Tom Kelly (IRE)
Tom Kelly was a maiden who ran 13 times without a win and placed once. His best effort came when third of 14 at Sligo in Aug 2023. He raced on turf over trips from 1m5f to over 3m on good to heavy ground. His last run at Ballinrobe in Jul 2025 was his first for Mrs Jayne Hearne and he finished 11 of 15 in the Sweeney Oil Handicap Hurdle off an official rating of 87 which was 15lb below his highest ever mark.
- 0–13Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (7.7%)Placed
- −13.00£1 level staken=13 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=13 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 102Highest OR
- 88dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 98
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 100B | 80 | — |
| Soft | 3 | 98B | 81 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 98B | 80 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 81C | 60 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 100B | 97 | — |
Of 13 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: did not complete (4) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 13 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs since Dec 2024
- Prominent 2 (50%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (25%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (25%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 2,369 runs since Jan 2008 (226 horses).
Strongest on good to soft going: 14.5% from 386. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.6% from 349.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 17 | 0 | 0% | −9.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 266 | 27 | 10.2% | +0.4 | — |
| Good | 653 | 67 | 10.3% | +0.5 | 0 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 386 | 56 | 14.5% | +4.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 466 | 34 | 7.3% | −2.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 171 | 17 | 9.9% | +0.1 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 410 | 31 | 7.6% | −2.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 52 | 4 | 7.7% | −2.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 349 | 23 | 6.6% | −3.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 362 | 46 | 12.7% | +2.9 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 366 | 39 | 10.7% | +0.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 525 | 53 | 10.1% | +0.3 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 402 | 40 | 10% | +0.2 | 0 from 6 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 274 | 23 | 8.4% | −1.4 | 0 from 3 |
| Over 3m | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | +0.5 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punchestown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sligo | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Quinlan | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Jack Foley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sean O'Keeffe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Smith | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Harney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paddy Cleary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hugh Morgan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Michael O'Sullivan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr J L Gleeson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2023 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Chase | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Jul 25+148d | Ballinrobe | Sweeney Oil Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) Sat close to the pace early - clumsy at the 5th and 6th - driven and dropped back before 2 out - faded steadily to finish well behind | 11/15 | 70 | 11-5 | 87 | 39C | 92C | Sean O'Keeffe | 25/1 |
| 24 Feb 25+60d | Punchestown | Festival 2025 Group Tickets From 27 Euros Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) Sat close behind the front-runner in 2nd - pushed along after 3 out then dropped away - finished a distant last | 9/14 | 99 | 11-0 | 91 | — | 87C | James Smith | 40/1 |
| 2024 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 24+12d | Down Royal | Metcollect Handicap Chase (0-102) Held up towards the back - made no impression on the leaders - eased and pulled up before two out | PU/13 | — | 10-12 | 93 | — | — | Tom Harney | 33/1 |
| 14 Dec 24+160d | Fairyhouse | Fairyhouse, Racecourse Of The Year 2024 Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2) Settled midfield after a small blunder at the opening fence - up to second by halfway - urged into effort 5 out and asked for more the following fence - found nothing 3 out - dropped away to finish last | 9/12 | 42 | 11-0 | 95 | 47C | 82C | Paddy Cleary | 25/1 |
| 07 Jul 24+208d | Sligo | Sligo Park Hotel Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | PU/14 | — | 11-2 | 97 | — | — | Hugh Morgan | 25/1 |
| 2023 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Dec 23+40d | Punchestown | William Hill Pick Your Places Handicap Hurdle (80-102) | PU/22 | — | 11-9 | 102 | — | — | Liam Quinlan | 25/1 |
| 02 Nov 23+23d | Thurles | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle | 7/9 | 23 | 10-13 | — | 81C | 90C | Liam Quinlan | 20/1 |
| 10 Oct 23+7d | Punchestown | Paddy Power Maiden Hurdle | 4/19 | 20 | 11-7 | — | 98B | 97A | Liam Quinlan | 16/1 |
| 03 Oct 23+41d | Galway | Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle | 4/11 | 4½ | 11-12 | — | 94A | 106A | Michael O'Sullivan | 10/1 |
| 23 Aug 23+297d | Sligo | Hankook Pearse Rd Tyres Maiden Hurdle | 3/14 | 8 | 10-13 | — | 95B | 113A | Liam Quinlan | 66/1 |
| 2022 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Oct 22+39d | Wexford | Racing Again Tomorrow Maiden Hurdle | PU/13 | — | 11-4 | — | — | — | Jack Foley | 100/1 |
| 21 Sep 22+16d | Listowel | Listowel Vintners Association Flat Race | 11/12 | 34 | 11-7 | — | 65C | 79C | Mr J L Gleeson | 28/1 |
| 05 Sep 22 | Galway | Kenny Developments Maiden Hurdle | 7/19 | 4½ | 11-9 | — | 100B | 98A | Jack Foley | 100/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Tom Kelly won?
- Tom Kelly (IRE) has yet to win, from 13 archived starts between 2022 and 2025. Placed 1 time in total (7.7% of starts).
- Who trained Tom Kelly?
- Tom Kelly (IRE) was trained by Mrs Jayne Hearne on the most recent run on record, at Ballinrobe on 22 July 2025.
- Who is Tom Kelly's sire?
- Tom Kelly (IRE) is by Notnowcato (GB) out of Misty Weather (IRE), whose sire is Expelled.
- What is Tom Kelly's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 87, from the run on 22 July 2025. The highest on record is 102.
- What is Tom Kelly's sire's record?
- Notnowcato (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 2,369 runs since Jan 2008 (226 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to soft going: 14.5% from 386. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.6% from 349.