Horse profile
To Be Sure (GB)
by Sulamani (IRE) out of Egretta Island (IRE) (Heron Island)
39 runs · 15 courses · from Oct 2020
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · Ffos Las, Exeter & Hereford
New yard
Last run 26 Mar 2026 · 7th of 9
Last raced off OR 83
KTB Profile
To Be Sure won four of 39 starts on turf, all in handicaps between 2m5f and 3m, with two of those wins at Ffos Las on soft ground. He also won at Exeter on good and at Hereford over 3m on good. The gelding, who raced from a career-high official rating of 110, last ran at Chepstow in Mar 2026 where he finished 7 of 9 in a Class 4 handicap chase. That was his first start for Mrs C Williams. He last won at Ffos Las in Apr 2023.
Based on 39 archived runs · run-style from 14 commented runs since Nov 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically prominent
OR ↓ 27lb off peak
- 4–39Wins / Runs
- 10.3%Strike rate
- 9 (23.1%)Placed
- −12.25£1 level staken=39 at SP
- 0.88Fair A/E n=39 · 0.77 incl. margin
- 110Highest OR
- 52dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating83↓ 27lb off peak
83
83–110
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 99
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 9 | 122C | 91 | 2 runs · 91 / 62 |
| Good | 9 | 113C | 84 | — |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 123C | 82 | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 3 | 97B | 70 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 14 | 122C | 97 | — |
| Over 3m | 10 | 123C | 78.5 | 3 runs · 91 / 76 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 77B | 70 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 39 runs looked at, 11 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (5) · did not complete (4) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 28 figures from 39 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 14 analysed runs since Nov 2024
- Prominent 9 (64%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 3 (21%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (7%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (7%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Sulamani (IRE)
Progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 4,244 runs since Jan 2008 (278 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest at trips beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 20 | 2 | 10% | −1.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 348 | 40 | 11.5% | 0 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,400 | 170 | 12.1% | +0.6 | 2 from 12 |
| Good to Soft | 802 | 84 | 10.5% | −1 | 0 from 8 |
| Soft | 905 | 112 | 12.4% | +0.9 | 2 from 15 |
| Heavy | 290 | 41 | 14.1% | +2.6 | 0 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 479 | 39 | 8.1% | −3.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 9 | 0 | 0% | −11.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 185 | 20 | 10.8% | −0.7 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 262 | 23 | 8.8% | −2.7 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 550 | 52 | 9.5% | −2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,154 | 135 | 11.7% | +0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 978 | 122 | 12.5% | +1 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 866 | 99 | 11.4% | −0.1 | 3 from 20 |
| Over 3m | 240 | 37 | 15.4% | +3.9 | 1 from 13 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Egretta Island (IRE) (Heron Island)
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Inthepocket (GB) (4 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m4f; the highest grade won is Grade 1 (Inthepocket (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inthepocket (GB) | 14 | 4 | 2m–2m4f | Grade 1 |
| Clovis Island (GB) | 5 | 2 | 2m–2m4f | Class 4 |
| Aye Over Tee (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 15 | 2 | 13% | +1.50 |
| Good | 12 | 2 | 17% | −1.75 |
| Good to Soft | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 17 | 2 | 12% | −3.25 |
| Class 4 | 16 | 1 | 6% | −9.50 |
| Class 3 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ffos Las | 11 | 2 | 18% | +5.50 |
| Chepstow | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Exeter | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| Hereford | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| Fontwell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fakenham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sedgefield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 20 | 3 | 15% | +3.00 |
| Over 3m | 13 | 1 | 8% | −9.25 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Wedge | 17 | 3 | 18% | +6.00 |
| Ellis Collier | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| Conor Ring | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Isabel Williams | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Niall Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Bowen | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 27 | 4 | 15% | −0.25 |
| Cheekpieces | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2025 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +3.00 |
| 2022 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −0.50 |
| 2021 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +2.25 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 21 | 2 | 10% | −7.25 |
| Hurdle | 18 | 2 | 11% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Mar 26+45d | Chepstow | Stephens Industries EPDM Flat Roofing Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled in the pack early - slipped towards the back by the 7th and lost touch after the 16th - well beaten by 4 out | 7/9 | 18 | 9-11 | 83 | 76C | 76C | Ellis Collier | 13/2 |
| 09 Feb 26+29d | Plumpton | More Radio Handicap Chase Settled just off the pace early - lost ground after the 14th - urged forward but made no dent on those ahead - moved into third after 3 out and stayed there without threatening | 3/6 | 12 | 11-2 | 88 | — | 93C | Conor Ring | 25/1 |
| 11 Jan 26+21d | Fontwell | Betting.Bet New Betting Sites Handicap Chase Near the head of affairs early - slipped back through the pack by the 5th and settled midfield - beaten off by the 11th and toiling into 15th - well beaten from 4 out home | 8/10 | ½ | 10-9 | 90 | 91C | 81C | Ellis Collier | 28/1 |
| 2025 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Dec 25+70d | Fakenham | Sky Bet Club Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Drifted right at every fence - up with the pace early - a bad mistake at the 12th dropped it back through the field - towards the back by the 14th - pushed and struggling from the 16th and a long way adrift to finish 4th | 4/6 | 41 | 10-4 | 91 | 33C | 87C | Ellis Collier | 4/1 |
| 12 Oct 25+44d | Chepstow | Champion Equestrian Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled around midfield - clipped heels at the 9th and dropped away before 5 out - driven on approaching 3 out - stayed on into the last but couldn't get closer - finished third | 3/8 | 1¾ | 10-1 | 91 | 81A | 93B | Ellis Collier | 16/1 |
| 29 Aug 25+43d | Fontwell | RJS Waste Management UK Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Tracked leading duo early - awkward at 3rd - into second spot by 14th - pushed along 2 out - stayed on but couldn't reel in leader | 2/4 | 3½ | 10-9 | 91 | 87C | 104C | Adam Wedge | 5/2 |
| 17 Jul 25+42d | Worcester | eventmasters.co.uk 40th Anniversary Handicap Chase Tracked the pace early - jumped awkwardly and slipped to 4th - regained ground before the 12th - well placed heading to 4 out - unable to make further inroads from 2 out and kept battling to the line | 4/8 | 1¼ | 11-3 | 91 | 99A | 106B | Ellis Collier | 9/1 |
| 05 Jun 25+45d | Ffos Las | Subaru Outback Handicap Chase Sat close up early behind the front-runner despite a few untidy leaps - dropped away from second before two out - flattened out and clipped the final fence in third | 3/7 | 13 | 11-5 | 92 | — | 99A | Ellis Collier | 5/1 |
| 21 Apr 25+15d | Fakenham | Aldiss Handicap Chase Settled in second early - shared the lead for a spell around the 14th - lost place to the winner two out - clipped the last and stayed on without threatening the front to finish second | 2/6 | 2¾ | 11-6 | 92 | 89B | 116B | Ellis Collier | 5/1 |
| 06 Apr 25+30d | Ffos Las | Welsh Cottage Cakes Handicap Chase Sat close to pace early - moved into contention after 5th - unseated at 7th | UR/11 | — | 11-1 | 92 | — | — | Ellis Collier | 9/1 |
| 07 Mar 25+26d | Exeter | South West Rail Solutions Ltd Handicap Chase Tracked the pace early - jumped awkwardly at the second - dropped to third with two out under pressure - dug in again on the run-in - flew home late but denied by a whisker | 2/8 | shd | 11-0 | 90 | 84A | 105B | Ellis Collier | 20/1 |
| 09 Feb 25+27d | Chepstow | Join Fitzdares At www.fitzdares.com Handicap Hurdle Sat handy behind the front pack - lost touch after the 8th - well behind by 3 out and eased to a halt | PU/12 | — | 11-2 | 93 | — | — | Ellis Collier | 28/1 |
| 13 Jan 25+47d | Exeter | Hall Down Hill Stayers' Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Held up at the back - dropped away from the 8th - no impression on leaders - well held in 6th | 6/7 | 17 | 10-11 | 96 | 80A | 81B | Ellis Collier | 22/1 |
| 2024 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 27 Nov 24+369d | Hereford | HCD Ltd Handicap Hurdle Held around midfield - pressed for effort two out - found nothing back - finished sixth well beaten | 6/9 | 3½ | 11-2 | 98 | 77B | 86B | Ellis Collier | 50/1 |
| 2023 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 24 Nov 23+24d | Chepstow | Join The Vickers Customer Racing Club Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 5/6 | nse | 11-9 | 103 | — | 99C | Isabel Williams | 9/1 |
| 31 Oct 23+145d | Chepstow | Download The Vickers.Bet App Handicap Chase | 5/11 | 29 | 10-13 | 105 | 48C | 101C | Adam Wedge | 10/1 |
| 08 Jun 23+50d | Ffos Las | Fly 2 Wales Handicap Chase | 2/3 | 19 | 10-5 | 106 | 83C | 97C | Sean Bowen | 11/10F |
| 19 Apr 23+10d | Cheltenham | Gloucester Brewery Holman Handicap Chase | 10/20 | 1 | 10-10 | 100 | 59B | 97A | Adam Wedge | 16/1 |
| 09 Apr 23+43d | Ffos Las | 3as Leisure New & Used Motorhome Sales Handicap Chase | 1/8 | 11-9 | 100 | 60A | 124B | Adam Wedge | 9/1 | |
| 25 Feb 23+25d | Chepstow | Pertemps Network EMEA Handicap Chase | 7/14 | 7 | 11-13 | 102 | 42C | 94C | Isabel Williams | 4/1F |
| 31 Jan 23+70d | Ffos Las | Mumbles Brewery Handicap Chase | 4/11 | 5½ | 12-0 | 105 | 118A | 110A | Adam Wedge | 22/1 |
| 2022 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Nov 22+27d | Sedgefield | Download The Vickers.Bet App Handicap Chase | PU/8 | — | 12-2 | 107 | — | — | Adam Wedge | 13/2 |
| 26 Oct 22+192d | Chepstow | Download The Vickers.Bet App Handicap Chase | 3/6 | 18 | 10-9 | 110 | 99A | 95B | Adam Wedge | 3/1 |
| 17 Apr 22+12d | Ffos Las | Happy 70th Birthday Peter Tudor Handicap Hurdle | 4/4 | 6 | 11-2 | 110 | 113C | 106B | Adam Wedge | 5/2 |
| 05 Apr 22+33d | Exeter | Join Racing Tv Now Handicap Hurdle | 1/7 | 11-1 | 106 | — | 129A | Adam Wedge | 11/2 | |
| 03 Mar 22+30d | Ludlow | Wye Valley Brewery Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 4/5 | 24 | 10-11 | 107 | 105C | 87C | Adam Wedge | 4/1 |
| 01 Feb 22+25d | Ffos Las | Get Well Soon Ricky Leeson Handicap Hurdle | 2/13 | 3½ | 11-12 | 105 | 117B | 130A | Adam Wedge | 9/1 |
| 07 Jan 22+34d | Wetherby | Follow RacingTV On Twitter Handicap Hurdle | 4/8 | 11 | 11-7 | 107 | 97B | 98A | Adam Wedge | 11/1 |
| 2021 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Dec 21+17d | Aintree | Unibet 'You're On' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 7/11 | 22 | 10-11 | 108 | 79C | 95C | Isabel Williams | 7/2J |
| 17 Nov 21+10d | Ffos Las | Casumo Proud To Support British Racing Handicap Hurdle | 2/7 | 10 | 10-12 | 102 | 97A | 113A | Adam Wedge | 11/4 |
| 07 Nov 21+22d | Ffos Las | Star Sports Bet Pipped! Offer Handicap Hurdle | 1/8 | 10-3 | 102 | 122C | 113A | Adam Wedge | 11/2 | |
| 16 Oct 21+19d | Ffos Las | David Lloyd Celebrating 75 Years Handicap Hurdle (Div 1) | F/11 | — | 11-7 | 102 | — | — | Niall Moore | 15/2 |
| 27 Sep 21+187d | Newton Abbot | Racing Partnership Novices' Handicap Hurdle | 7/10 | nk | 11-12 | 105 | 123C | 104C | Adam Wedge | 6/1 |
| 24 Mar 21+22d | Hereford | Central Roofing Novices' Handicap Chase | 1/7 | 11-12 | 102 | — | 111C | James Bowen | 11/4 | |
| 02 Mar 21+50d | Leicester | BoscaSports The Retail Bookmakers Choice Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | F/6 | — | 10-9 | 103 | — | — | Adam Wedge | 4/1 |
| 11 Jan 21+54d | Hereford | foxtrotracing.com Join A National Hunt Syndicate Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 6/15 | hd | 11-7 | 105 | — | 103A | Conor Ring | 50/1 |
| 2020 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Nov 20+9d | Ffos Las | Pennant Walters Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 7/7 | 10 | 10-11 | — | 20C | 93C | Conor Ring | 66/1 |
| 09 Nov 20+31d | Chepstow | Rose Loxton Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 6/11 | 4 | 10-11 | — | 70C | 99C | Conor Ring | 18/1 |
| 09 Oct 20 | Chepstow | Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 6/10 | 1¾ | 10-12 | — | 48A | 111A | Adam Wedge | 40/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has To Be Sure won?
- To Be Sure (GB) won 4 of 39 archived starts between 2020 and 2026, a strike rate of 10.3%. Placed 9 times in total (23.1% of starts).
- Who trains To Be Sure?
- To Be Sure (GB) is trained by Mrs C Williams, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 26 March 2026.
- Who is To Be Sure's sire?
- To Be Sure (GB) is by Sulamani (IRE) out of Egretta Island (IRE), whose sire is Heron Island.
- What going does To Be Sure prefer?
- To Be Sure (GB) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 12 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is To Be Sure's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 83, from the run on 26 March 2026. The highest on record is 110.
- What is To Be Sure's sire's record?
- Sulamani (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 4,244 runs since Jan 2008 (278 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest at trips beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
- Who are To Be Sure's siblings?
- Out of Egretta Island (IRE), To Be Sure (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Inthepocket (GB) (4). Highest grade won: Grade 1 (Inthepocket (GB)). The wins came over 2m–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.