What is Isabel Williams's strike rate?

Isabel Williams has won 50 of 463 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Isabel Williams do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Isabel Williams ride most for?

Evan Williams, with 441 rides since 2022 — 95% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (11.1%).

What is Isabel Williams's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 462 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Isabel Williams

463 rides in the last 5 seasons · 116 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 235 days ago 96% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

50–463

Wins / Runs

10.8%

Strike rate

n=463

128 (28%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=462 · 0.78 incl. margin

−146.00

£1 level stake

n=463 at SP · −31.5%

£570k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (57 rides). Rides mostly for Evan Williams — 95% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 463 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 36.8% when favourite Evan Williams: 11.1% from 441 LTO winners: 19.3% Claiming: 11.9% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Chepstow (7.2% over 69 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.3% (n=57, Fair A/E 1.22), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.75). Evan Williams supplies 95% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.1%, A/E 0.91). The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (16.7%, n=42) and in Class 4 (14.3%, n=161). The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 5.3% over 38 rides, 5.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.62 across 123 rides (6.5% strike, −69.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfair Exchange Stayers' Handicap Hurdle at Haydock (Nov 2021, £56,950). The standout partner of the record: Tour Ovalie (FR) — 6 wins from 23 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8%−2.8

n=88 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −51.33

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.3%+8.5

n=57 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −5.46

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.3%−3.5

n=82 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −31.50

When favourite

36.8%

n=38 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +3.92

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.9%+1.1

n=336 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −87.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.2%−6.6

n=48 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −31.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.8

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.3% vs 10.8% · n=57

Off a 8-14-day break 16.7% vs 10.8% · n=42

On Soft going 6.5% vs 10.8% · n=123

Beyond 3m 5.3% vs 10.8% · n=38

In Class 4 14.3% vs 10.8% · n=161

At Chepstow 7.2% vs 10.8% · n=69

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 311 32 10.3% −110.00

Chase 107 15 14% −13.00

NH Flat 28 3 10.7% −6.00

Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 131 18 13.7% −18.04

Good 130 13 10% −59.21

Soft 123 8 6.5% −69.50

Heavy 68 9 13.2% +6.75

Good to Firm 9 2 22.2% −4.00

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 115 13 11.3% −2.00

Chepstow 69 5 7.2% −44.50

Newton Abbot 40 5 12.5% −8.05

Hereford 24 5 20.8% −3.83

Ludlow 22 3 13.6% −7.25

Uttoxeter 13 0 0% −13.00

Stratford 13 3 23.1% +11.00

Plumpton 11 1 9.1% −8.12

Southwell 10 0 0% −10.00

Taunton 10 3 30% +2.75

Cheltenham 10 1 10% −3.00

Exeter 9 2 22.2% −2.00

Market Rasen 8 1 12.5% −4.50

Fontwell 8 0 0% −8.00

Worcester 8 1 12.5% +0.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 181 17 9.4% −71.45

Class 4 161 23 14.3% −9.63

Class 3 61 6 9.8% −23.42

Class 2 40 4 10% −21.50

Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 6 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 42 14 33.3% 1.23 −0.08

2nd–3rd fav 140 19 13.6% 0.74 −33.92

4th–6th fav 169 15 8.9% 1.03 −29.00

7th+ in betting 112 2 1.8% 0.50 −83.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

90.2% completed · 418 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 107 80.4% 1 4 16 0 0

Hurdle 311 93.6% 2 5 13 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Balkardy (FR) 24 4 8 6 Nov 25

Tour Ovalie (FR) 23 6 13 15 Mar 26

Followango (IRE) 18 2 11 14 Feb 26

Patriotik (FR) 17 2 6 26 Jan 26

Frankie Faulkner (IRE) 16 1 5 1 Mar 26

Walkinthewoods (IRE) 16 0 7 6 Feb 25

Ballinsker (IRE) 16 4 6 28 Aug 24

Dans Le Vent (FR) 14 0 2 18 Mar 25

Puddlesinthepark (IRE) 14 1 4 24 Sep 24

Luna Run (IRE) 13 1 6 20 Oct 25

Pageant Material (IRE) 12 3 3 24 Feb 24

Minella Blueway (IRE) 10 0 3 14 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 116 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

121112176121412013411

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardEvan Williams

95% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 0.91

TrainerRWSR£1

Evan Williams 441 49 11.1% −127.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£960k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 13 wins

Dans Le Vent (FR) — Betfair Exchange Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Haydock · Nov 2021 · Grade 3

£56,950

Virginia Chick (FR) — 'The Smart Money's On Coral' Handicap Hurdle Chepstow · Dec 2018 · Class 2

£18,768

Virginia Chick (FR) — coral.co.uk Novices' Chase Exeter · Nov 2019 · Class 2

£14,621

Notable horses

Tour Ovalie (FR) Balkardy (FR) Virginia Chick (FR) Ballinsker (IRE) Memphis Bell (IRE) Pageant Material (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 2.9% · 1–35

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,030 runs since 2011 (704 horses).

Balko (FR) 16.7% · 4–24

Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,661 runs since 2011 (297 horses).

Jukebox Jury (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 13.5% of 2,246 runs since 2016 (256 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.

Kamsin (GER) 26.1% · 6–23

Progeny have won 9.7% of 846 runs since 2015 (110 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.9% from 186.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 23.8% · 5–21

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,877 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Malinas (GER) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,956 runs since 2010 (419 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 780 · newest first

The latest 50 of 780 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2016 to 15 March 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Mar 26 Chepstow Tour Ovalie (FR)T: Mrs C Williams georgebakerracing.com - Have Horse Will Travel Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 17/2

14 Mar 26 Uttoxeter Minella Blueway (IRE)T: Mrs C Williams JenningsBet Midlands Grand National (Premier Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 34f · Soft · 16 ran PU 28/1

14 Mar 26 Uttoxeter Minella Missile (IRE)T: Mrs C Williams JenningsBet 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 14/1

01 Mar 26 Ffos Las Frankie Faulkner (IRE)T: Evan Williams Amroth Bay Static Caravan Sales Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 16/1

26 Feb 26 Ludlow Jukebox Joker (IRE)T: Evan Williams RacingTV Club Day Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 11/4

26 Feb 26 Ludlow Everyonesacritic (IRE)T: Evan Williams 1985 Lager Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 7/2

26 Feb 26 Ludlow Minella Blueway (IRE)T: Evan Williams Forbra Gold Cup (Sponsored By Flowfit) (Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 11/2

20 Feb 26 Ffos Las Storming Nelson (IRE)T: Sue Gardner fairplaybet.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 5 ran 3rd 2/1

20 Feb 26 Ffos Las Linden Lane (IRE)T: Evan Williams Fairplay Let's Bet On It! Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 6/1

20 Feb 26 Ffos Las Boyles Hill (IRE)T: Evan Williams fairplaybet.co.uk Bet 10 Get 10 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 11/1

20 Feb 26 Ffos Las Benny Baloo (GB)T: Evan Williams Roperhurst Limited 50th Anniversary Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 10/1

14 Feb 26 Wincanton Followango (IRE)T: Evan Williams BetMGM Agatha Christie Mares' Novices' Chase (Listed) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 15.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 25/1

11 Feb 26 Hereford Everyonesacritic (IRE)T: Evan Williams Richard Layton Charity Raceday 16th April Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 9/2

04 Feb 26 Sedgefield Jukebox Joker (IRE)T: Evan Williams Canine Premier Flex Plus Joint Supplement Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 9/4F

04 Feb 26 Sedgefield Linden Lane (IRE)T: Evan Williams Paxtons No1 CaseIH Dealer Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

04 Feb 26 Sedgefield Ideallko (FR)T: Evan Williams Fairlight Studios Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 12/1

01 Feb 26 Market Rasen Everyonesacritic (IRE)T: Evan Williams Market Rasen Racecourse Racing All Year Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 7/1

01 Feb 26 Market Rasen Model Approach (IRE)T: Evan Williams Summer Plate Ladies Day 18th July Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 20/1

01 Feb 26 Market Rasen Frankie Faulkner (IRE)T: Evan Williams Easter Sunday Racing Ft. Classic Vehicle Rally Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 7/2

31 Jan 26 Sandown Minella Missile (IRE)T: Evan Williams Virgin Bet Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 23.5f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Isabel Williams's strike rate?: Isabel Williams has won 50 of 463 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Isabel Williams do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Isabel Williams ride most for?: Evan Williams, with 441 rides since 2022 — 95% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (11.1%).
What is Isabel Williams's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 462 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.