 15.1% of 5,339 runs since 2008 (642 horses).
Walzertakt (GER) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.7% of 364 runs since 2008 (54 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14% from 178.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,641 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,641 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Stratford Most Wanted (IRE)J: James Turner Invades Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 11/2
12 Oct 26 Worcester Most Wanted (IRE)J: James Turner CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1
22 Sep 26 Warwick Ballinoulart (IRE)J: Richard Upton Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 6 ran PU 7/2
07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Most Wanted (IRE)J: Brendan Powell St. Austell Brewery Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 17/2
04 Sep 26 Worcester Ballinoulart (IRE)J: Richard Upton Kevin 'nasty' Turner Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 18/1
28 Aug 26 Fontwell Ballinoulart (IRE)J: Richard Upton Back A Winner - Birchwood Kia Chichester Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 25/1
27 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Most Wanted (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Itus Event Support Services Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 9/1
27 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Wait At The Gate (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Celebrating National Racehorse Week Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 11/1
18 Jul 26 Market Rasen Most Wanted (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Read Paul Townend's Betway Blog Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 7/1
18 Jul 26 Market Rasen Ballinoulart (IRE)J: Richard Upton Betway Free Bet Club Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 125/1
16 Jul 26 Worcester Wait At The Gate (IRE)J: Brendan Powell CopyBet Daily Profit Boost Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 4th 25/1
16 Jul 26 Worcester Carpe Diem (FR)J: Tom Hutsby CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 5th 6/1
12 Jul 26 Stratford My Lovely Horse (FR)J: James Turner Gary Hubball's 60th Celebration Year Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 22/1
07 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Most Wanted (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Read Johnny Burke's Blog At CopyBet Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 16/1
23 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Ballinoulart (IRE)J: Richard Upton Happy Birthday June O'Dwyer Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 80/1
13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter My Lovely Horse (FR)J: James Turner Noble Minds Counselling Services Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 25/1
06 Jun 26 Worcester Ultimately (GB)J: James Turner Manby Not Mandy Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 9th 66/1
03 Jun 26 Warwick Carpe Diem (FR)J: Tom Hutsby Rainier Developments Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 2/1F
31 May 26 Fakenham Most Wanted (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Book Your Function At fakenhamracecourse.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 4 ran 1st 17/2
22 May 26 Worcester Ultimately (GB)J: James Turner CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 6th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Bridgwater's strike rate?
David Bridgwater has won 20 of 297 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Bridgwater do best at?
Plumpton by strike rate: 2 wins from 41 runners (4.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Bridgwater?
Brendan Powell, with 88 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.7%).
Is David Bridgwater in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Bridgwater's Fair A/E?
0.67, from 296 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).