What is Paddy Cleary's strike rate?

Paddy Cleary has won 6 of 136 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Paddy Cleary ride most for?

Gordon Elliott, with 56 rides since 2022 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.4%).

Is Paddy Cleary in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Paddy Cleary's Fair A/E?

1.19, from 136 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paddy Cleary

136 rides in the last 5 seasons · 78 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 6 days ago 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2022

6–136

Wins / Runs

4.4%

Strike rate

n=136

16 (12%)

Placed

1.19

Fair A/E

n=136 · 0.94 incl. margin

−74.50

£1 level stake

n=136 at SP · −54.8%

£64,183

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.19). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 6% (66 rides). Rides mostly for Gordon Elliott — 41% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 136 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Gordon Elliott: 5.4% from 56 Claiming: 4.5%

The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 1.3% (n=78, Fair A/E 0.37). Gordon Elliott supplies 41% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Soft going — 0% over 36 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

1.3%−3.1

n=78 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −69.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.7%+12.3

n=6 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −1.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3%−1.4

n=33 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −25.00

When favourite

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4.5%+0.1

n=134 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −72.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.1%+1.7

n=66 · A/E 1.84 · £1 −20.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.4

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Soft going 0% vs 4.4% · n=36

On first rides for the horse 1.3% vs 4.4% · n=78

On Good going 7.1% vs 4.4% · n=56

Off a 15-30-day break 2.3% vs 4.4% · n=43

Over 2m5f – 3m 6.7% vs 4.4% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 113 6 5.3% −51.50

Chase 11 0 0% −11.00

NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 56 4 7.1% −16.50

Soft 36 0 0% −36.00

Good to Soft 28 2 7.1% −6.00

Heavy 16 0 0% −16.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Downpatrick 17 0 0% −17.00

Fairyhouse 16 0 0% −16.00

Punchestown 14 2 14.3% +8.00

Sligo 12 0 0% −12.00

Kilbeggan 12 1 8.3% +0.00

Clonmel 9 2 22.2% +10.00

Down Royal 9 1 11.1% −0.50

Navan 6 0 0% −6.00

Naas 6 0 0% −6.00

Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00

Tramore 5 0 0% −5.00

Killarney (IRE) 4 0 0% −4.00

Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00

Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00

Cork 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00

2nd–3rd fav 9 3 33.3% 2.74 +12.50

4th–6th fav 29 1 3.4% 0.54 −18.00

7th+ in betting 97 2 2.1% 1.04 −68.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.6% completed · 124 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 11 63.6% 1 1 2 0 0

Hurdle 113 82.3% 1 4 15 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lady Goliath (IRE) 9 0 0 1 Jan 24

Voice Of Reason (IRE) 8 1 1 6 Jun 25

Private Policy (IRE) 7 2 3 22 Oct 26

Max Time (IRE) 5 0 0 16 Jul 26

Cola Blaze (IRE) 5 0 0 12 May 26

Mercurial Sea (IRE) 4 0 2 14 Jul 26

Nelliestar (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Oct 26

An Lachin Beag (IRE) 3 0 1 6 Aug 26

Dream Shaper (IRE) 3 1 2 24 Jul 26

Uno Me I Like My T (IRE) 3 0 0 17 Jul 26

Timeless Treaty (IRE) 3 2 2 27 Aug 25

Nawraq (IRE) 3 0 0 26 Aug 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 78 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0000135700700

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGordon Elliott

41% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 1.05

TrainerRWSR£1

Gordon Elliott 56 3 5.4% −31.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

Archived wins

£64,183

Prize money

2026

Best season · 3 wins

Timeless Treaty (IRE) — Ladbrokes 'Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing' Novice Hurdle Punchestown · Jun 2025

£7,965

Dream Shaper (IRE) — Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div I) Kilbeggan (IRE) · Jul 2026

£6,000

Private Policy (IRE) — Glenary Handicap Hurdle Clonmel (IRE) · Oct 2026

£6,000

Notable horses

Private Policy (IRE) Timeless Treaty (IRE) Voice Of Reason (IRE) Dream Shaper (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,979 runs since 2011 (375 horses).

Churchill (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 11% of 4,841 runs since 2021 (462 horses).

Kalanisi (IRE) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,750 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Affinisea (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 13.2% of 1,288 runs since 2022 (205 horses).

Buratino (IRE) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,885 runs since 2020 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119.

Hillstar (GB) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 7.3% of 752 runs since 2021 (89 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 136 · newest first

The latest 50 of 136 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 February 2022 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Combs (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 8th 40/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Fizzle Rock (IRE)T: Nigel Thomas Slevin Solar Generation Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 8th 33/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Private Policy (IRE)T: Nigel Thomas Slevin Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 4th 7/2F

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Goodgollymissholly (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 11th 28/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) King Gris (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 16/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Tommy Go Maith (IRE)T: Thomas Patrick McGettigan CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 125/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Nelliestar (IRE)T: Thomas Patrick McGettigan Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran UR 80/1

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Mordor (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 10th 14/1

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) The Bossman About (IRE)T: Nigel Thomas Slevin 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 17th 200/1

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Private Policy (IRE)T: Nigel Thomas Slevin Glenary Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 1st 7/1

18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Tropical Twist (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div I)18f · Good · 12 ran 6th 11/1

31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Tommy Go Maith (IRE)T: Thomas Patrick McGettigan North Down Marquees Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 9 ran 8th 250/1

31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Nelliestar (IRE)T: Thomas Patrick McGettigan Randox Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 9 ran 8th 250/1

28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Noble Rocco (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 40/1

19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Nelliestar (IRE)T: Thomas Patrick McGettigan Sligo Plumb Centre Mares Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 300/1

06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) An Lachin Beag (IRE)T: Nigel Thomas Slevin Martin Reilly Hyundai Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 13 ran F 10/1

24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Dream Shaper (IRE)T: I Madden Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div I)19f · Good · 16 ran 1st 11/1

24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Kidam Roque (FR)T: I Madden Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran UR 250/1

17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Pray Tell (IRE)T: Desmond Kenneally Lee Strand Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 16 ran PU 20/1

17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Uno Me I Like My T (IRE)T: Miss Katy Brown Killarney Grand Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 9th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 22 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Paddy Cleary's strike rate?: Paddy Cleary has won 6 of 136 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Paddy Cleary ride most for?: Gordon Elliott, with 56 rides since 2022 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.4%).
Is Paddy Cleary in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Paddy Cleary's Fair A/E?: 1.19, from 136 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.