What is A E Lynch's strike rate?

A E Lynch has won 443 of 5,612 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does A E Lynch do best at?

Limerick by strike rate: 33 wins from 287 rides (11.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does A E Lynch ride most for?

Henry De Bromhead, with 1,169 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 147 (12.6%).

What is A E Lynch's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 5,610 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

A E Lynch

5,612 rides in the lifetime window · 2,105 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Feb 2019 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

443–5,612

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=5,612

1,383 (25%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=5,610 · 0.72 incl. margin

−2,597.67

£1 level stake

n=5,612 at SP · −46.3%

£9.23m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 470 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (502 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,612 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 38% when favourite Henry De Bromhead: 12.6% from 1,169 LTO winners: 14.1% Rode the favourite in 7% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.1% (n=502, Fair A/E 0.88). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −1,238.50 to a £1 stake over 2,013 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Henry De Bromhead supplied 21% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.6% vs 7.9%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. 72 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the sportingbet.com Queen Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2011, £182,432). The standout partner of the record was Sizing Europe (IRE) — 15 wins from 26 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.5%−2.4

n=2,013 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −1,238.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.1%+6.2

n=502 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −232.14

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.3%−0.6

n=1,328 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −741.69

When favourite

38%

n=397 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −19.83

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−7.9

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.8%−2.1

n=2,774 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −1,351.31

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.8%+1.9

n=635 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −286.88

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Peter Casey 23.1% vs 7.9% · n=52

With C&D winners 15.7% vs 7.9% · n=351

On last-time-out winners 14.1% vs 7.9% · n=502

With T G McCourt 0% vs 7.9% · n=106

With E J O'Grady 16.3% vs 7.9% · n=80

With Henry De Bromhead 12.6% vs 7.9% · n=1,169

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 3,603 248 6.9% −1,866.42

Chase 1,953 193 9.9% −687.75

Flat 39 1 2.6% −30.00

NH Flat 17 1 5.9% −13.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 1,775 124 7% −948.45

Good 1,538 133 8.6% −642.01

Heavy 1,454 126 8.7% −593.89

Good to Soft 391 26 6.6% −181.61

Good to Firm 388 30 7.7% −194.21

Firm 42 3 7.1% −22.50

Standard (AW) 24 1 4.2% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 494 33 6.7% −141.47

Punchestown 493 33 6.7% −275.69

Navan 342 36 10.5% −136.74

Thurles 306 26 8.5% −111.42

Limerick 287 33 11.5% −88.11

Downpatrick 264 18 6.8% −133.89

Tramore 262 30 11.5% −74.41

Cork 251 16 6.4% −180.93

Clonmel 249 20 8% −94.37

Gowran Park 246 23 9.3% −86.81

Down Royal 216 14 6.5% −133.18

Leopardstown 207 11 5.3% −157.31

Naas 196 15 7.7% −141.60

Kilbeggan 189 14 7.4% −52.69

Ballinrobe 169 6 3.6% −102.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 681 67 9.8% −260.38

Class 4 80 8 10% −49.65

Class 5 42 5 11.9% −15.71

Class 2 38 5 13.2% −9.00

Class 3 37 3 8.1% −20.50

Class 6 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 479 167 34.9% 1.18 −42.34

2nd–3rd fav 1,159 158 13.6% 0.93 −317.83

4th–6th fav 1,549 71 4.6% 0.68 −789.50

7th+ in betting 2,425 47 1.9% 0.61 −1,448.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

90.7% completed · 5,556 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,953 86.1% 111 30 114 9 8

Hurdle 3,603 93.3% 71 20 135 9 7

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mister First (FR) 39 2 12 14 Feb 18

Magnetic Force (IRE) 31 3 7 28 Sep 17

Rubi Light (FR) 28 5 11 5 Mar 16

Sizing Europe (IRE) 26 15 22 29 Apr 14

Darwins Fox (FR) 24 5 15 11 Jul 15

Sizing Australia (IRE) 22 4 11 3 May 14

Berties Dream (IRE) 21 4 7 14 Mar 13

Mr Picotee (IRE) 20 2 5 28 Oct 18

Lord Ben (IRE) 20 4 9 31 Jul 16

Flemenstar (IRE) 19 10 14 16 Nov 17

Harangue (IRE) 19 3 5 29 Jul 16

Days Hotel (IRE) 18 6 10 21 Feb 16

The 60 most-raced of 2,105 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

87879771088710

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardHenry De Bromhead

21% of all rides
12.6% SR · A/E 0.98

TrainerRWSR£1

Henry De Bromhead 1,169 147 12.6% −485.97

Paul John Gilligan 262 21 8% −58.75

Robert Alan Hennessy 247 19 7.7% −128.92

J T R Dreaper 229 28 12.2% −54.93

S R B Crawford 184 13 7.1% −89.24

Michael O'Hare 107 9 8.4% −51.87

T G McCourt 106 0 0% −106.00

Vincent Laurence Halley 104 10 9.6% −7.74

Matthew J Smith 83 10 12% +22.75

Adrian McGuinness 80 2 2.5% −70.50

E J O'Grady 80 13 16.3% −11.72

Denis W Cullen 67 5 7.5% −20.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

503

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£10.5m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 59 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sizing Europe (IRE) — sportingbet.com Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2011 · Class 1

£182,432

Notre Pere (FR) — Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2009 · Grade 1

£165,000

Sizing Europe (IRE) — Boylesports.com Champion Chase (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2014 · Grade 1

£124,000

Notable horses

Sizing Europe (IRE) Flemenstar (IRE) Days Hotel (IRE) Loosen My Load (IRE) Rubi Light (FR) Darwins Fox (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 6.7% · 16–239

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 12.3% · 21–171

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Milan (GB) 8.8% · 13–148

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 10.4% · 15–144

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Oscar (IRE) 9.9% · 14–141

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Presenting (GB) 5.1% · 7–137

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,526 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,526 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 2 February 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Feb 19 Leopardstown Castlegrace Paddy (IRE)T: P A Fahy Ladbrokes Dublin Chase (Grade 1)17f · Good · 5 ran F 9/1

02 Feb 19 Leopardstown Twobeelucky (GB)T: Henry De Bromhead Ladbrokes Hurdle (Handicap - Rated 0-150) (Grade B)16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 19th 50/1

02 Feb 19 Leopardstown Dunvegan (FR)T: P A Fahy Nathaniel Lacy & Partners Solicitors '50,000 Cheltenham Bonus For Stable Staff' Novice Hurdle (Grade 1)22f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 10th 7/1

29 Jan 19 Down Royal Howluckycanwebe (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Best Odds Guaranteed On Irish Racing At BetVictor Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 20/1

29 Jan 19 Down Royal Dommage Pour Toi (FR)T: Henry De Bromhead Get A Run For Your Money With BetVictor Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 3rd 40/1

29 Jan 19 Down Royal Bective Cave (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Bet 5 Get 30 For All New Customers At BetVictor Handicap Chase (0-95)20f · Yielding · 15 ran 4th 20/1

29 Jan 19 Down Royal D'bru Na Boinne (FR)T: Ross O'Sullivan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Rated Novice Chase16f · Yielding · 6 ran 3rd 7/2

27 Jan 19 Naas Share The Honour (GB)T: A J Martin Join Naas Racecourse Business Club Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 11 ran 4th 7/2F

27 Jan 19 Naas Doyouhearwhatisaid (IRE)T: Garrett James Power I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding · 24 ran 7th 100/1

27 Jan 19 Naas The Conditional (IRE)T: Martin Hassett Naas Racecourse Business Club Novice Chase (Grade 3)24f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 6th 66/1

27 Jan 19 Naas Vitudurum (IRE)T: Joseph G Murphy BetVictor Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 24 ran 21st 10/1

26 Jan 19 Fairyhouse Pin Point Parity (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Easter Festival 21st -23rd April Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 21 ran 15th 50/1

26 Jan 19 Fairyhouse Tashman (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Free Racecourse WiFi At Fairyhouse Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16f · Yielding · 19 ran 10th 40/1

26 Jan 19 Fairyhouse Mutadaffeq (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Free Racecourse WiFi At Fairyhouse Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Yielding · 22 ran 17th 66/1

26 Jan 19 Fairyhouse D'bru Na Boinne (FR)T: Ross O'Sullivan Fairyhouse Racecourse Members Handicap Chase17f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 11/4J

24 Jan 19 Gowran Park Indian Monsoon (IRE)T: C Byrnes PMF Beginners Chase16f · Soft · 17 ran 7th 66/1

24 Jan 19 Gowran Park Howluckycanwebe (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Langton House Hotel Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Soft · 20 ran 10th 16/1

20 Jan 19 Thurles Tell Me Annie (IRE)T: Declan Queally Order Of St George Coolmore NH Sires Irish EBF Mares Novice Chase (Grade 2)20.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 7/1

20 Jan 19 Thurles Ask Nile (IRE)T: Seamus Neville Matty Ryan Memorial Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 7/2F

20 Jan 19 Thurles Cadougarde (FR)T: Ross O'Sullivan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is A E Lynch's strike rate?: A E Lynch has won 443 of 5,612 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does A E Lynch do best at?: Limerick by strike rate: 33 wins from 287 rides (11.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does A E Lynch ride most for?: Henry De Bromhead, with 1,169 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 147 (12.6%).
What is A E Lynch's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 5,610 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.